CFB Zeitgeist Score
36
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 50th percentile.
Ke'Travion Hargrove
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
268 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 64 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Old Dominion for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Running back · Old Dominion
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Old Dominion · Last season: 10-3 · Talent rank #122 · 2026 recruiting class #102
RB · OLD DOMINION · SUN BELT
CFB Zeitgeist Score
36
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 50th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#2218
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterPart-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025Up 523% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4-star | 0.9001 | No. 310 recruit | HighSchool | Mississippi State |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Grambling -> Old Dominion | 4-star | Immediate |
| 2023 | Mississippi State -> Memphis | 4-star | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Mississippi State
Composite
0.9001
#310 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
To hit 750-yard season (currently 268): needs 241/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 268): needs 366/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 268): needs 616/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 3/game over remaining 2.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 5.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 8/game over remaining 2.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Ke'Travion Hargrove's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Old Dominion, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 14-27@ Indiana | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 2 | W 54-6vs North Carolina Central | 5 | 25 | 5.0 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 3 | W 45-26@ Virginia Tech | 7 | 36 | 5.1 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 5 | W 21-7vs Liberty | 5 | 19 | 3.8 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 6 | W 47-7vs Coastal Carolina | 6 | 47 | 7.8 | 0 | 29 | Season-high 47 yds |
| Wk 7 | L 24-48@ Marshall | 6 | 13 | 2.2 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 9 | W 24-21vs App State | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wk 10 | W 31-6@ UL Monroe | 9 | 38 | 4.2 | 1 | 12 | |
| Wk 12 | W 33-0vs Troy | 6 | 20 | 3.3 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 13 | W 45-10@ Georgia Southern | 10 | 40 | 4.0 | 3 | 12 | 3 rushing TDs |
| Wk 14 | W 27-10vs Georgia State | 6 | 22 | 3.7 | 0 | 15 | |
| Total | 64 | 268 | 3.9 | 4 | 29 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Old Dominion | 64 | 268 | 4.2 | 4 | -- |
| 2023 | Memphis | 11 | 43 | 3.9 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 75 | 311 | 4.1 | 5 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Old Dominion | 6 | 192 | 32.0 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Memphis | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 6 | 192 | 32.0 | 2 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 268 | #285/735 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #154/739 | 79th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.2 | #455/735 | 38th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 6 | #291/552 | 47th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 192 | #63/548 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.05 | #298/362 | 18th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 56 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 9.6% | #331/738 | 55th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 64 | #261/739 | 65th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 29 | #303/733 | 59th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 80 | #4/540 | 99th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 32.0 | #6/548 | 99th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #20/552 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 14.3% | #368/738 | 50th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 11.5% | #312/738 | 58th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 10.5% | #337/738 | 54th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.7% | #398/738 | 46th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 6.9% | #355/738 | 52nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.3% | #378/738 | 49th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 2.3% | #376/738 | 49th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/256 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 22.3 | 4.1 | 0.0 |
| Road5g | 26.8 | 3.6 | 0.8 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 27.6 | 4.2 | 0.4 |
| Losses2g | 10.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 24.5 | 4.4 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 24.2 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Elite: fumbles lost (86th). Strength: rec yards (82nd). Concern: rush yards (18th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2023
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ronald Awatt’s 2020 season.
Ronald Awatt
Daijun Edwards
Christian Turner
Willie Shaw III
Anthony Grant
Matches Ronald on
Differs from Ronald on
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Bryant Barr’s path through Campbell.
Bryant Barr
Justin Henderson
Rickey Spruill
Ryan Ingram
Matt Jones
Matches Bryant on
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to CJ Ogbonna's junior season at Buffalo (2024).
CJ Ogbonna
Logan Smothers
Dewayne Coleman
Dillon Gabriel
Johnathan Arceneaux
Matches CJ on
Differs from CJ on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Ricky Rahne
Pass share
38.0%
330 pass / 539 run
Plays / game
66.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.4%
267 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Ricky Rahne.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Memphis | RB4 | #2218 | #2008 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2022 | Mississippi State | RB4 | #2073 | #1797 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Old Dominion | Sun Belt | RB | 4 | No. 18 | 6-0 | 201 lb | Ruston, LA |
| 2023 | Memphis | American Athletic | RB | 4 | No. 18 | 6-0 | 201 lb | Ruston, LA |
| 2022 | Mississippi State | SEC | RB | 4 | No. 18 | 6-0 | 201 lb | Ruston, LA |