CFB Zeitgeist Score
53
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 53rd percentile.
Michael Allen
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
385 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 77 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Marshall for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Marshall
Returning around him
- 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: +5 net (27 in / 22 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Marshall · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #89 · 2026 recruiting class #120
RB · MARSHALL · SUN BELT
Michael Allen
- 3
- #2
- 5-11 | 206 lb
- Greenville, NC
Heisman Heat
#607
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025+44%
Up 44% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4-star | 0.9022 | No. 292 recruit | HighSchool | NC State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to NC State
Composite
0.9022
#292 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Michael Allen
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- National · n=4
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Michael Allen
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 8g
385Rush yards
77Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
48.1Rush yards
10Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
625.6Rush yards
125Carries
6Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 385): needs 73/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 385): needs 123/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 385): needs 223/game over remaining 5.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 1.2/game over remaining 5.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 2.2/game over remaining 5.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 3.2/game over remaining 5.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Michael Allen's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Marshall, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
77 71st
YDS
385 71st
YPC
5.0 62nd
TD
4 79th
Receiving
REC
12 68th
YDS
139 82nd
YPR
11.6 86th
TD
1 89th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 8 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-45@ Georgia | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 3 | W 38-7vs Eastern Kentucky | 5 | 40 | 8.0 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 4 | W 42-28@ Middle Tennessee | 21 | 90 | 4.3 | 1 | 11 | |
| Wk 5 | L 51-54@ Louisiana | 19 | 138 | 7.3 | 2 | 68 | Season-high 138 yds |
| Wk 7 | W 48-24vs Old Dominion | 11 | 37 | 3.4 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 12 | W 30-18@ Georgia State | 6 | 43 | 7.2 | 1 | 22 | |
| Wk 13 | L 24-26@ App State | 8 | 18 | 2.3 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 14 | L 19-24vs Georgia Southern | 5 | 14 | 2.8 | 0 | 7 | |
| Total | 77 | 385 | 4.7 | 4 | 68 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022NC State8-5HC: Dave Doeren · Balanced
2023NC State9-4HC: Dave Doeren · Run-leaning
2024UNLV11-3HC: Barry Odom · Run-heavy
2025Marshall5-7HC: Tony Gibson · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 385 | #215/735 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #154/739 | 79th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.0 | #280/735 | 62nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 12 | #180/552 | 68th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 139 | #102/548 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.14 | #141/362 | 61st pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 71 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 16.4% | #145/738 | 80th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 77 | #215/739 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 68 | #68/733 | 91st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 49 | #50/540 | 91st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.6 | #76/548 | 86th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #60/552 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 17.0 | #118/199 | 41st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 17 | #161/200 | 20th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #139/206 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 23.1% | #211/738 | 72nd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 21.8% | #111/738 | 85th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 19.6% | #135/738 | 82nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 13.1% | #236/738 | 68th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 9.8% | #208/738 | 72nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.1% | #288/738 | 61st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 6.7% | #94/738 | 87th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #78/256 | 70th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 8 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 30.3 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
| Road5g | 58.8 | 4.7 | 0.8 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 52.5 | 5.7 | 0.5 |
| Losses4g | 43.8 | 3.7 | 0.5 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 62.0 | 5.1 | 0.6 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 25.0 | 4.1 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
53Mid-pack
Elite: long run (81st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.14Mid (p50–p75) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Michael AllenMarshallBill DavisLouisiana· 73% simTae MeadowsTroy· 72% simJevon JacksonUAB· 72% sim
Long run
Rec yards
Yards / carry
Rush TDs
Receptions
Fumbles lost
Rush yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Frank Peasant’s 2022 season.
Frank Peasant
86%match
#2
Anthony Watkins
84%
#3
Trevion Cooley
84%
#4
Elijah Gilliam
78%
#5
Larry McCammon III
77%
Matches Frank on
Yards / carry
Weight
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Differs from Frank on
Recruiting rating (higher)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Narii Gaither’s path through Gardner-Webb.
Narii Gaither
97%match
#2
Larry McCammon III
All-Conference USA
96%
#3
Andrew Body
95%
#4
Garrett Groshek
94%
#5
Tyler Purdy
94%
Matches Narii on
Yards per carry
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Ajay Allen's senior season at Tulsa (2025).
Ajay Allen
78%match
#2
Anthony Watkins
All-AAC
74%
#3
Brandon Campbell
74%
#4
Zylan Perry
70%
#5
Myles Montgomery
69%
Matches Ajay on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Weight
Receiving share
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Tony Gibson
Pass share
40.4%
335 pass / 495 run
Plays / game
69.2
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.0%
244 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Charles Huff
Marshall
2023
Charles Huff
Marshall
2024
Charles Huff
Marshall
2025era →
Tony Gibson
Marshall
Coaching transition mid-career: Charles Huff → Tony Gibson. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownGreenville, NC
Height5'11"
Weight206 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMarshall
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.