Ohio State
1-1AP #6Big Ten · Ryan Day, year 9 (83-13) · Ohio Stadium · 102,780 · 101,120 avg in 2026
LastL 23–24 at Texas · Sat Sep 12 · Jeremiah Smith 164 rec yds, 1 TD
Nextvs Kent State · Sat Sep 19 · 12 pm ET · Ohio Stadium · Ohio State by 53 · series 3-0, won the last 3 · Game preview
Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2
All 90 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.57 EPA/play | 10 | 2 | 38 / 57 | 66.7 | 598 #19 FBS | 10.5 | 4 #36 FBS | 1 | 174.4 | 74 | 88.3 | 10.0 | 6.6 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0.09 EPA/play | 25 | 2 | 28 | 157 #54 FBS | 5.6 | 1 | 65 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Threat · +1.14 EPA/play | 4 | 2 | 16 | 315 #5 FBS | 19.7 | 3 #9 FBS | 48 | |
Yards by week → Deep ThreatStretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play. National watch / fringe All-American — on the edge of a 1st-team nod. This week's matchup — WR Smith beats you over the top. Dixon is the one who wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Season receipt Yards / reception20.2 95th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)1.1 88th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jeremiah Smith's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.30 EPA/play | 3 | 2 | 7 | 102 | 14.6 | 1 | 19 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | 0 | |
| 55 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 5 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 17 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 #22 FBS |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Centerfielder | 1 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 11 of 46 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate6.7% 67th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Earl Little II's full player page | |||||||
| Press Corner | 6 | 2 | 10 | 2 #43 FBS | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Press CornerLong and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line. 6 of 24 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Height6'2" 90th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Devin Sanchez's full player page | |||||||
| 7 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | |
| 25 | 2 | 7 | 2 #43 FBS | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 #22 FBS | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96 | 2 | 3/4 | 75 | 9/9 | 18 | 48 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 2 | 6 | 240 | 40 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| +1.25 EPA/play | — | 2 | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | 0 | 16 |
| -0.21 EPA/play | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
2026 stat leaders · Ohio State
through 2 gamesJeremiah Smith leads Ohio State with 315 receiving yards through 2 games.
Ohio State fields an elite methodical, ball-control offense behind an elite, bend-don't-break defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Ohio State reads strongest in success rate (top 1%) and explosive plays allowed (top 1%); the crux lives in explosive plays, where Ohio State sits at the 6th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · Ohio State · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Ohio State is worth +6.0 points more at home than on the road.
Top third of FBS, 80th percentile of 133 programs
94% at home, 86% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (50–3 home, 30–5 away). Interval ±3.8.
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Ohio State has beaten the number by +3.5 more at home than away over 73 games — inside the ±6.7 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Ohio Stadium seats 102,780 and has averaged 101% full (104,214, 30 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 279 miles trip since 2018, the 27th-shortest of 135 FBS venues. Whatever the band above is picking up, it isn't the flight. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 28% of the 2026 roster (32 of 116 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 55 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
Scheme claims
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Ohio State hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
90th percentile success on standard downs, 40th on passing downs — a 50-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| App State | 44th | 90th |
| Arizona | 92nd | 86th |
| Arkansas | 60th | 80th |
| Auburn | 75th | 55th |
| Ball State | 12th | 24th |
| Baylor | 40th | 96th |
| Boise State | 58th | 46th |
| Boston College | 27th | 56th |
| Buffalo | 7th | 14th |
| California | 9th | 25th |
| Central Michigan | 16th | 6th |
| Charlotte | 73rd | 83rd |
| Clemson | 1st | 19th |
| Coastal Carolina | 61st | 52nd |
| Colorado | 35th | 77th |
| Colorado State | 82nd | 91st |
| Delaware | 70th | 31st |
| Duke | 20th | 29th |
| Eastern Michigan | 52nd | 10th |
| Florida Atlantic | 43rd | 87th |
| Florida International | 46th | 43rd |
| Florida State | 28th | 65th |
| Georgia Southern | 24th | 45th |
| Georgia Tech | 58th | 44th |
| Hawai'i | 18th | 41st |
| Iowa State | 4th | 23rd |
| Jacksonville State | 65th | 82nd |
| Kansas | 70th | 35th |
| LSU | 33rd | 98th |
| Liberty | 14th | 59th |
| Louisiana | 19th | 92nd |
| Louisville | 96th | 70th |
| Memphis | 69th | 65th |
| Michigan | 2nd | 62nd |
| Michigan State | 62nd | 29th |
| Middle Tennessee | 87th | 68th |
| Missouri | 36th | 85th |
| Navy | 98th | 59th |
| Nevada | 77th | 52nd |
| New Mexico State | 45th | 75th |
| Norfolk State | 16th | 9th |
| North Dakota State | 86th | 27th |
| North Texas | 49th | 68th |
| Ohio | 38th | 17th |
| Ohio State | 90th | 40th |
| Oklahoma State | 41st | 49th |
| Ole Miss | 94th | 50th |
| Oregon | 35th | 33rd |
| Oregon State | 10th | 38th |
| Pittsburgh | 30th | 76th |
| Purdue | 83rd | 88th |
| Rutgers | 30th | 71st |
| Sacramento State | 23rd | 14th |
| Sam Houston | 78th | 61st |
| San Diego State | 4th | 40th |
| San José State | 54th | 22nd |
| South Alabama | 50th | 73rd |
| South Florida | 91st | 52nd |
| Stanford | 76th | 15th |
| Syracuse | 48th | 64th |
| TCU | 93rd | 8th |
| Tennessee | 65th | 78th |
| Texas | 72nd | 94th |
| Texas A&M | 85th | 72nd |
| Texas Tech | 88th | 48th |
| Troy | 22nd | 59th |
| Tulane | 31st | 2nd |
| Tulsa | 56th | 1st |
| UAB | 65th | 81st |
| UNLV | 51st | 7th |
| USC | 97th | 99th |
| UTSA | 99th | 29th |
| Utah State | 4th | 93rd |
| Vanderbilt | 80th | 12th |
| Wake Forest | 56th | 97th |
| Washington | 81st | 4th |
| Washington State | 8th | 3rd |
| Western Kentucky | 25th | 34th |
| Western Michigan | 39th | 20th |
| Wisconsin | 13th | 18th |
| Wyoming | 65th | 36th |
Tendency drift
Season by season
How Ohio State’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
Pass-depth identity
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Ohio State’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (65.2% vs 65.2% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 66-play sample) — mid-pack, 10 of 18 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Ohio State
Reads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Conditions
61°F average kickoff temp; 6% of games had measurable precipitation; 9 mph average wind.
Based on 84 home games with weather data.