South Dakota State routs New Haven 57-14
Team pages: New Haven · South Dakota State
South Dakota State routed New Haven 57-14. Share this game
We had South Dakota State favored. It won.
Next: New Haven lost to Brown 17-10, Sat Sep 19
Next: South Dakota State beat Youngstown State 27-20, Sat Sep 19
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave South Dakota State a 95% chance, and the closing betting line (South Dakota State was a 42.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.
South Dakota State led by 3 after the first quarter and by 36 at the half.
South Dakota State 57-14 New Haven
South Dakota State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.New Haven 14-57 South Dakota StateNew Haven lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (South Dakota State -42.5), at 100% for South Dakota State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
South Dakota State scored on 9 of its 15 drives; New Haven on 2 of its 16.
South Dakota State’s drives are teal, New Haven’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
South Dakota State 57, New Haven 14
South Dakota State covered −42.5 by 0.5. The total, 71, went over 54.5.
New Haven leaders
- Passing A.J. Duffy 6 of 20, 48 yds
- Rushing Zaon Laney 15 for 54 yds; Jason Champagne 1 for 49 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Issac Glaudin 3 for 27 yds; Lasalle Rose Jr. 1 for 19 yds, 1 TD
South Dakota State leaders
- Passing Chase Mason 12 of 18, 255 yds, 3 TD
- Rushing James Basinger 6 for 88 yds, 2 TD; Ramon McKinney Jr. 5 for 51 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Grahm Goering 2 for 77 yds; Greyton Gannon 3 for 65 yds, 2 TD
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last two games
New Haven · 1-1
Rated 251st in our preseason ratings, 256th now.
1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
Last two games
South Dakota State · 1-1
Rated 105th in our preseason ratings, 104th now.
1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
Week by week
South Dakota State
- Wk 1Wvs Stetson70-7
- Wk 1Lat Northwestern18-34
New Haven
- Wk 1Wvs Marist22-21
- Wk 1Lvs Stonehill3-21
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on South Dakota State’s chances here.
South Dakota State favored by 42.5 · Total 54.5
How games like this usually go
South Dakota State by 42.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The spread moved 2 points toward New Haven.
The total fell 1 point.
Spread: −44.5 → −42.5 · Total: 55.5 → 54.5
Home field
South Dakota State is worth +6.3 points (±9.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 84th percentile.
75% at home, 47% on the road against FBS opponents (6-2 home, 7-8 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.4 at home vs. away over 58 games — inside the ±7.4 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 1,222 miles to get here.