cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jaden Yates /Ole Miss

Jaden Yates

LB · Ole Miss · Jr · #30

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

55 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Ole Miss → Houston for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Houston

2025Ole Miss
2026Houston

LB · OLE MISS · SEC

Jaden Yates

  • 3
  • #30
  • 6-1 | 215 lb
  • Columbus, OH

CFB Zeitgeist Score

43

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 51st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10145

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2024

2023

Marshall · LB

2024

Marshall · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Ole Miss · LB

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1547 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey30
Measurements6-1 | 215 lb
HometownColumbus, OH
Primary teamOle Miss

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1547 recruit
Composite rating 0.8458 HighSchool
Signed with Marshall 2023
Origin Gahanna Lincoln Columbus, OH, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8458 No. 1547 recruit | HighSchool | Marshall

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Houston 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 10, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Ole Miss -> Houston 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate
2025 Marshall -> Ole Miss 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10145Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10663Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Marshall

Composite

0.8458

#1547 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jaden Yates

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jaden Yates

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 15g
55Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Final
55Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jaden Yates is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Ole Miss's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 1.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10145 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 55 16 solo | #484/4942 (90th pct)
TFL 1.5 Backfield disruption | #1771/4972 (64th pct)
Sacks 0.5 Pass-rush finish | #1501/4972 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
55 90th
SOLO
16 71st
TFL
1.5 64th
SACK
0.5 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 15 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 63-7vs Georgia State820.00.00
Wk 2W 30-23@ Kentucky620.00.00
Wk 3W 41-35vs Arkansas420.00.00
Wk 4W 45-10vs Tulane1140.50.00Season-high 11 tackles
Wk 5W 24-19vs LSU310.00.00
Wk 7W 24-21vs Washington State420.00.00
Wk 8L 35-43@ Georgia210.00.00
Wk 9W 34-26@ Oklahoma500.50.50
Wk 10W 30-14vs South Carolina200.00.00
Wk 11W 49-0vs The Citadel100.00.00
Wk 12W 34-24vs Florida100.50.00
Wk 14W 38-19@ Mississippi State200.00.00
BowlW 41-10vs Tulane100.00.00
BowlW 39-34@ Georgia100.00.00
BowlL 27-31vs Miami420.00.00
Total55161.50.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Marshall6-7HC: Charles Huff · Balanced
2024Marshall10-3HC: Charles Huff · Run-leaning
2025Ole Miss13-2HC: Lane Kiffin · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Ole Miss55161.50.5------
2024Marshall114337.00.52----
2023Marshall630.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons175528.51.02----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 55 #484/4942 90th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.5 #1771/4972 64th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.5 #1501/4972 70th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 16 #1348/4584 71st pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 15 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home10g3.90.10.00.0
Road5g3.20.10.10.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins13g3.80.10.00.0
Losses2g3.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-79g4.70.10.00.0
Weeks 8+6g2.20.20.10.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

43Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (83rd). Concern: passes defended (17th).

Tackles#484 / 2975 · 83rd pct
55defe
Solo tackles#1348 / 2975 · 53rd pct
16defe
Sacks#1367 / 2975 · 51st pct
0.5defe
Tackles for loss#1711 / 2975 · 39th pct
1.5defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Jaden YatesOle MissTyler MartinMassachusetts· 71% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 70% simMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 66% sim
Tackles
83
Yates
98
Martin
99
Vaughns
99
Montgomery
Solo tackles
53
Yates
87
Martin
96
Vaughns
82
Montgomery
Sacks
51
Yates
24
Martin
63
Vaughns
89
Montgomery
Tackles for loss
39
Yates
63
Martin
85
Vaughns
85
Montgomery
QB hurries
22
Yates
22
Martin
22
Vaughns
22
Montgomery
Passes defended
18
Yates
67
Martin
48
Vaughns
67
Montgomery

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kalib Fortner’s 2023 season.

Kalib Fortner

87%match

Army · 2023

#2

Jake St. Andre

Louisiana · 2025

86%
#3

Oscar Moore

UTEP · 2024

83%
#4

KJ Robertson

Troy · 2022

81%
#5

Caleb Bonner

Arkansas State · 2021

80%

Matches Kalib on

PD rate
TFL rate
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Stone Combs's junior season at Nevada (2024).

Stone Combs

89%match

Nevada · 2024

#2

Antwan Peek Jr.

Cincinnati · 2025

88%
#3

Marvin Burks Jr.

Missouri · 2025

87%
#4

Brenden Jordan

Texas Tech · 2025

86%
#5

Abram Wright

Rutgers · 2025

86%

Matches Stone on

Class year
Tackle volume
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Lane Kiffin

Pass share

48.2%

521 pass / 560 run

Plays / game

72.1

15 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

330 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss
2024
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss
2025
Lane Kiffin
Ole Miss

Played his entire career under Lane Kiffin.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownColumbus, OH
Height6'1"
Weight215 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey30

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Sun Belt all_conference Marshall | Sun Belt LB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Marshall LB3 #10145 #10663 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Marshall LB3 #12616 #12571 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Ole Miss SEC LB 3 No. 30 | 6-1 | 215 lb | Columbus, OH
2024 Marshall Sun Belt LB 3 No. 30 | 6-1 | 215 lb | Columbus, OH
2023 Marshall Sun Belt LB 3 No. 30 | 6-1 | 215 lb | Columbus, OH