Campbell at Maine
Campbell (6‑1) travels to Maine (1‑6), with Campbell favored by 10. The model gives Campbell a 88% shot.
How they got here
Last three games
Campbell · 6-1
Rated 239th in our preseason ratings, 168th now, up 71 spots.
Three straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.
Last three games
Maine · 1-6
Rated 194th in our preseason ratings, 251st now.
Three straight losses.
L 14-17 vs Bryant No. 188 of 668 teams
lost by 3 as a 1.5-point favorite
L 16-24 vs Sacred Heart No. 206 of 668 teams
lost by 8 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 17-43 @ Elon No. 176 of 668 teams
lost by 26 as a 5.5-point underdog
What’s at stake
Campbell
- Campbell is 1 game back in Coastal Athletic with 4 left to make it up.
- Campbell football is one of the youngest programs in the FCS -- reinstated in 2008 after a 58-year absence, the Fighting Camels are still chasing their first conference title and first playoff berth. Three consecutive winning seasons (2017-2019) remain the modern program's high point as it enters 2026 under third-year coach Braxton Harris.
Maine
- Maine is 3 games back in Coastal Athletic with 3 left to make it up.
- A win would be one of Maine’s biggest of the season — a 83-spot gap in the power ratings.
The series
Campbell leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2023 · Campbell won the last meeting
- 2023Campbell 34-28
Face-off
What each fanbase carries into this one.
Campbell
The chipCampbell has spent since 2008 doing the hardest thing in the sport -- rebuilding a program from a 58-year absence with no scholarships at first -- and climbed two classification levels to reach the CAA. Fans feel like that climb doesn't get any credit next to programs that never had to restart from zero, especially while the win column still lags.
Maine
The chip · vs the national mediaThe fanbase says Maine gets dismissed as a geographic outlier — a program in the far corner of New England that national FCS coverage treats as an afterthought — while the Black Bears have eight playoff appearances and a semifinal run to prove they belong.
What this game touches
Post-2018 drought and the Jordan Stevens rebuild. Maine's last FCS playoff appearance was 2018, when they advanced to the national semifinals. The program went through a long trough before Jordan Stevens arrived — his 9-25 record in three seasons includes a 6-6 finish in 2025 that suggests a floor has been found but the playoff ceiling remains elusive.
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Maine’s chances here.
Campbell favored by 10 · Total 54.5
Campbell by 10: where a favorite like this usually runs
Half of games8 in 10 games
Campbell’s chance through the game, if this goes like the 388 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.
Home field
Maine is worth +15.0 points (±14.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile.
50% at home, 12% on the road against FBS opponents (1-1 home, 2-15 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -4.2 at home vs. away over 55 games — inside the ±9.0 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 843 miles to get here.
Week by week
Maine
- Wk 2Lvs Merrimack14-23
- Wk 3Lat Boston College16-22
- Wk 4Lat Elon17-43
- Wk 5Lvs Sacred Heart16-24
- Wk 7Lvs Bryant14-17
Campbell
- Wk 2Lat Florida3-52
- Wk 3Wvs North Carolina A&T42-14
- Wk 4Wat Hampton44-20
- Wk 5Wat North Carolina Central38-31
- Wk 7Wvs Towson24-20
Power rating by week
Campbell is rated 5.6 points ahead as of week 8. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
The market
The spread moved 1.5 points toward Campbell.
Spread: +8.5 → +10
The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds