Abilene Christian routs West Florida 35-7

Team pages: West Florida · Abilene Christian

West Florida3-27
Abilene Christian2-435Final
Sat, Oct 3 · Wildcat Stadium (TX), Abilene, Texas · Crowd 7,018ESPN+

Abilene Christian routed West Florida 35-7.

Next: West Florida tied Northeastern State 0-0, Sat Oct 10

Next: Abilene Christian beat Central Arkansas 20-14, Sat Oct 10

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Abilene Christian a 60% chance, and the closing betting line (Abilene Christian was a 7-point favorite) put it at 71%.

FinalAbilene Christian 35-7 West FloridaAbilene Christian wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Abilene ChristianWon35-7Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Abilene ChristianWon35-7Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Abilene ChristianLowest 0%Lost7-35Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Abilene ChristianLowest 0%Lost7-35Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Abilene Christian’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Abilene Christian -7), at 76% for Abilene Christian (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Abilene Christian scored on 5 of its 12 drives; West Florida on 1 of its 13.

Abilene Christian’s drives are teal, West Florida’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Abilene Christian: Punt, from 75 yards out to 54PuntWest Florida: Turned over on downs, from 84 yards out to 21DownsAbilene Christian: Punt, from 79 yards out to 63PuntWest Florida: Punt, from 84 yards out to 81PuntAbilene Christian: Touchdown, from 66 yards out to 0TouchdownWest Florida: Punt, from 75 yards out to 66PuntQ2Abilene Christian: Touchdown, from 73 yards out to 0TouchdownWest Florida: Punt, from 84 yards out to 87PuntAbilene Christian: Touchdown, from 51 yards out to 0TouchdownWest Florida: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 27DownsAbilene Christian: Touchdown, from 73 yards out to 0TouchdownWest Florida: End of half, from 75 yards out to 29End of halfQ3West Florida: Punt, from 75 yards out to 74PuntAbilene Christian: Punt, from 67 yards out to 59PuntWest Florida: Turned over on downs, from 77 yards out to 46DownsAbilene Christian: Punt, from 54 yards out to 51PuntWest Florida: Punt, from 88 yards out to 55PuntWest Florida: Turned over on downs, from 24 yards out to 33DownsQ4Abilene Christian: Punt, from 67 yards out to 58PuntWest Florida: Punt, from 80 yards out to 61PuntAbilene Christian: Punt, from 77 yards out to 69PuntWest Florida: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownAbilene Christian: Touchdown, from 45 yards out to 0TouchdownWest Florida: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 68FumbleAbilene Christian: End of game, from 32 yards out to 35End of game

Box score

Abilene Christian 35, West Florida 7

Abilene Christian covered −7 by 21. The total, 42, stayed under 48.5.

West Florida leaders

  • Passing Ty'ray Davis 16 of 31, 208 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Markel Townsend 12 for 98 yds; Ty'ray Davis 19 for 33 yds
  • Receiving Tyshon Mansell 2 for 67 yds; Jakari Mozelle 2 for 40 yds, 1 TD

Abilene Christian leaders

  • Passing Tucker Parks 16 of 17, 155 yds, 3 TD
  • Rushing Tucker Parks 15 for 97 yds; Rovaughn Banks Jr. 19 for 80 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Jayden York 4 for 56 yds, 1 TD; JC French-Love 1 for 31 yds, 1 TD

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last 4 games

West Florida · 3-1

Rated 267th in our preseason ratings, 250th now, up 17 spots.

3-1 in its last 4, capped by a 3-point win over Southeast Missouri State as a 6-point underdog.

W 20-17 @ Southeast Missouri State #211 of 668

won by 3 as a 6-point underdog

L 16-38 vs Austin Peay #112 of 668

lost by 22 as a 10.5-point underdog

West Florida lost 16-38 vs Austin Peay. Chance to win started at 30%, low under 1%, high 32%.

W 42-14 @ Central Arkansas #177 of 668

won by 28 as a 7.5-point underdog

West Florida won 42-14 at Central Arkansas. Chance to win started at 23%, low 23%, high better than 99%.

W 34-31 vs Southern Illinois #147 of 668

won by 3 as a 19.5-point underdog

West Florida won 34-31 vs Southern Illinois. Chance to win started at 13%, low 9%, high better than 99%.

Last three games

Abilene Christian · 1-4

Rated 112th in our preseason ratings, 145th now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 17-34 vs Mercer #161 of 668

lost by 17 as a 3.5-point favorite

W 41-39 @ Idaho #175 of 668

won by 2 as a 1.5-point favorite

Abilene Christian won 41-39 at Idaho. Chance to win started at 46%, low 26%, high 99%.

L 7-26 vs Stephen F. Austin #99 of 668

lost by 19 as a 3-point underdog

Abilene Christian lost 7-26 vs Stephen F. Austin. Chance to win started at 47%, low under 1%, high 74%.

L 10-33 @ Texas TechTop 25 #7 of 668

lost by 23 as a 45.5-point underdog

Abilene Christian lost 10-33 at Texas Tech. Never had a real chance.

L 14-21 @ Lamar #143 of 668

lost by 7 as a 7.5-point favorite

Abilene Christian lost 14-21 at Lamar. Chance to win started at 58%, low under 1%, high 72%.

Week by week

Abilene Christian

Wk 1: L 14-21 at Lamar▼7LamarWk 1: L 10-33 at Texas Tech▼23T. TechWk 2: L 7-26 vs Stephen F. Austin▼19Stephen…Wk 3: W 41-39 at Idaho▲2IdahoWk 4: L 17-34 vs Mercer▼17Mercer
  • Wk 1Lat Lamar14-21
  • Wk 1Lat Texas Tech10-33
  • Wk 2Lvs Stephen F. Austin7-26
  • Wk 3Wat Idaho41-39
  • Wk 4Lvs Mercer17-34

West Florida

Wk 1: W 34-31 vs Southern Illinois▲3S. IllinoisWk 1: W 42-14 at Central Arkansas▲28C. ArkansasWk 3: L 16-38 vs Austin Peay▼22Austin PeayWk 4: W 20-17 at Southeast Missouri State▲3Southeast M…
  • Wk 1Wvs Southern Illinois34-31
  • Wk 1Wat Central Arkansas42-14
  • Wk 3Lvs Austin Peay16-38
  • Wk 4Wat Southeast Missouri State20-17

Power rating by week

Abilene Christian is rated 5.9 points ahead as of week 4. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-2-9-17Wk 0Wk 2Wk 4Abilene ChristianWest Florida

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Abilene Christian’s chances here.

50-50Model · 60%Line · 71%West FloridaAbilene Christian

Abilene Christian favored by 7 · Total 48.5

How games like this usually go

Abilene Christian by 7, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 377 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 4.5 points toward Abilene Christian.

opened −2.5now −7

Spread: −2.5 → −7

The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Abilene Christian has had no measurable home edge since 2018 — −0.2 points (±5.6), home against road — 1st percentile of FBS.

0% at home, 11% on the road against FBS opponents (0-2 home, 2-16 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +4.6 at home vs. away over 56 games — inside the ±7.2 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 747 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.