cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Audavion Collins /Penn State

Audavion Collins

CB · Penn State · Jr · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

47 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Penn State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Penn State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Cornerback · Penn State

Returning around him

  • 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 8 Penn State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -11 net (37 in / 48 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Penn State · Last season: 7-6 (AP #7) · Talent rank #10 · 2026 recruiting class #15

CB · PENN STATE · BIG TEN

Audavion Collins

  • 3
  • #2
  • 5-11 | 180 lb
  • Covington, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

52

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 78th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#5254

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#923 national
CFB
College
Penn State
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionCB
Class3
Jersey2
Measurements5-11 | 180 lb
HometownCovington, GA
Primary teamPenn State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 923 recruit
Composite rating 0.8633 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Newton Covington, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8633 No. 923 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Penn State 2023
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate May 16, 2023
Season Move Context
2023 Mississippi State -> Penn State 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#5254Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4813Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8633

#923 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Audavion Collins

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Audavion Collins

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
47Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
47Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Audavion Collins is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Penn State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #5254 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 47 33 solo | #680/4942 (86th pct)
TFL 2.5 Backfield disruption | #1236/4972 (75th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
47 86th
SOLO
33 91st
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 46-11vs Nevada440.00.00
Wk 2W 34-0vs Florida International320.00.01
Wk 3W 52-6vs Villanova220.00.00
Wk 5L 24-30vs Oregon320.00.00
Wk 6L 37-42@ UCLA330.00.01
Wk 7L 21-22vs Northwestern650.00.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 8L 24-25@ Iowa431.00.00
Wk 10L 14-38@ Ohio State531.00.00
Wk 11L 24-27vs Indiana530.00.00
Wk 12W 28-10@ Michigan State330.00.00
Wk 13W 37-10vs Nebraska420.50.00
Wk 14W 40-36@ Rutgers300.00.00
BowlW 22-10@ Clemson210.00.01
Total47332.50.03
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Penn State10-3HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
2025Penn State7-6HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Penn State47332.50.03----
2023Penn State331.00.0------
Career2 loaded seasons50363.50.03----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 47 #680/4942 86th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.5 #1236/4972 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 33 #417/4584 91st pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g3.90.10.00.1
Road6g3.30.30.00.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g3.00.10.00.3
Losses6g4.30.30.00.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.30.00.00.4
Weeks 8+6g4.00.40.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort

52Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (85th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Solo tackles#417 / 2975 · 85th pct
33defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Tackles#680 / 2975 · 77th pct
47defe
Tackles for loss#1222 / 2975 · 56th pct
2.5defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · CB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Audavion CollinsPenn StateTyler MartinMassachusetts· 90% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 89% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 81% sim
Solo tackles
85
Collins
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
Passes defended
78
Collins
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
Tackles
77
Collins
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson
Tackles for loss
56
Collins
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson
Forced fumbles
47
Collins
47
Martin
47
Ra-El
47
Johnson
Sacks
24
Collins
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
QB hurries
22
Collins
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Volume Tackler

Targeted often and asked to tackle in space on the perimeter.

CB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Bryquice Brown’s 2022 season.

Bryquice Brown

88%match

Georgia State · 2022

#2

Syrus Dumas

New Mexico State · 2022

86%
#3

A.J. Odums

New Mexico · 2022

85%
#4

Zion Tracy

Penn State · 2025

84%
#5

Jamal Glenn

Navy · 2021

84%

Matches Bryquice on

Tackle volume
Weight
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Cameron Sidney's junior season at California (2025).

Cameron Sidney

97%match

California · 2025

#2

Kentrell Webb

Houston · 2024

92%
#3

Zion Tracy

Penn State · 2025

90%
#4

Dexter Ricks Jr.

Liberty · 2024

90%
#5

Devin Lemear

Baylor · 2023

90%

Matches Cameron on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

James Franklin

Pass share

42.0%

339 pass / 469 run

Plays / game

62.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

230 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
James Franklin
Penn State
2025
James Franklin
Penn State

Played his entire career under James Franklin.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCovington, GA
Height5'11"
Weight180 lb
Class3
PositionCB
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Penn State CB3 #5254 #4813 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Penn State CB3 #5856 #5641 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Mississippi State CB3 #9943 #9622 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Penn State Big Ten CB 3 No. 2 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Covington, GA
2024 Penn State Big Ten CB 3 No. 2 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Covington, GA
2023 Penn State Big Ten CB 3 No. 2 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Covington, GA
2022 Mississippi State SEC CB 3 No. 2 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Covington, GA