CFB Zeitgeist Score
60
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by qb hurries at the 92nd percentile.
Blake Fletcher
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
108 TACKLES · 0 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Air Force for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Linebacker · Air Force
Returning around him
- 63% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: -4 net (0 in / 4 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Air Force · Last season: 4-8 · 2026 recruiting class #129
LB · AIR FORCE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Blake Fletcher
- 3
- #6
- 6-1 | 215 lb
- Racine, WI
Heisman Heat
#14406
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP LB AWARD
Butkus
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Air Force
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8250 | No. 1981 recruit | HighSchool | Air Force |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Air Force
Composite
0.8250
#1981 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Blake Fletcher
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Blake Fletcher
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 12g
108Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
9Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
117Tackles
1.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 108.
✓ Hit 100-tackle season · finished with 108.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Blake Fletcher is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Air Force's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
108 99th
SOLO
39 95th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
5 90th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
2 64th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 49-13vs Bucknell | 11 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 11 tackles |
| Wk 3 | L 30-49@ Utah State | 11 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | L 37-49vs Boise State | 9 | 3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | L 35-44vs Hawai'i | 11 | 7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 6 | L 31-34@ Navy | 11 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | L 48-51@ UNLV | 10 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | W 24-21vs Wyoming | 6 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 10 | L 17-20vs Army | 9 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | W 26-16@ San José State | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 12 | L 16-26@ UConn | 8 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 13 | L 3-20vs New Mexico | 11 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | W 42-21@ Colorado State | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 108 | 39 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 2 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025Air Force4-8HC: Troy Calhoun · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Air Force | 108 | 39 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2 | -- | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 108 | 39 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 108 | #29/4942 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 1.0 | #2051/4972 | 59th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.0 | #1762/4972 | 65th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 2 | #792/2184 | 64th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 5 | #188/1878 | 90th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 39 | #237/4584 | 95th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 9.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Road6g | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Losses8g | 10.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 10.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 7.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort
60Solid starter
Elite: tackles (99th). Strength: qb hurries (92nd). Concern: sacks (23rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · LB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Blake FletcherAir ForceBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 76% simAndon ThomasArmy· 76% simJadon PearsonFresno State· 72% sim
Tackles
QB hurries
Solo tackles
Passes defended
Tackles for loss
Sacks
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Every-Down Linebacker
Leads the team in tackles and rarely leaves the field.
LB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jesus Machado’s 2023 season.
Jesus Machado
83%match
All-AAC
#2
Jaden Yates
All-Sun Belt
74%
#3
Ozzie Nicholas
74%
#4
Bryan McCoy
All-MAC
74%
#5
Ryan McWood
All-MAC
73%
Matches Jesus on
Weight
PD rate
TFL rate
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Ellis Brooks's sophomore season at Penn State (2021).
Ellis Brooks
80%match
All-Big Ten
#2
Jaden Yates
All-Sun Belt
77%
#3
Dillon Thieneman
All-Big TenNFL Rd 1 · Pk 25
77%
#4
Dean Clark
77%
#5
Jack Howell
All-Mountain West
76%
Matches Ellis on
PD rate
Sack rate
TFL rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Troy Calhoun
Pass share
20.0%
163 pass / 650 run
Plays / game
67.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
10.6%
151 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Troy Calhoun
Air Force
Played his entire career under Troy Calhoun.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownRacine, WI
Height6'1"
Weight215 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey6
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamAir Force
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Mountain West
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | Air Force | Mountain West | LB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Air Force | LB3 | #14406 | #14513 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.