Stanford 34-27 Georgia Tech (Sep 26, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Georgia Tech · Stanford

Georgia Tech1-327

Stanford2-234Final

Sat, Sep 26 · Stanford Stadium, Stanford, Calif. · Crowd 23,455

Stanford beat Georgia Tech 34-27.

We had Georgia Tech favored. Stanford won.

Next: Georgia Tech beat Duke 28-25, Sat Oct 10

Next: Stanford lost to Wake Forest 57-3, Sat Oct 3

Top comment in the game thread

I absolutely love how when it's 4th and 10+ against Georgia Tech you can absolutely count it as a conversion or touchdown

Q3 0:04 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 26

How it swung

The turning point: Warren 49-yd TD pass to High, ties it 20-20 (Q3, 7:08). Stanford went from 27% to 51% to win.

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Stanford a 45% chance, and the closing betting line (Stanford was a 3-point underdog) put it at 40%.

Stanford came back from 10 down, at one point just a 16% chance in the third quarter.

Georgia Tech led by 10, was as high as 84% in the third quarter, and still lost.

24 unanswered

Stanford · Q3 0:04

FinalStanford 34-27 Georgia TechStanford wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

The two plays that swung it

1Q2 14:114th and 2Ford run for a 1-yd loss, turnover on downsStanford 51% → 32% (−19)
2Q3 7:08Warren 49-yd TD pass to High, ties it 20-20Stanford 27% → 51% (+24)

The two plays that swung it

1Q2 14:114th and 2Ford run for a 1-yd loss, turnover on downsGeorgia Tech 49% → 68% (+19)
2Q3 7:08Warren 49-yd TD pass to High, ties it 20-20Georgia Tech 73% → 49% (−24)

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q3 0:04Warren throws deep touchdown to Brown as Georgia Tech fans rage over defenseQuoted at the top of the page.They have no respect for GT defense and I respect that from themr/CFB game thread
Q4 14:15Fans rage at absurd officiating after review overturns first down and roughing callwe are very very bad but this reffing is absurdr/CFB game threadWeak call, but also don't slap the QB in the face after the initial contact like that...r/CFB game thread
Q4 0:59Georgia Tech faces 4th and 45 after Mendoza's intentional grounding penaltyThat might be the worst intentional grounding ever I've ever seen a QB taker/CFB game threadEver seen a 40 yard grounding penalty? You have now. PAC 12 After Dark lives on.r/CFB game thread

Stanford’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Georgia Tech -3), at 49% for Stanford (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Stanford or Georgia Tech flair (346 and 1,426); both sides share one scale, regulation only.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Stanford’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Stanford scored on 6 of its 11 drives; Georgia Tech on 5 of its 10.

Stanford’s drives are teal, Georgia Tech’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

From Georgia Tech’s side

Georgia Tech’s best moment: Ford run for a 1-yd loss, turnover on downs (Q2 14:11). It lifted Georgia Tech’s win chance by 19 points.

How Georgia Tech fans took it: “At first I thought how stupid is this coaching staff, but then I turned the TV off and saw my reflection…” r/CFB game thread

“Because there's way better things to do on a saturday night in the Bay than watch a team that hasn't won more than 4 games in 8 years”

A Stanford fan

How fans reacted

Steady

Fans were loudest in the fourth quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was steady; the crowd was busy.

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Stanford fans

davis“Do you guys remember when Michigan fans were swearing Davis Warren couldn't play in FCS”

Georgia Tech fans

key“Worst part about Key is that it's an open secret that he's unlikable as a boss. Overly aggressive and a bully to his staff”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: run, now, every, ball.

Box score

Stanford 34, Georgia Tech 27

Stanford covered +3 by 10. The total, 61, went over 48.5.

Team totals	Georgia Tech	Stanford
Total yards	431	482
Passing	26 of 39, 268 yds	22 of 36, 396 yds
Rushing	32 for 163 yds	37 for 86 yds
First downs	25	22
Third down	3 of 11	5 of 14
Fourth down	2 of 4	3 of 4
Turnovers	2	0
Penalties	12 for 106 yds	8 for 74 yds
Time of possession	29:53	30:07

Georgia Tech leaders

Passing Alberto Mendoza 26 of 39, 268 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
Rushing Justice Haynes 18 for 107 yds; Trelain Maddox 6 for 40 yds, 1 TD
Receiving Jordan Allen 4 for 64 yds; Kevin Roche Jr. 6 for 59 yds

Stanford leaders

Passing Davis Warren 22 of 36, 396 yds, 3 TD
Rushing Micah Ford 19 for 55 yds, 1 TD; Sedrick Irvin 11 for 33 yds
Receiving Nico Brown 5 for 98 yds, 1 TD; Caden High 4 for 91 yds, 2 TD

No rain through the game

61° at kickoff · no rain recorded

The usual here around this date is 70°, with about 7 in 10 games between 63° and 75°.

September game-day temperatures at Stanford Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Third quarter, 7:08 left9:56 p.m.

Georgia Tech 20, Stanford 20 · Stanford 51% to win

61°

Warren 49-yd TD pass to High, ties it 20-20

Measured at Palo Alto Airport, 3.1 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Georgia Tech · 1-2

Rated 74th in our preseason ratings, 98th now, down 24 spots.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 44-11 vs Mercer #169 of 668

won by 33 as a 38.5-point favorite

L 24-45 vs TennesseeTop 25 #30 of 668

lost by 21 as a 12.5-point underdog

L 13-14 vs Colorado #156 of 668

lost by 1 as a 6.5-point favorite

Last three games

Stanford · 1-2

Rated 97th in our preseason ratings, 106th now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 7-35 @ DukeTop 25 #59 of 668

lost by 28 as a 9.5-point underdog

L 6-45 vs MiamiTop 25 #10 of 668

lost by 39 as a 24.5-point underdog

W 37-27 vs Hawai'i #62 of 668

won by 10 as a 4.5-point favorite

Week by week

Stanford

Wk 1Wvs Hawai'i37-27
Wk 1Lvs Miami6-45
Wk 3Lat Duke7-35

Georgia Tech

Wk 1Lvs Colorado13-14
Wk 2Lvs Tennessee24-45
Wk 3Wvs Mercer44-11

Power rating by week

Georgia Tech is rated 0.9 points ahead as of week 3. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Georgia Tech’s passing EPA against Stanford, 64 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Georgia Tech’s EPA/play against Stanford’s defense
Georgia Tech offense, 63rd percentile · Stanford defense, 0th
Georgia Tech’s passing EPA against Stanford’s defense
Georgia Tech offense, 73rd percentile · Stanford defense, 9th
Georgia Tech’s explosive plays against Stanford’s defense
Georgia Tech offense, 63rd percentile · Stanford defense, 15th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Georgia TechStanford

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Georgia Tech leads the series 2-0

2 meetings since 1991 · Georgia Tech has won the last 2

2001 · neutral siteGeorgia Tech 24-14
1991 · neutral siteGeorgia Tech 18-17

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Stanford fans are in a better mood than Georgia Tech fans (73rd vs 57th among FBS fanbases), even with Georgia Tech favored.

Georgia Tech favored by 3 · Total 48.5

How games like this usually go

Georgia Tech by 3, on the usual path until 0:59 left in the fourth

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 252 games since 2025 with a favorite of under 3.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 1.5 points toward Stanford.

The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Stanford is worth +2.2 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 19th percentile.

33% at home, 34% on the road against FBS opponents (15-30 home, 16-31 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +0.6 at home vs. away over 96 games — inside the ±5.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 2,123 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Stanford16th0-2
Georgia Tech11th0-0

Full ACC standings

Stanford beats Georgia Tech 34-27