cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Zachary Palmer-Smith /UL Monroe

Zachary Palmer-Smith

RB · UL Monroe · Sr · #6

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

660 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 115 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UL Monroe for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UL Monroe for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Running back · UL Monroe

Returning around him

  • 78% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +3 net (20 in / 17 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UL Monroe · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #124 · 2026 recruiting class #115

RB · UL MONROE · SUN BELT

Zachary Palmer-Smith

  • 4
  • #6
  • 6-0 | 210 lb
  • Delran, NJ

CFB Zeitgeist Score

59

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 79th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
UL Monroe
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey6
Measurements6-0 | 210 lb
HometownDelran, NJ
Primary teamUL Monroe

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (660).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Zachary Palmer-Smith

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Zachary Palmer-Smith

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
660Rush yards
115Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
55Rush yards
10Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
715Rush yards
125Carries
4Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 660): needs 90/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 660): needs 340/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 660): needs 840/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 11/game over remaining 1.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 16/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Zachary Palmer-Smith's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UL Monroe, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load 16.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 707 660 rush | 47 rec | #101/735 (86th pct)
Rush TD 4 115 carries | #154/739 (79th pct)
Yards/carry 5.7 Per-rush efficiency | #152/735 (79th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse against FBS RB peers.

Workhorse

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
115 83rd
YDS
660 86th
YPC
5.7 79th
TD
4 79th

Receiving

REC
7 51st
YDS
47 47th
YPR
6.7 47th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 29-0vs St. Francis (PA)6213.5011
Wk 2L 0-73@ Alabama482.007
Wk 4W 31-25@ UTEP6122.005
Wk 5W 28-16vs Arkansas State88410.5156
Wk 6L 7-42@ Northwestern341.303
Wk 7L 8-23@ Coastal Carolina8374.6020
Wk 8L 14-37vs Troy10787.8028
Wk 9L 21-49@ Southern Miss1111110.1129
Wk 10L 6-31vs Old Dominion18965.3020
Wk 12L 14-26vs South Alabama6152.508
Wk 13L 14-31@ Texas State15805.3129
Wk 14L 27-30@ Louisiana201145.7122Season-high 114 yds
Total1156605.0456
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025UL Monroe3-9HC: Bryant Vincent · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025UL Monroe1156605.74--
Career1 loaded season1156605.74--
SeasonTeam
2025UL Monroe7476.70--
Career1 loaded season7476.70--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 7 47 rec yds | #270/552 (51st pct)
Usage 16.4% 27.6% rush share | #145/738 (80th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.13 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #156/362 (57th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 660 #101/735 86th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #154/739 79th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.7 #152/735 79th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 7 #270/552 51st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 47 #294/548 47th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.13 #156/362 57th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 108 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 16.4% #145/738 80th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 115 #127/739 83rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 56 #127/733 83rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 13 #347/540 36th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 6.7 #292/548 47th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 27.6% #148/738 80th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 20.5% #119/738 84th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 20.3% #137/738 82nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 15.7% #158/738 79th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 10.9% #173/738 77th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 9.3% #231/738 69th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 2.8% #333/738 55th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home5g58.85.90.2
Road7g52.34.40.4

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins3g39.05.30.3
Losses9g60.35.00.3

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g27.74.00.2
Weeks 8+6g82.36.10.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

59Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rec yards (26th).

Yards / carry#68 / 349 · 79th pct
5.7rush
Rush yards#101 / 349 · 71st pct
660rush
Long run#116 / 349 · 66th pct
56rush
Carries#127 / 349 · 64th pct
115rush
Rush TDs#153 / 349 · 50th pct
4rush
Receptions#240 / 338 · 27th pct
7rece
Rec yards#250 / 338 · 26th pct
47rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.13Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Zachary Palmer-SmithUL MonroeJeremiah CobbAuburn· 83% simSire GainesBoise State· 79% simQuinton JacksonRice· 79% sim
Yards / carry
79
Palmer-Smith
71
Cobb
53
Gaines
49
Jackson
Rush yards
71
Palmer-Smith
88
Cobb
82
Gaines
85
Jackson
Long run
66
Palmer-Smith
51
Cobb
51
Gaines
88
Jackson
Carries
64
Palmer-Smith
88
Cobb
84
Gaines
89
Jackson
Rush TDs
50
Palmer-Smith
62
Cobb
84
Gaines
72
Jackson
Receptions
27
Palmer-Smith
45
Cobb
45
Gaines
12
Jackson
Rec yards
26
Palmer-Smith
47
Cobb
41
Gaines
42
Jackson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Oscar Adaway III’s 2020 season.

Oscar Adaway III

77%match

North Texas · 2020

#2

Jalen Buckley

Western Michigan · 2025

All-MAC
79%
#3

Tayvon Ruley

Temple · 2021

77%
#4

Harrison Waylee

Wyoming · 2023

74%
#5

Jaylon Armstead

San Diego State · 2022

72%

Matches Oscar on

Receiving share
Weight
Yards / carry

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Otis Anderson’s path through UCF.

Otis Anderson

97%match

UCF · 2020

#2

LaDarius Owens

Texas Southern · 2023

95%
#3

Rhamondre Stevenson

Oklahoma · 2020

NFL Rd 4
95%
#4

Najee Harris

Alabama · 2020

Doak WalkerConsensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 24
95%
#5

Mekhi Sargent

Iowa · 2020

93%

Matches Otis on

Yards per carry

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Reggie Love III's senior season at Illinois (2023).

Reggie Love III

82%match

Illinois · 2023

#2

Harrison Waylee

Wyoming · 2023

All-MAC
76%
#3

Kaelon Black

Indiana · 2025

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 26
76%
#4

Marlon Gunn

East Carolina · 2025

76%
#5

Sam Franklin

South Florida · 2025

75%

Matches Reggie on

EPA / carry (adj)
Receiving share
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bryant Vincent

Pass share

41.4%

302 pass / 428 run

Plays / game

60.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.3%

241 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Bryant Vincent
UL Monroe

Played his entire career under Bryant Vincent.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDelran, NJ
Height6'0"
Weight210 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UL Monroe Sun Belt RB 4 No. 6 | 6-0 | 210 lb | Delran, NJ