CFB Zeitgeist Score
44
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 48th percentile.
Gemari Sands
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
465 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 105 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Florida Atlantic for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Running back · Florida Atlantic
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Florida Atlantic · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #82 · 2026 recruiting class #85
RB · FLORIDA ATLANTIC · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
CFB Zeitgeist Score
44
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 48th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#3927
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8583 | No. 1166 recruit | HighSchool |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8583
#1166 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
0
count
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
Why it matters
#476 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 0 TDs on 40 receptions.
Vs cohort
HIGH · n=40 cohort 531
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
To hit 750-yard season (currently 465): needs 285/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 465): needs 535/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 465): needs 1,035/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 15/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 20/game over remaining 1.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Gemari Sands is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 465 rushing yards, 40 catches, and 6 return yards for Florida Atlantic. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-39@ Maryland | 9 | 44 | 4.9 | 0 | 23 | |
| Wk 2 | W 56-14vs Florida A&M | 10 | 83 | 8.3 | 0 | 37 | |
| Wk 3 | L 28-38@ Florida International | 14 | 105 | 7.5 | 0 | 26 | Season-high 105 yds |
| Wk 5 | L 26-55vs Memphis | 5 | 13 | 2.6 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 6 | W 27-21@ Rice | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 7 | W 53-33vs UAB | 11 | 47 | 4.3 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 8 | L 13-48@ South Florida | 7 | 7 | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 9 | L 32-42@ Navy | 7 | 22 | 3.1 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 11 | W 40-21vs Tulsa | 6 | 7 | 1.2 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 12 | L 24-35@ Tulane | 13 | 50 | 3.8 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 13 | L 45-48vs UConn | 11 | 44 | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 14 | L 3-42vs East Carolina | 9 | 34 | 3.8 | 0 | 8 | |
| Total | 105 | 465 | 4.0 | 0 | 37 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Florida Atlantic | 105 | 465 | 4.4 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 105 | 465 | 4.4 | 0 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Florida Atlantic | 40 | 217 | 5.4 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 40 | 217 | 5.4 | 0 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 465 | #181/735 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #447/739 | 40th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.4 | #409/735 | 44th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 40 | #5/552 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 217 | #43/548 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.06 | #279/362 | 23rd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 93 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 16.5% | #140/738 | 81st pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 105 | #150/739 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 37 | #253/733 | 66th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 18 | #258/540 | 52nd pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 5.4 | #384/548 | 30th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 6.0 | #188/199 | 6th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 6 | #189/200 | 6th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #139/206 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 31.7% | #108/738 | 86th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 19.8% | #96/738 | 87th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 17.8% | #180/738 | 76th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 17.3% | #180/738 | 76th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 15.2% | #63/738 | 92nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 13.0% | #119/738 | 84th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 8.1% | #53/738 | 93rd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 38.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Road6g | 39.5 | 3.9 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 36.5 | 4.2 | 0.0 |
| Losses8g | 39.9 | 3.8 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 50.2 | 5.1 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 27.3 | 2.8 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Elite: receptions (98th). Strength: rec yards (88th). Concern: rush tds (3rd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Deployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jaiden Credle’s 2022 season.
Jaiden Credle
Emmett Johnson
Davion Ervin-Poindexter
Jaiden Credle
Marvis Parrish
Matches Jaiden on
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Emmett Johnson's sophomore season at Nebraska (2024).
Emmett Johnson
Cam Fancher
Jaiden Credle
Tyler Vitt
Caden Williams
Matches Emmett on
Differs from Emmett on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Zach Kittley
Pass share
62.3%
580 pass / 351 run
Plays / game
77.6
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.2%
423 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-heavy, fast tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Zach Kittley.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Florida Atlantic | RB2 | #3927 | #4081 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2023 | Florida Atlantic | RB2 | #4424 | #4582 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | American Athletic |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | RB | 2 | No. 23 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| 2024 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | RB | 2 | No. 23 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Fort Lauderdale, FL |
| 2023 | Florida Atlantic | American Athletic | RB | 2 | No. 23 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Fort Lauderdale, FL |