CFB Zeitgeist Score
41
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 63rd percentile.
Jonathan Bax
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
14 TACKLES · 1 SACKS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Florida Atlantic
2025TCU
2026Florida Atlantic
EDGE · TCU · BIG 12
Jonathan Bax
- 3
- #10
- 6-3 | 235 lb
- New Orleans, LA
Heisman Heat
#11697
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DEFENSE AWARD
Nagurski
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
TCU
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8882 | No. 479 recruit | HighSchool | TCU |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | TCU -> Florida Atlantic | 3-star | Immediate |
| 2024 | TCU -> -- | 3-star | Withdrawn |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to TCU
Composite
0.8882
#479 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jonathan Bax
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jonathan Bax
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 9g
14Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
20Tackles
3.6Tackles for loss
1.4Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 14): needs 16.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 14): needs 21.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 1.2/game over remaining 4.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 2.2/game over remaining 4.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jonathan Bax is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on TCU's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
14 50th
SOLO
7 48th
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
1.0 82nd
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
1 43rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 9 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 48-14@ North Carolina | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 3 | W 42-21vs Abilene Christian | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 3 tackles |
| Wk 5 | L 24-27@ Arizona State | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 6 | W 35-21vs Colorado | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | L 28-41@ Kansas State | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 8 | W 42-36vs Baylor | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 9 | W 23-17@ West Virginia | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | L 17-20vs Iowa State | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Bowl | W 30-27vs USC | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 14 | 7 | 2.5 | 1.0 | — | 1 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 14 | #2476/4942 | 50th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 2.5 | #1236/4972 | 75th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 1.0 | #872/4972 | 82nd pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 1 | #1241/2184 | 43rd pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 7 | #2403/4584 | 48th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 9 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Road4g | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Losses3g | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the EDGE cohort
41Mid-pack
Concern: tackles (15th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · EDGE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jonathan BaxTCUMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 53% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 52% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 52% sim
Sacks
Tackles for loss
Passes defended
QB hurries
Solo tackles
Tackles
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Versatile End
Holds up against run and pass without a single dominant trait.
EDGE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kobe Stewart’s 2025 season.
Kobe Stewart
85%match
#2
Will Evans
84%
#3
Lance Holtzclaw
84%
#4
Ron Stone Jr.
82%
#5
Max Michel
81%
Matches Kobe on
Height
Sack rate
TFL rate
Differs from Kobe on
Class year (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Derick Mourning's sophomore season at Texas State (2023).
Derick Mourning
92%match
#2
Devin Lloyd
Consensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 27
92%
#3
Anthony Hill Jr.
All-SECNFL Rd 2 · Pk 28
88%
#4
Christian Harris
All-SECNFL Rd 3 · Pk 11
87%
#5
Edwin Kolenge
85%
Matches Derick on
Class year
Height
TFL rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sonny Dykes
Pass share
51.9%
460 pass / 426 run
Plays / game
68.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.6%
340 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Sonny Dykes
TCU
2025
Sonny Dykes
TCU
Played his entire career under Sonny Dykes.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownNew Orleans, LA
Height6'3"
Weight235 lb
Class3
PositionEDGE
Jersey10
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTCU
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.