SC South Carolina 2-2 18 ALA No. 8 Alabama4-0 49 Final No. 8 Alabama routed South Carolina 49-18. Share this game
We had Alabama favored. It won.
Top comment in the game thread
Murderball is back on the table, boys!
Q2 2:20 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 26 How it swung Watch the plays Drives What it cost Box score Weather Before kickoff How it swung The turning point: Russell 75-yd TD pass to Brooks, Alabama goes ahead 7-0 (Q1, 5:53). Alabama went from 78% to 93% to win. Fans right then: “That was a 4th and inches play not a 4th and 2 play” r/CFB game thread
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Alabama a 72% chance, and the closing betting line (Alabama was a 12.5-point favorite) put it at 84%.
Pick-six Alabama · Q2 2:20Final Alabama 49-18 South Carolina Alabama won Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. Final South Carolina 18-49 Alabama South Carolina lost Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Alabama Won 49-18 1 +15 Scores Pick-six Alabama S. Carolina Alabama fans: 2 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 11 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 2 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 14 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 15 comments a minute Alabama fans: 16 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 27 comments a minute Alabama fans: 14 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 2 comments a minute Alabama fans: 1 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 11 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 14 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 14 comments a minute Alabama fans: 12 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 15 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 18 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 13 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 11 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 9 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 13 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 12 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 15 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 15 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 13 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 15 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 9 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 1 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 1 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 5 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 5 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 5 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Alabama Won 49-18 1 Scores Pick-six Alabama South C… Alabama fans: 2 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 11 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 2 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 14 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 15 comments a minute Alabama fans: 16 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 27 comments a minute Alabama fans: 14 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 2 comments a minute Alabama fans: 1 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 11 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 14 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 14 comments a minute Alabama fans: 12 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 15 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 18 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 13 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 11 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 9 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 13 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 12 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 15 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 15 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 13 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 15 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 9 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 1 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 1 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 5 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 5 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 5 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Alabama Lowest 0% Lost 18-49 1 −15 Scores Pick-six S. Carolina Alabama South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 15 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 18 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 13 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 11 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 9 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 13 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 12 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 15 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 15 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 13 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 15 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 9 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 1 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 1 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 5 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 5 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 5 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute Alabama fans: 2 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 11 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 2 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 14 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 15 comments a minute Alabama fans: 16 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 27 comments a minute Alabama fans: 14 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 2 comments a minute Alabama fans: 1 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 11 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 14 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 14 comments a minute Alabama fans: 12 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Alabama Lowest 0% Lost 18-49 1 Scores Pick-six South C… Alabama South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 15 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 18 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 13 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 11 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 9 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 13 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 12 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 15 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 15 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 13 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 8 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 15 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 9 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 1 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 1 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 5 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 3 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 7 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 5 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 10 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 6 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 4 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 5 comments a minute South Carolina fans: 2 comments a minute Alabama fans: 2 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 11 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 2 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 14 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 15 comments a minute Alabama fans: 16 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 10 comments a minute Alabama fans: 27 comments a minute Alabama fans: 14 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 8 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 2 comments a minute Alabama fans: 1 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 6 comments a minute Alabama fans: 11 comments a minute Alabama fans: 4 comments a minute Alabama fans: 3 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 9 comments a minute Alabama fans: 14 comments a minute Alabama fans: 13 comments a minute Alabama fans: 14 comments a minute Alabama fans: 12 comments a minute Alabama fans: 7 comments a minute Alabama fans: 5 comments a minute
See it from South Carolina’s side The play that swung it
1 Q1 5:53 Russell 75-yd TD pass to Brooks, Alabama goes ahead 7-0 Alabama 78% → 93% (+15) The play that swung it
1 Q1 5:53 Russell 75-yd TD pass to Brooks, Alabama goes ahead 7-0 South Carolina 22% → 7% (−15) What fans said, play by play
The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.
Q1 6:03 South Carolina fans rip Shane Beamer for calling a failed sneak on fourth down If I see Beamer clapping after a terrible play I’m going to lose it r/CFB game thread That was a 4th and inches play not a 4th and 2 play r/CFB game thread Q1 0:00 Alabama fans praise Keelon Russell's pocket presence and Ryan Coleman-Williams' gloves after the touchdown Russell looks so good for his age. r/CFB game thread Keelon Russel is so good (x4) r/CFB game thread Q2 7:22 Russell throws deep touchdown to Coleman-Williams as South Carolina fans rage at defense How do you keep allowing Coleman-Williams to get behind the defense completely alone? He's the 1 wr that should have eyes and a person near him at all time, make someone else beat… r/CFB game thread Q2 2:20 Alabama fans celebrate murderball as Sellers throws pick-six to Morgan Quoted at the top of the page. welcome back joyless murderball, i've missed you dearly r/CFB game thread Q3 11:29 A player hurdled a defender. like a gazelle r/CFB game thread Alabama’s chance to win after every play. How to read this chart Starts from the pregame line (Alabama -12.5), at 78% for Alabama (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Alabama or South Carolina flair (1,525 and 1,348); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to. Watch the plays The bar and the arrow show Alabama’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.
Play all in order Q1, 5:53 Russell 75-yd TD pass to Brooks Alabama goes ahead 7-0 Q1, 5:53 · Alabama 7, South Carolina 0 ▲15% Alabama’s chance to win, 78% to 93% ▲15% Alabama’s chance to win, 78% to 93% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q1, 0:00 Russell 32-yd TD pass to Coleman-Williams Alabama leads 14-0 Q1, 0:00 · Alabama 14, South Carolina 0 ▲4% Alabama’s chance to win, 93% to 97% ▲4% Alabama’s chance to win, 93% to 97% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q2, 7:22 Russell 42-yd TD pass to Coleman-Williams Alabama leads 21-3 Q2, 7:22 · Alabama 21, South Carolina 3 ▲2% Alabama’s chance to win, 96% to 98% ▲2% Alabama’s chance to win, 96% to 98% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q2, 2:33 Russell 3-yd TD pass to Ford Alabama leads 28-3 Q2, 2:33 · Alabama 28, South Carolina 3 ▲2% Alabama’s chance to win, 98% to 100% ▲2% Alabama’s chance to win, 98% to 100% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q2, 2:20 Sellers intercepted by Morgan at the USC23 and returned for a TD Alabama leads 35-3 Q2, 2:20 · Alabama 35, South Carolina 3 35-3 score after the play 35-3 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q2, 0:35 Sellers 41-yd TD pass to Harbor cuts it to 35-10 Q2, 0:35 · Alabama 35, South Carolina 10 35-10 score after the play 35-10 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q3, 7:16 Sellers sacked for a 4-yd loss Q3, 7:16 · Alabama 35, South Carolina 10 35-10 score after the play 35-10 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q4, 14:29 Fuller 9-yd TD run cuts it to 35-18 Q4, 14:29 · Alabama 35, South Carolina 18 35-18 score after the play 35-18 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q4, 11:23 Russell sacked for a 9-yd loss Q4, 11:23 · Alabama 35, South Carolina 18 35-18 score after the play 35-18 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q4, 7:40 Hill 1-yd TD run Alabama leads 42-18 Q4, 7:40 · Alabama 42, South Carolina 18 ▼2% Alabama’s chance to win, 100% to 98% ▼2% Alabama’s chance to win, 100% to 98% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q4, 5:16 Sellers 21-yd pass to Clark fumbled Q4, 5:16 · Alabama 42, South Carolina 18 42-18 score after the play 42-18 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football
Every drive Alabama scored on 6 of its 12 drives; South Carolina on 3 of its 13.
Alabama’s drives are teal, South Carolina’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
own goal goal line Q1 South Carolina: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 27 Missed FG Alabama: Punt, from 73 yards out to 66 Punt South Carolina: Turned over on downs, from 84 yards out to 25 Downs Alabama: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0 Touchdown South Carolina: Punt, from 75 yards out to 74 Punt Alabama: Touchdown, from 70 yards out to 0 Touchdown Q2 South Carolina: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 16 Field goal Alabama: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0 Touchdown South Carolina: Punt, from 75 yards out to 62 Punt Alabama: Touchdown, from 78 yards out to 0 Touchdown South Carolina: Interception returned for a touchdown, from 80 yards out to 80 Interception TD South Carolina: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0 Touchdown Alabama: Punt, from 64 yards out to 56 Punt South Carolina: End of half, from 91 yards out to 85 End of half Q3 Alabama: Punt, from 75 yards out to 57 Punt South Carolina: Punt, from 80 yards out to 65 Punt Alabama: Punt, from 69 yards out to 53 Punt South Carolina: Punt, from 84 yards out to 86 Punt Alabama: Punt, from 73 yards out to 67 Punt South Carolina: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0 Touchdown Q4 Alabama: Touchdown, from 74 yards out to 0 Touchdown South Carolina: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 43 Fumble Alabama: Touchdown, from 49 yards out to 0 Touchdown South Carolina: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 51 Downs Alabama: End of game, from 49 yards out to 51 End of game “Man Keelon has a freak arm” An Alabama fan When fans got loud Busy
The loudest stretch came in the second quarter.
Jump to the loudest stretch
The jump was busy; the crowd was busy.
First Second Third Fourth Alabama fans South Carolina fans usual Two crowds, one game The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.
Alabama fans
hit “Oh man I just saw the hit on Dante Moore. The kid that laid that hit shouldn’t play another down this season”
metz “Takeaways: South Carolina should revolt. Russell is a confident team leader for the Tide. Metz is watching tape, and ready to breakout as a star.”
South Carolina fans
beamer “Yes, Beamer, please keep clapping it up at our massively undisciplined team.”
coach “That's Beamer whole problem he's a great recruiter but doesn't actually know how to coach”
fire “Alright boys I had turned it off but I'll fire it back up and take my licks”
secondary “Doesn’t matter. They will probably score a TD before half with how bad our secondary has been”
Both sets of fans kept coming back to: now, ball, back, every.
What it cost Alabama’s chance to make the playoff rose from 68% to 73%.
Make the playoff
South Carolina · lost 12% → ▼ 9% 12% ▼ 9%
Alabama · won 68% → ▲ 73% 68% ▲ 73%
Win the conference
South Carolina · lost 1% → ▼ 0%
Alabama · won 15% → ▲ 18% 15% ▲ 18%
Win the title
South Carolina · lost 1% → ▼ 0%
Alabama · won 9% → 9% 9%
Before the game (September 25, 2026) → after this result, in our model.
Box score Alabama 49, South Carolina 18
Alabama covered −12.5 by 18.5. The total, 67, went over 53.5.
South Carolina Alabama Total yards South Carolina 419 Alabama 489 419 489 Passing yards South Carolina 203 Alabama 365 203 365 Rushing yards South Carolina 216 Alabama 124 216 124 First downs South Carolina 22 Alabama 20 22 20 Turnovers South Carolina 2 Alabama 0 2 0 Time of possession South Carolina 29:40 Alabama 30:20 29:40 30:20 Team totals South Carolina Alabama Total yards 419 489 Passing 20 of 33, 203 yds 21 of 27, 365 yds Rushing 40 for 216 yds 30 for 124 yds First downs 22 20 Third down 3 of 14 5 of 10 Fourth down 3 of 5 0 of 0 Turnovers 2 0 Penalties 7 for 65 yds 4 for 36 yds Time of possession 29:40 30:20
South Carolina leaders Passing Lanorris Sellers 18 of 30, 185 yds, 1 TD, 1 INTRushing Matthew Fuller 19 for 112 yds, 1 TD; Lanorris Sellers 13 for 72 ydsReceiving Nyck Harbor 3 for 42 yds, 1 TD; Mazeo Bennett 2 for 28 ydsAlabama leaders Passing Keelon Russell 21 of 27, 365 yds, 4 TDRushing EJ Crowell 6 for 50 yds; Keelon Russell 8 for 35 yds, 1 TDReceiving Ryan Williams 5 for 98 yds, 2 TD; Lotzeir Brooks 2 for 78 yds, 1 TDNo rain and calm 84° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 3 mph from the north, gusts to 9
September game-day temperatures at Bryant-Denny Stadium
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Alabama favored South Carolina favored 100% Win chance Alabama Rain inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind mph, average and gusts 20 mph 40 mph Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Alabama favored South Carolina favored Rain · inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind · miles per hour 20 40 Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
First quarter, 14:49 left6:11 p.m.
South Carolina 0, Alabama 0 · Alabama 78% to win
no rain · wind 6 mph from the north · 83°
Fuller 56-yd run
Previous play Next play
Where this weather comes from Measured at Tuscaloosa Muni airport, 3.8 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.
Before kickoff Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Matchups Biggest mismatch: Alabama’s passing EPA against South Carolina, 64 points Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Alabama’s passing EPA against South Carolina’s defense
64 points weaker stronger 50th Alabama offense, 76th percentile · South Carolina defense, 12th
Alabama’s EPA/play against South Carolina’s defense
54 points weaker stronger 50th Alabama offense, 80th percentile · South Carolina defense, 26th
Alabama’s explosive plays against South Carolina’s defense
49 points weaker stronger 50th Alabama offense, 70th percentile · South Carolina defense, 21st
Season profile, all the rows Season profile South Carolina Alabama
EPA/play, offense
South Carolina · 74 Alabama · 80 EPA/play, defense
South Carolina · 26 Alabama · 86 Success rate, offense
South Carolina · 76 Alabama · 78 Success rate, defense
South Carolina · 53 Alabama · 78 Explosive-play rate, offense
South Carolina · 44 Alabama · 70 Explosive-play rate, defense
South Carolina · 21 Alabama · 24 Rush EPA, offense
South Carolina · 87 Alabama · 71 Rush EPA, defense
South Carolina · 75 Alabama · 96 Pass EPA, offense
South Carolina · 44 Alabama · 76 Pass EPA, defense
South Carolina · 12 Alabama · 52 The series Alabama leads the series 15-3
18 meetings since 1937 · Alabama has won the last 3
Alabama won South Carolina won 1937: Alabama by 20 1942: Alabama by 29 1945: Alabama by 55 1946: Alabama by 8 1965: Alabama by 21 1966: Alabama by 24 1967: Alabama by 17 1992: Alabama by 41 1993: Alabama by 11 2000: Alabama by 10 2001: South Carolina by 1 2004: South Carolina by 17 2005: Alabama by 23 2009: Alabama by 14 2010: South Carolina by 14 2019: Alabama by 24 2024: Alabama by 2 2025: Alabama by 7 1937 2025 2025 Alabama 29-22 Alabama won 29-22 at South Carolina. Chance to win started at 77%, low 19%, high better than 99%. 2024 Alabama 27-25 Alabama won 27-25 vs South Carolina. Chance to win started at 90%, low 49%, high better than 99%. 2019 Alabama 47-23 Alabama won 47-23 at South Carolina. Chance to win started at 93%, low 92%, high better than 99%. 2010 South Carolina 35-21 2009 Alabama 20-6 Each line is Alabama’s chance to win through that meeting. Alabama is 2-0 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.
Line, fans and home field The betting line, and the fans Alabama fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (40th among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.
50-50 Line · 84% South Carolina fans · 6th South Carolina Alabama Model · 72% Line · 84% Alabama fans · 40th South Carolina fans · 6th Alabama favored by 12.5 · Total 53.5
How games like this usually go Alabama by 12.5, and it went to form 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Half of games 8 in 10 games This game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.
The market The spread moved 1 point toward Alabama.
opened −11.5 now −12.5 The total rose 7 points.
opened 46.5 now 53.5 Spread: −11.5 → −12.5 · Total: 46.5 → 53.5
The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff Warm and dry. Feels like 78° at kickoff.
South Carolina at Alabama · Saturday, Sept. 26, 2026 · Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa
78°feels like at kickoff Dry no rain at kickoff 98weather score, Comfortable Tied for the best of the day's 7 kickoff times At kickoff, Sept. 26, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the best of the day's seven kickoff times. At Bryant-Denny Stadium that day, a 7 pm or 8 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 98 at 6 pm.
Rough
Mixed
Comfortable
Ideal (100) 79 Mixed 72 Rough 77 Mixed 91 Comfortable 98 Comfortable 100 Ideal 100 Ideal
11 am 2:30 pm 3:15 pm 5 pm 6 pm 7 pm 8 pm
11 am: 79, Mixed 2:30 pm: 72, Rough 3:15 pm: 77, Mixed 5 pm: 91, Comfortable 6 pm: 98, Comfortable (this game) 7 pm: 100, Ideal 8 pm: 100, Ideal Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 26, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field Alabama is worth +6.1 points (±3.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 84th percentile.
92% at home, 78% on the road against FBS opponents (47-4 home, 32-9 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why ); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.6 at home vs. away over 99 games — inside the ±6.0 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 380 miles to get here.