CFB Zeitgeist Score
55
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 77th percentile.
Abu Sama III
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
732 RUSH YDS · 5 RUSH TD · 141 CARRIES
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Wisconsin
2025Iowa State
2026Wisconsin
RB · IOWA STATE · BIG 12
Abu Sama III
- 3
- #24
- 5-11 | 210 lb
- Des Moines, IA
Heisman Heat
#1308
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025+19%
Modest growth (19%) across the multi-season window.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Iowa State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8756 | No. 711 recruit | HighSchool | Iowa State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Iowa State -> Wisconsin | 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Iowa State
Composite
0.8756
#711 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Abu Sama III
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Abu Sama III
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Rushing WEPA per carry
+0.130
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries
National rank #36 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 46th
Why it matters
#36 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.130 EPA/carry on 92 carries.
Vs cohort
This player +0.130 (46th)
MODERATE · n=92 cohort 66
- Also strong
- Yards per carry#27 / 69
- Rushing yards (total)#30 / 69
Signature Moment
Week 7 at Colorado — 177 ypc
Result L 17-24
The week the volume broke through — put up 177 yds at Colorado.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
732Rush yards
141Carries
5Rush TDs
Per game
61Rush yards
12Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
793Rush yards
153Carries
5Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 732): needs 18/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 732): needs 268/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 732): needs 768/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 5/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 10/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 15/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Abu Sama III's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Iowa State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
141 89th
YDS
732 89th
YPC
5.2 67th
TD
5 85th
Receiving
REC
5 43rd
YDS
19 29th
YPR
3.8 14th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 24-21@ Kansas State | 14 | 43 | 3.1 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 1 | W 55-7vs South Dakota | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | 1 | 15 | |
| Wk 2 | W 16-13vs Iowa | 12 | 47 | 3.9 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 3 | W 24-16@ Arkansas State | 9 | 69 | 7.7 | 1 | 44 | |
| Wk 5 | W 39-14vs Arizona | 12 | 26 | 2.2 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 6 | L 30-38@ Cincinnati | 18 | 96 | 5.3 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 7 | L 17-24@ Colorado | 24 | 177 | 7.4 | 2 | 38 | Season-high 177 yds |
| Wk 9 | L 27-41vs BYU | 9 | 63 | 7.0 | 0 | 28 | |
| Wk 10 | L 19-24vs Arizona State | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 11 | W 20-17@ TCU | 7 | 30 | 4.3 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 13 | W 38-14vs Kansas | 19 | 57 | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 14 | W 20-13@ Oklahoma State | 12 | 87 | 7.3 | 1 | 40 | |
| Total | 141 | 732 | 5.5 | 5 | 44 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Iowa State7-6HC: Matt Campbell · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Iowa State8-4HC: Matt Campbell · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | 141 | 732 | 5.2 | 5 | -- |
| 2023 | Iowa State | 84 | 614 | 7.3 | 6 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 225 | 1,346 | 6.0 | 11 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | 5 | 19 | 3.8 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Iowa State | 7 | 51 | 7.3 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 12 | 70 | 5.8 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 732 | #82/735 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 5 | #115/739 | 85th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.2 | #240/735 | 67th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 5 | #315/552 | 43rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 19 | #388/548 | 29th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.13 | #156/362 | 57th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 92 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 20.5% | #84/738 | 89th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 141 | #80/739 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 44 | #207/733 | 72nd pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 5 | #482/540 | 11th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 3.8 | #471/548 | 14th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 35.0% | #91/738 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 24.5% | #89/738 | 88th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 24.3% | #86/738 | 88th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 22.7% | #71/738 | 91st pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 11.3% | #150/738 | 80th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 8.9% | #246/738 | 67th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 3.2% | #287/738 | 61st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #78/256 | 70th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 38.3 | 5.1 | 0.2 |
| Road6g | 83.7 | 5.9 | 0.7 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 47.8 | 4.9 | 0.4 |
| Losses4g | 87.5 | 6.7 | 0.5 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 68.7 | 5.3 | 0.6 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 50.2 | 5.7 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
55Solid starter
Concern: rec yards (11th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.13Low (p25–p50) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Abu Sama IIIIowa StateChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 87% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 86% simJordan GantAkron· 86% sim
Carries
Rush yards
Yards / carry
Rush TDs
Fumbles lost
Long run
Receptions
Rec yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Harrison Waylee’s 2021 season.
Harrison Waylee
83%match
#2
Ikaika Ragsdale
79%
#3
Bryson Kuzdzal
79%
#4
Jaziun Patterson
79%
#5
Jabari Small
79%
Matches Harrison on
Yards / carry
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Class year
Differs from Harrison on
Recruiting rating (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Rhamondre Stevenson’s path through Oklahoma.
Rhamondre Stevenson
96%match
NFL Rd 4
#2
Mekhi Sargent
95%
#3
Percy Agyei-Obese
All-Sun Belt
92%
#4
Chase Brown
91%
#5
Reynaldo Flores
91%
Matches Rhamondre on
Yards per carry
Recruiting rating
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jaziun Patterson's junior season at Iowa (2024).
Jaziun Patterson
88%match
#2
Ja'shon Benjamin
76%
#3
Christian Turner
76%
#4
Kaelon Black
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 26
75%
#5
Jordan Nubin
75%
Matches Jaziun on
Yards / carry
Rush TD rate
Receiving share
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Matt Campbell
Pass share
42.4%
345 pass / 469 run
Plays / game
67.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
296 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
2025
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
Played his entire career under Matt Campbell.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownDes Moines, IA
Height5'11"
Weight210 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey24
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamIowa State
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Iowa State | RB3 | #1308 | #1080 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Iowa State | RB3 | #300 | #367 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | Big 12 | RB | 3 | No. 24 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Des Moines, IA |
| 2024 | Iowa State | Big 12 | RB | 3 | No. 24 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Des Moines, IA |
| 2023 | Iowa State | Big 12 | RB | 3 | No. 24 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Des Moines, IA |