CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Chandler Rogers
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
QB · CALIFORNIA · ACC
Chandler Rogers
- 4
- #7
- 6-0 | 200 lb
- Mansfield, TX
Heisman Heat
#452
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 0 · Not on teamR01 · Scout team / redshirt
Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2024-91%
Sharp dropoff (-91%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 3-star | 0.8230 | No. 1914 recruit | HighSchool | Southern Miss |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Southern Miss
Composite
0.8230
#1914 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Chandler Rogers
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Chandler Rogers
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Chandler Rogers's story is about how role and output meet each other. For California, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2024 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2024 season snapshot | final
2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Balanced quarterback against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2024 Season · Final
2024 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
12 36th
ATT
25 41st
CMP%
48.0% 12th
Y/A
4.7 15th
Passing Production
YDS
117 33rd
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th
Rushing
CAR
29 55th
YDS
86 64th
YPC
3.0 55th
TD
1 63rd
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022UL Monroe4-8HC: Terry Bowden · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2023North Texas5-7HC: Eric Morris · Balanced, fast tempo
2024California6-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Balanced
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | California | 12 | 25 | 48.0% | 117 | 4.7 | 0 | 0 | 87.3 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | North Texas | 262 | 422 | 62.1% | 3,383 | 8.0 | 29 | 5 | 149.7 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | UL Monroe | 118 | 178 | 66.3% | 1,337 | 7.5 | 9 | 4 | 141.6 | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 392 | 625 | 62.7% | 4,837 | 7.7 | 38 | 9 | 144.9 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | California | 29 | 86 | 3.0 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | North Texas | 109 | 180 | 1.7 | 4 | -- |
| 2022 | UL Monroe | 76 | 176 | 2.3 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 214 | 442 | 2.1 | 7 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 117 | #258/382 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 0 | #285/407 | 30th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 12 | #248/383 | 36th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 48.0% | #339/383 | 12th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 4.7 | #324/382 | 15th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 86 | #148/408 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 9.0% | #282/428 | 34th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 25 | #241/407 | 41st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 29 | #183/408 | 55th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 25 | #138/391 | 65th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.0 | #185/407 | 55th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #151/408 | 63rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 15.5% | #260/428 | 39th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 15.0% | #264/428 | 39th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 9.3% | #169/428 | 61st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 8.7% | #316/428 | 26th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.0% | #292/428 | 32nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 5.9% | #303/428 | 29th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 5.5% | #325/428 | 24th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Justin Wilcox
Pass share
57.0%
502 pass / 379 run
Plays / game
67.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.2%
353 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2024
1 coach2022
Justin Wilcox
California
2023
Justin Wilcox
California
2024
Justin Wilcox
California
Played his entire career under Justin Wilcox.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMansfield, TX
Height6'0"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey7
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamCalifornia
ConferenceACC
Joined2024
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | California | QB4 | #452 | #425 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | North Texas | QB4 | #142 | #286 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2022 | UL Monroe | QB4 | #612 | #930 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | California | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 7 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Mansfield, TX |
| 2023 | North Texas | American Athletic | QB | 4 | No. 7 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Mansfield, TX |
| 2022 | UL Monroe | Sun Belt | QB | 4 | No. 7 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Mansfield, TX |