No. 2 Georgia routs Arkansas 45-17

No. 2 Georgia3-045
Arkansas1-217Final
Sat, Sep 19 · Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, Ark. · Crowd 66,123ABC

No. 2 Georgia routed Arkansas 45-17.

We had Georgia favored. It won.

Top comment in the game thread

Those were legit PI calls, but our fans are going to be chirping about that all week.

Q2 10:09 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 19

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Georgia a 97% chance, and the closing betting line (Georgia was a 24.5-point favorite) put it at 98%.

FinalGeorgia 45-17 ArkansasGeorgia wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4GeorgiaWon45-17ScoresGeorgiaArkansasGeorgia fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 13 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 16 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 16 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 19 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 13 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 14 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 23 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 18 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 13 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 10 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 16 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 24 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 28 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 28 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 20 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 18 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 20 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 15 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 26 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 14 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 23 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 14 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 15 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 24 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 10 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 25 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 14 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 7 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 16 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 13 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 15 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 0 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 6 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 7 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 5 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 5 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 0 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 6 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 7 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 5 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 0 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 0 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 7 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minute
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4GeorgiaWon45-17ScoresGeorgiaArkansasGeorgia fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 13 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 16 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 16 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 19 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 13 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 14 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 23 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 18 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 13 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 10 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 16 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 24 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 28 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 28 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 20 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 18 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 20 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 15 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 26 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 14 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 23 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 14 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 15 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 24 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 10 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 25 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 14 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 7 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 16 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 13 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 15 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 0 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 6 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 7 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 5 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 5 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 0 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 6 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 7 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 5 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 0 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 0 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 7 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4GeorgiaLowest 0%Lost17-45ScoresArkansasGeorgiaArkansas fans: 0 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 6 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 7 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 5 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 5 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 0 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 6 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 7 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 5 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 0 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 0 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 7 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 13 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 16 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 16 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 19 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 13 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 14 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 23 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 18 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 13 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 10 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 16 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 24 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 28 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 28 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 20 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 18 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 20 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 15 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 26 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 14 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 23 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 14 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 15 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 24 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 10 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 25 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 14 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 7 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 16 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 13 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 15 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4GeorgiaLowest 0%Lost17-45ScoresArkansasGeorgiaArkansas fans: 0 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 6 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 7 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 5 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 5 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 0 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 6 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 7 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 5 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 0 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 0 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 7 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 1 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 2 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 4 comments a minuteArkansas fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 13 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 16 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 16 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 19 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 13 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 14 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 23 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 18 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 13 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 10 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 16 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 24 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 28 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 28 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 20 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 18 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 20 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 15 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 26 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 14 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 23 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 14 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 15 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 24 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 10 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 25 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 14 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 7 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 16 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 12 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 13 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 15 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia fans: 9 comments a minute

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q2 10:09Officials call defensive pass interference on Georgia's drive before Bowens scores a touchdownQuoted at the top of the page.First one probably wasnt Pi, but that 2nd one was clear as dayr/CFB game thread
  2. Q2 5:39Arkansas runs a failed double pass trick play against Georgia's defenseArkansas receivers being wide open downfield? Let’s do a trick play behind the LOS.r/CFB game threadMike Bobo haters better appreciate that Arkansas double pass play callr/CFB game thread
  3. Q2 1:47Gunner Stockton runs 62 yards as Arkansas defender blocks his own teammateGunner “Literally Stetson Bennett” Stocktonr/CFB game thread
  4. Q2 0:17Arkansas receiver Marshall makes an impressive one-handed catch as fans hail it catch of the yearKirby, sneak over there during halftime and ask Marshall if he has any eligibility for next yearr/CFB game thread
Georgia’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Georgia -24.5), at 91% for Georgia (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Arkansas or Georgia flair (574 and 2,476); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Georgia’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 6:53Frazier 5-yd TD runGeorgia goes ahead 7-0Q1, 6:53 · Georgia 7, Arkansas 0▲4%Georgia’s chance to win, 93% to 97%▲4%Georgia’s chance to win, 93% to 97%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q1, 3:26Stockton sacked for a 9-yd lossQ1, 3:26 · Georgia 7, Arkansas 07-0score after the play7-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q2, 8:45Bowens 2-yd TD runGeorgia leads 14-0Q2, 8:45 · Georgia 14, Arkansas 0▼2%Georgia’s chance to win, 96% to 94%▼2%Georgia’s chance to win, 96% to 94%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q2, 5:13Hill sacked for a 7-yd lossQ2, 5:13 · Georgia 14, Arkansas 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q2, 0:36Bowens 5-yd TD runGeorgia leads 21-0Q2, 0:36 · Georgia 21, Arkansas 0▲3%Georgia’s chance to win, 96% to 99%▲3%Georgia’s chance to win, 96% to 99%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  6. Q3, 9:41Stockton sacked for a 7-yd lossQ3, 9:41 · Georgia 21, Arkansas 321-3score after the play21-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  7. Q3, 8:06Jackson sacked for a 12-yd lossfumblesQ3, 8:06 · Georgia 24, Arkansas 324-3score after the play24-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  8. Q3, 3:35Bowens 1-yd TD runGeorgia leads 31-3Q3, 3:35 · Georgia 31, Arkansas 331-3score after the play31-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  9. Q4, 12:42Stockton 61-yd TD pass to DandridgeGeorgia leads 38-3Q4, 12:42 · Georgia 38, Arkansas 338-3score after the play38-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  10. Q4, 8:30Smith 5-yd TD runcuts it to 38-10Q4, 8:30 · Georgia 38, Arkansas 1038-10score after the play38-10score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football

Every drive

Georgia scored on 7 of its 11 drives; Arkansas on 3 of its 10.

Georgia’s drives are teal, Arkansas’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Arkansas: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 38DownsGeorgia: Touchdown, from 62 yards out to 0TouchdownArkansas: Punt, from 75 yards out to 68PuntGeorgia: Punt, from 69 yards out to 55PuntArkansas: Punt, from 85 yards out to 67PuntQ2Georgia: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownArkansas: Punt, from 75 yards out to 43PuntGeorgia: Touchdown, from 93 yards out to 0TouchdownArkansas: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 23Field goalGeorgia: End of half, from 75 yards out to 77End of halfQ3Georgia: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 20Field goalArkansas: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 68FumbleGeorgia: Touchdown, from 32 yards out to 0TouchdownArkansas: Punt, from 75 yards out to 65PuntGeorgia: Punt, from 49 yards out to 47PuntQ4Arkansas: Punt, from 80 yards out to 93PuntGeorgia: Touchdown, from 61 yards out to 0TouchdownArkansas: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgia: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownArkansas: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgia: End of game, from 75 yards out to 77End of game
“That ball was tipped though”
A fan of another team

How fans reacted

Quiet

The loudest stretch came in the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was quiet; the crowd was busy.

FirstSecondThirdFourthGeorgia fansArkansas fansusual

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Georgia fans

kirby“Never lost under Kirby when leading by 14 or more at halftime is a crazy stat for how long he has been there.”

Arkansas fans

cramsey“Cramsey has got to go, Dan Enos level play calling”

hire“Our fanbase said Bobby was washed and we should move on all so that we could hire an entire staff of bums and pay them much more.”

challenge“I got a challenge for sports reporters: don’t bring up kids’ dead parents as if that’s any of the audiences business.”

program“Only way Hunter will listen and fix this football program. But firing him is probably the best way to do it.”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: run, now, line, back.

What it cost

Georgia’s chance to make the playoff rose from 74% to 78%.

Make the playoff

Georgia · won74% → ▲78%74%▲ 78%
Arkansas · lost0% → 0%

Win the conference

Georgia · won22% → ▲25%22%▲ 25%
Arkansas · lost0% → 0%

Win the title

Georgia · won13% → ▼12%13%▼ 12%
Arkansas · lost0% → 0%

Before the game (September 18, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Georgia 45, Arkansas 17

Georgia covered −24.5 by 3.5. The total, 62, went over 54.5.

GeorgiaArkansasTotal yardsGeorgia 464Arkansas 300464300Passing yardsGeorgia 210Arkansas 283210283Rushing yardsGeorgia 254Arkansas 1725417First downsGeorgia 23Arkansas 182318TurnoversGeorgia 0Arkansas 101Time of possessionGeorgia 35:40Arkansas 24:2035:4024:20
Team totalsGeorgiaArkansas
Total yards464300
Passing17 of 21, 210 yds29 of 42, 283 yds
Rushing42 for 254 yds20 for 17 yds
First downs2318
Third down7 of 114 of 11
Fourth down1 of 11 of 2
Turnovers01
Penalties4 for 41 yds7 for 42 yds
Time of possession35:4024:20

Georgia leaders

  • Passing Gunner Stockton 10 of 13, 147 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Gunner Stockton 7 for 97 yds; Nate Frazier 14 for 75 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Craig Dandridge 3 for 74 yds, 1 TD; Lawson Luckie 3 for 59 yds, 1 TD

Arkansas leaders

  • Passing KJ Jackson 20 of 27, 212 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Sutton Smith 6 for 17 yds, 1 TD; Jelani Watkins 1 for 6 yds
  • Receiving Chris Marshall 7 for 104 yds; Sutton Smith 1 for 40 yds

No rain and calm

91° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 10 mph from the south-southwest, mostly along the field, gusts to 23

Warmer than every one of the 59 other games played at Razorback Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 76°, with about 7 in 10 games between 70° and 82°.

September game-day temperatures at Razorback Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Arkansas favoredGeorgia favored0%Win chanceArkansasRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphTemperature and feels likedegrees F85°105°feels like 95°air 96°
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Arkansas favoredGeorgia favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Temperature and feels like · degrees F85°105°feels like 95°air 96°

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:46 left11:08 a.m.
Georgia 0, Arkansas 0 · Arkansas 9% to win
no rain · wind 11 mph from the south-southwest, mostly along the field, gusts to 23 · 92°
Jackson 12-yd pass to Marshall
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Fayetteville/drake airport, 4.4 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

Georgia · 2-0

Rated 2nd in our preseason ratings, 3rd now.

Two straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

W 70-20 vs Western Kentucky #52 of 668

won by 50 as a 40.5-point favorite

Georgia won 70-20 vs Western Kentucky. Never in doubt.

W 63-3 vs Tennessee State #191 of 668

won by 60 as a 49.5-point favorite

Georgia won 63-3 vs Tennessee State. Never in doubt.

Last two games

Arkansas · 1-1

Rated 145th in our preseason ratings, 141st now.

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Week by week

Arkansas

Wk 1: W 31-14 vs North Alabama▲17North AlabamaWk 2: L 10-43 at Utah▼33Utah
  • Wk 1Wvs North Alabama31-14
  • Wk 2Lat Utah10-43

Georgia

Wk 1: W 63-3 vs Tennessee State▲60Tennessee StateWk 2: W 70-20 vs Western Kentucky▲50Western Kentucky
  • Wk 1Wvs Tennessee State63-3
  • Wk 2Wvs Western Kentucky70-20

Power rating by week

Georgia is rated 20.1 points ahead as of week 2. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

215-10Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2ArkansasGeorgia

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Arkansas’s rushing EPA against Georgia, 81 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Georgia’s EPA/play against Arkansas’s defense

    74 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Georgia offense, 97th percentile · Arkansas defense, 23rd

  2. Arkansas’s rushing EPA against Georgia’s defense

    81 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Arkansas offense, 8th percentile · Georgia defense, 89th

  3. Arkansas’s explosive plays against Georgia’s defense

    29 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Arkansas offense, 11th percentile · Georgia defense, 40th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

GeorgiaArkansas
EPA/play, offense
Georgia · 97Arkansas · 22
EPA/play, defense
Georgia · 71Arkansas · 23
Success rate, offense
Georgia · 97Arkansas · 42
Success rate, defense
Georgia · 82Arkansas · 30
Explosive-play rate, offense
Georgia · 58Arkansas · 11
Explosive-play rate, defense
Georgia · 40Arkansas · 77
Rush EPA, offense
Georgia · 92Arkansas · 8
Rush EPA, defense
Georgia · 89Arkansas · 18
Pass EPA, offense
Georgia · 96Arkansas · 37
Pass EPA, defense
Georgia · 58Arkansas · 38

The series

Georgia leads the series 12-4

16 meetings since 1968 · Georgia has won the last 3

Arkansas wonGeorgia won1968: Arkansas by 141975: Arkansas by 211987: Georgia by 31991: Georgia by 91992: Georgia by 241993: Arkansas by 102000: Georgia by 312001: Georgia by 112002: Georgia by 272004: Georgia by 62005: Georgia by 32009: Georgia by 112010: Arkansas by 72014: Georgia by 132020: Georgia by 272021: Georgia by 3719682021
  • 2021Georgia 37-0Arkansas lost 0-37 at Georgia. Chance to win started at 13%, low under 1%, high 13%.
  • 2020Georgia 37-10Arkansas lost 10-37 vs Georgia. Chance to win started at 3%, low under 1%, high 28%.
  • 2014Georgia 45-32
  • 2010Arkansas 31-24
  • 2009Georgia 52-41

Each line is Arkansas’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Georgia fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (26th among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

50-50Model 3% · Line 2%Arkansas fans · 1stGeorgia fans · 26thGeorgiaArkansas

Georgia favored by 24.5 · Total 54.5

How games like this usually go

Georgia by 24.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 7 points toward Georgia.

opened +17.5now +24.5

The total rose 2 points.

opened 52.5now 54.5

Spread: +17.5 → +24.5 · Total: 52.5 → 54.5

The books’ cut: 3.7%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 94° at kickoff.

Georgia at Arkansas · Saturday, Sept. 19, 2026 · Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville

  • 94°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 56weather score, Rough

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game is ringed. At Razorback Stadium that day, a 7 pm kickoff would have scored 95, against 56 at 11 am.

  • 11 am: 56, Rough (this game)
  • 11:45 am: 54, Rough
  • 1 pm: 51, Rough
  • 2:30 pm: 49, Harsh
  • 3:30 pm: 52, Rough
  • 6 pm: 82, Mixed
  • 6:30 pm: 93, Comfortable
  • 7 pm: 95, Comfortable

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Arkansas is worth +2.1 points (±4.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 18th percentile.

38% at home, 22% on the road against FBS opponents (19-31 home, 8-29 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -6.7 at home vs. away over 92 games — outside the ±5.7 noise, one of the few buildings where results say more.

The visitors travel about 628 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Full SEC standings