cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ethan O'Connor /Miami

Ethan O'Connor

DB · Miami · So · #24

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

28 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Miami for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Miami for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · Miami

Returning around him

  • 12% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 9 Miami players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (13 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Miami · Last season: 13-3 (AP #10) · Talent rank #15 · 2026 recruiting class #13

DB · MIAMI · ACC

Ethan O'Connor

  • 2
  • #24
  • 6-1 | 172 lb
  • Irvine, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

52

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11858

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#673 national
CFB
College
Miami
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class2
Jersey24
Measurements6-1 | 172 lb
HometownIrvine, CA
Primary teamMiami

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 673 recruit
Composite rating 0.8769 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin Los Alamitos Los Alamitos, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8769 No. 673 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11858Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11770Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8769

#673 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ethan O'Connor

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ethan O'Connor

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
28Tackles
3.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
30Tackles
3.8Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 28): needs 52/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 28): needs 72/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ethan O'Connor is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Miami's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11858 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 28 22 solo | #1469/4942 (70th pct)
TFL 3.5 Backfield disruption | #869/4972 (83rd pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
28 70th
SOLO
22 80th
TFL
3.5 83rd
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
5 90th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 3W 49-12vs South Florida331.00.00
Wk 6W 28-22@ Florida State211.50.00
Wk 8L 21-24vs Louisville110.00.00
Wk 9W 42-7vs Stanford111.00.01
Wk 10L 20-26@ SMU110.00.00
Wk 12W 41-7vs NC State110.00.00
Wk 13W 34-17@ Virginia Tech310.00.00
Wk 14W 38-7@ Pittsburgh110.00.01
BowlW 10-3@ Texas A&M420.00.00
BowlW 24-14@ Ohio State320.00.01
BowlW 31-27@ Ole Miss330.00.01
BowlL 21-27@ Indiana550.00.01
Total28223.50.05
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Miami13-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Miami28223.50.05----
Career1 loaded season28223.50.05----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 5 Coverage disruption | #218/2184 (90th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 28 #1469/4942 70th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.5 #869/4972 83rd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 5 #218/2184 90th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 22 #902/4584 80th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home4g1.50.50.00.2
Road8g2.80.20.00.5

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g2.30.40.00.4
Losses3g2.30.00.00.3

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.30.40.00.5
Weeks 8+6g1.30.20.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

52Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (90th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Passes defended#218 / 2975 · 91st pct
5defe
Solo tackles#902 / 2975 · 69th pct
22defe
Tackles for loss#866 / 2975 · 69th pct
3.5defe
Tackles#1469 / 2975 · 49th pct
28defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Ethan O'ConnorMiamiTyler MartinMassachusetts· 77% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 76% simRobert FitzgeraldNorthwestern· 72% sim
Passes defended
91
O'Connor
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
86
Fitzgerald
Solo tackles
69
O'Connor
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
100
Fitzgerald
Tackles for loss
69
O'Connor
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
85
Fitzgerald
Tackles
49
O'Connor
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
99
Fitzgerald
Sacks
24
O'Connor
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
24
Fitzgerald
QB hurries
22
O'Connor
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
55
Fitzgerald

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jayden Bellamy’s 2024 season.

Jayden Bellamy

87%match

Syracuse · 2024

#2

Jaheim Clarke

Illinois · 2024

80%
#3

Marquis Groves-Killebrew

Arizona · 2024

78%
#4

Micah Robinson

Tulane · 2024

All-AACNFL Rd 7
76%
#5

Jalil Tucker

Oregon State · 2025

75%

Matches Jayden on

PD rate
Height
Class year

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Dezz Ricks's sophomore season at Texas A&M (2025).

Dezz Ricks

87%match

Texas A&M · 2025

#2

Willizhuan Yates

Ball State · 2025

84%
#3

Therrian Alexander

BYU · 2025

84%
#4

Nicholas Deloach Jr.

Missouri · 2024

83%
#5

Kaiir Elam

Florida · 2021

All-SECNFL Rd 1 · Pk 23
83%

Matches Dezz on

Class year
Height
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mario Cristobal

Pass share

47.2%

496 pass / 554 run

Plays / game

65.6

16 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.1%

245 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Mario Cristobal
Miami

Played his entire career under Mario Cristobal.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownIrvine, CA
Height6'1"
Weight172 lb
Class2
PositionDB
Jersey24

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Washington State DB2 #11858 #11770 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Pac-12
2023 Washington State DB2 #12583 #12488 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Miami ACC DB 2 No. 24 | 6-1 | 172 lb | Irvine, CA
2024 Washington State Pac-12 DB 2 No. 24 | 6-1 | 172 lb | Irvine, CA
2023 Washington State Pac-12 DB 2 No. 24 | 6-1 | 172 lb | Irvine, CA