cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Malik Willis /Texas State

Malik Willis

CB · Texas State · So · #37

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

20 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

NOW IN NFLTennessee — drafted 2022, Rd 3, Pick 22, #86 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

TennesseeEntering 5th NFL season

#86Rd 3 · Pick 22
TennesseeEntering 5th NFL season

CB · TEXAS STATE · SUN BELT

Malik Willis

  • 2
  • #37
  • 6-2 | 175 lb
  • Riviera Beach, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

23

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by solo tackles at the 47th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Texas State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R3 · #86
Tennessee · 2022

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionCB
Class2
Jersey37
Measurements6-2 | 175 lb
HometownRiviera Beach, FL
Primary teamTexas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Texas State 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 30, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Campbell -> Texas State 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

NFL Draft

2022 · Rd 3, Pick 22

#86 overall · Tennessee

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Malik Willis

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Malik Willis

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
20Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
29Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 20): needs 15/game over remaining 4.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 20): needs 20/game over remaining 4.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 4.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Malik Willis is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Texas State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 0.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 20 14 solo | #1998/4942 (60th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
20 60th
SOLO
14 67th
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 52-27vs Eastern Michigan110.00.00
Wk 3L 15-34@ Arizona State330.00.00Season-high 3 tackles
Wk 4W 35-3vs Nicholls220.00.00
Wk 6L 30-31@ Arkansas State320.00.00
Wk 11L 39-42@ Louisiana210.00.00
Wk 12W 41-14@ Southern Miss200.00.00
Wk 13W 31-14vs UL Monroe310.00.00
Wk 14W 49-26vs South Alabama330.00.00
BowlW 41-10vs Rice110.00.00
Total20140.00.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Texas State7-6HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Texas State20140.00.0------
Career1 loaded season20140.00.0------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 20 #1998/4942 60th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 14 #1520/4584 67th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.00.00.00.0
Road4g2.50.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g2.00.00.00.0
Losses3g2.70.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.00.00.00.0
Weeks 8+4g2.50.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort

23Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

Solo tackles#1520 / 2975 · 47th pct
14defe
Tackles#1998 / 2975 · 32nd pct
20defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · CB · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Malik WillisTexas StateTyler MartinMassachusetts· 56% simBlake FletcherAir Force· 51% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 50% sim
Solo tackles
47
Willis
87
Martin
91
Fletcher
100
Ra-El
Tackles
32
Willis
98
Martin
99
Fletcher
99
Ra-El
Sacks
24
Willis
24
Martin
24
Fletcher
24
Ra-El
QB hurries
22
Willis
22
Martin
92
Fletcher
22
Ra-El
Passes defended
18
Willis
67
Martin
67
Fletcher
91
Ra-El
Tackles for loss
7
Willis
63
Martin
28
Fletcher
56
Ra-El

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Press Corner

Long and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line.

CB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Corey Coley Jr.’s 2022 season.

Corey Coley Jr.

74%match

Maryland · 2022

#2

Tre Hines

Buffalo · 2023

70%
#3

Yessman Green

UTEP · 2025

70%
#4

Brandon Turnage

Tennessee · 2021

70%
#5

Channing Canada

TCU · 2023

69%

Matches Corey on

PD rate
Weight
Height

Differs from Corey on

Class year (lower)
Tackle volume (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Tyson McWilliams's sophomore season at California (2022).

Tyson McWilliams

91%match

California · 2022

#2

Aaron Williams

UCLA · 2025

90%
#3

La'khi Roland

Maryland · 2025

89%
#4

Kobe Black

Texas · 2025

87%
#5

Elijah Wood

San José State · 2022

86%

Matches Tyson on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

G.J. Kinne

Pass share

39.5%

358 pass / 549 run

Plays / game

69.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.4%

267 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
G.J. Kinne
Texas State

Played his entire career under G.J. Kinne.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRiviera Beach, FL
Height6'2"
Weight175 lb
Class2
PositionCB
Jersey37

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas State Sun Belt CB 2 No. 37 | 6-2 | 175 lb | Riviera Beach, FL