Campbell beats Towson 24-20
Campbell beat Towson 24-20. Share this game
We had Campbell favored. It won.
Next: Towson vs Hampton, Sat Oct 31 · 1:00 PM ET
Next: Campbell at Maine, Sat Oct 24 · 1:00 PM ET
How it swung
The turning point: Davis 1-yd TD run, Towson goes ahead 20-17 (Q3, 8:34). Campbell went from 83% to 68% to win.
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Campbell an 89% chance, and the closing betting line (Campbell was a 11.5-point favorite) put it at 82%.
Favored the whole way: Campbell never fell below 61%.
Towson never had better than a 38% chance.
Campbell 24-20 Towson
Campbell wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Towson 20-24 CampbellTowson lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.The two plays that swung it
- 1Q3 13:58Sixkiller 22-yd TD pass to Waiters, Campbell goes ahead 17-13Campbell 73% → 86% (+13)
- 2Q3 8:34Davis 1-yd TD run, Towson goes ahead 20-17Campbell 83% → 68% (−15)
The two plays that swung it
- 1Q3 13:58Sixkiller 22-yd TD pass to Waiters, Campbell goes ahead 17-13Towson 27% → 14% (−13)
- 2Q3 8:34Davis 1-yd TD run, Towson goes ahead 20-17Towson 17% → 32% (+15)
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Campbell -11.5), at 88% for Campbell (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Campbell scored on 4 of its 11 drives; Towson on 3 of its 11.
Campbell’s drives are teal, Towson’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
From Towson’s side
Towson’s best moment: Davis 1-yd TD run, Towson goes ahead 20-17 (Q3 8:34). It lifted Towson’s win chance by 15 points.
6 lead changes.
Box score
Campbell 24, Towson 20
Towson covered +11.5 by 7.5. The total, 44, stayed under 56.5.
Towson leaders
- Passing Jacob Davis 23 of 39, 257 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing Xavier Pugh 12 for 75 yds, 1 TD; Jacob Davis 6 for 40 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Cleveland Charlton 6 for 88 yds; Peyton Faulkner 1 for 53 yds
Campbell leaders
- Passing Kamden Sixkiller 20 of 30, 224 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing De'Von Thomas 7 for 28 yds, 2 TD; Kamden Sixkiller 4 for 24 yds
- Receiving Chinua Ezeigbo 5 for 68 yds; Jyron Waiters 3 for 43 yds, 1 TD
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games
Towson · 0-7
Rated 188th in our preseason ratings, 214th now.
Three straight losses.
L 24-31 vs Stony Brook #158 of 668
lost by 7 as a 3.5-point underdog
L 40-41 @ Monmouth #172 of 668
lost by 1 as a 10.5-point underdog
L 28-33 @ Delaware State #195 of 668
lost by 5 as a 3-point underdog
L 26-41 vs Morgan State #193 of 668
lost by 15 as an 8.5-point favorite
L 18-21 vs Maine #174 of 668
lost by 3 as a 2.5-point favorite
Last three games
Campbell · 5-1
Rated 239th in our preseason ratings, 164th now, up 75 spots.
Three straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.
Week by week
Campbell
- Wk 1Wvs Western Carolina28-19
- Wk 2Lat Florida3-52
- Wk 3Wvs North Carolina A&T42-14
- Wk 4Wat Hampton44-20
- Wk 5Wat North Carolina Central38-31
Towson
- Wk 2Lat South Carolina9-45
- Wk 3Lvs Morgan State26-41
- Wk 4Lat Delaware State28-33
- Wk 5Lat Monmouth40-41
- Wk 6Lvs Stony Brook24-31
Power rating by week
Campbell is rated 3.1 points ahead as of week 6. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
The series
Towson leads the series 2-0
2 meetings since 2024 · Towson has won the last 2
- 2025Towson 35-31
- 2024Towson 45-23
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Campbell’s chances here.
Campbell favored by 11.5 · Total 56.5
How games like this usually go
Campbell by 11.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 1 point toward Towson.
The total fell 6 points.
Spread: −12.5 → −11.5 · Total: 62.5 → 56.5
The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds
Home field
Campbell is worth +5.3 points (±7.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 71st percentile.
0% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (0-4 home, 0-15 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -4.4 at home vs. away over 55 games — inside the ±6.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 299 miles to get here.