cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Armahn Hale /New Mexico State

Armahn Hale

S · New Mexico State · Sr · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

44 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred New Mexico State → Bowling Green for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Bowling Green

2025New Mexico State
2026Bowling Green

S · NEW MEXICO STATE · CONFERENCE USA

Armahn Hale

  • 4
  • #2
  • 5-11 | 195 lb
  • Akron, OH

CFB Zeitgeist Score

48

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 69th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#15684

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#123 national
CFB
College
New Mexico State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements5-11 | 195 lb
HometownAkron, OH
Primary teamNew Mexico State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 123 recruit
Composite rating 0.8137 JUCO
Signed with Kent State 2024
Origin Butler C.C. Akron, OH, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8137 No. 123 recruit | JUCO | Kent State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Bowling Green 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 15, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 New Mexico State -> Bowling Green 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#15684Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15794Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Kent State

Composite

0.8137

#123 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Armahn Hale

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Armahn Hale

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
44Tackles
3.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
48Tackles
3.8Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 44): needs 36/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 44): needs 56/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Armahn Hale is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on New Mexico State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #15684 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 44 23 solo | #756/4942 (85th pct)
TFL 3.5 Backfield disruption | #869/4972 (83rd pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
44 85th
SOLO
23 82nd
TFL
3.5 83rd
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 19-3vs Bryant110.00.00
Wk 2W 21-14vs Tulsa531.00.00
Wk 3L 14-49@ Louisiana Tech310.00.00
Wk 5L 20-38@ New Mexico300.00.00
Wk 6W 37-10vs Sam Houston210.00.00
Wk 8L 27-30@ Liberty520.50.00
Wk 9L 17-24vs Missouri State630.00.01Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 10L 16-35@ Western Kentucky210.00.00
Wk 11L 21-24vs Kennesaw State321.00.00
Wk 12L 9-42@ Tennessee510.00.00
Wk 13W 34-31@ UTEP540.00.00
Wk 14L 24-31vs Middle Tennessee441.00.00
Total44233.50.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025New Mexico State4-8HC: Tony Sanchez · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025New Mexico State44233.50.01----
Career1 loaded season44233.50.01----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 44 #756/4942 85th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.5 #869/4972 83rd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 23 #839/4584 82nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g3.50.50.00.2
Road6g3.80.10.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g3.20.20.00.0
Losses8g3.90.30.00.1

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.80.20.00.0
Weeks 8+7g4.30.40.00.1

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

48Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Tackles#756 / 2975 · 74th pct
44defe
Solo tackles#839 / 2975 · 71st pct
23defe
Tackles for loss#866 / 2975 · 69th pct
3.5defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Armahn HaleNew Mexico StateTyler MartinMassachusetts· 86% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 77% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 76% sim
Tackles
74
Hale
98
Martin
99
Vaughns
99
Ra-El
Solo tackles
71
Hale
87
Martin
96
Vaughns
100
Ra-El
Tackles for loss
69
Hale
63
Martin
85
Vaughns
56
Ra-El
Passes defended
48
Hale
67
Martin
48
Vaughns
91
Ra-El
Sacks
24
Hale
24
Martin
63
Vaughns
24
Ra-El
QB hurries
22
Hale
22
Martin
22
Vaughns
22
Ra-El

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cedarious Barfield’s 2022 season.

Cedarious Barfield

87%match

San Diego State · 2022

#2

Michael Gravely Jr.

Ball State · 2025

85%
#3

Devonni Reed

South Carolina · 2022

85%
#4

Tyrone Lewis

Louisiana · 2022

85%
#5

Isaiah Cash

Virginia Tech · 2025

84%

Matches Cedarious on

PD rate
Tackle volume
Height

Differs from Cedarious on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Evan Slocum's sophomore season at Wake Forest (2022).

Evan Slocum

97%match

Wake Forest · 2022

#2

Meki Pei

Hawai'i · 2023

94%
#3

Jaylin Smith

USC · 2022

All-Big TenNFL Rd 3 · Pk 33
89%
#4

Amari Jackson

Boston College · 2023

89%
#5

Hasaan Hypolite

Houston · 2021

88%

Matches Evan on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Sanchez

Pass share

57.4%

472 pass / 350 run

Plays / game

68.5

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.7%

359 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Tony Sanchez
New Mexico State

Played his entire career under Tony Sanchez.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAkron, OH
Height5'11"
Weight195 lb
Class4
PositionS
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kent State S4 #15684 #15794 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 New Mexico State Conference USA S 4 No. 2 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Akron, OH
2024 Kent State Mid-American S 4 No. 2 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Akron, OH