Yale beats Dartmouth 28-7

Team pages: Dartmouth · Yale

Dartmouth1-37
Yale3-128Final
Sat, Oct 10 · Yale Bowl, New Haven, Conn. · Crowd 6,320ESPNU

Yale beat Dartmouth 28-7.

We had Yale favored. It won.

Next: Dartmouth beat Merrimack 27-21, Sat Oct 17

Next: Yale lost to Rhode Island 41-23, Sat Oct 17

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Yale a 67% chance, and the closing betting line (Yale was a 7-point favorite) put it at 71%.

Favored the whole way: Yale never fell below 77%.

Dartmouth never had better than a 22% chance.

FinalYale 28-7 DartmouthYale wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q486% at halfYaleWon28-7Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q486% at halfYaleWon28-7Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q414% at halfYaleLowest 0%Lost7-28Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q414% at halfYaleLowest 0%Lost7-28Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Yale’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Yale -7), at 80% for Yale (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Yale scored on 5 of its 11 drives; Dartmouth on 1 of its 11.

Yale’s drives are teal, Dartmouth’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Dartmouth: Punt, from 75 yards out to 89PuntYale: Touchdown, from 61 yards out to 0TouchdownDartmouth: Punt, from 75 yards out to 77PuntYale: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownDartmouth: Touchdown, from 87 yards out to 0TouchdownYale: Punt, from 75 yards out to 51PuntQ2Dartmouth: Punt, from 80 yards out to 74PuntYale: Turned over on downs, from 67 yards out to 2DownsDartmouth: Punt, from 98 yards out to 47PuntYale: Punt, from 89 yards out to 37PuntDartmouth: End of half, from 86 yards out to 84End of halfQ3Yale: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 25Field goalDartmouth: Punt, from 75 yards out to 56PuntYale: Punt, from 80 yards out to 49PuntDartmouth: Punt, from 88 yards out to 61PuntYale: Turned over on downs, from 88 yards out to 19DownsQ4Dartmouth: Interception, from 81 yards out to 43InterceptionYale: Field goal, from 50 yards out to 7Field goalDartmouth: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 15DownsYale: Touchdown, from 85 yards out to 0TouchdownDartmouth: Punt, from 75 yards out to 89PuntYale: End of game, from 48 yards out to 34End of game

Box score

Yale 28, Dartmouth 7

Yale covered −7 by 14. The total, 35, stayed under 53.5.

Dartmouth leaders

  • Passing Grayson Saunier 10 of 26, 156 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Myles Craddock 16 for 55 yds; Chris Roper 8 for 23 yds
  • Receiving Ky'Dric Fisher 4 for 72 yds, 1 TD; Cameron Bates 2 for 51 yds

Yale leaders

  • Passing Dante Reno 28 of 37, 325 yds, 2 TD
  • Rushing Hugo Djeumeni Kemeni 28 for 174 yds, 1 TD; Cuttler Adams 4 for 24 yds
  • Receiving Jaxton Santiago 13 for 147 yds, 2 TD; Lucius Anderson 8 for 95 yds

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Dartmouth · 1-2

Rated 240th in our preseason ratings, 227th now, up 13 spots.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 14-10 vs Pennsylvania #233 of 668

won by 4 as an 8.5-point favorite

Dartmouth won 14-10 vs Pennsylvania. Chance to win started at 80%, low 55%, high better than 99%.

L 28-31 vs Monmouth #166 of 668

lost by 3 as a 3-point favorite

Dartmouth lost 28-31 vs Monmouth. Chance to win started at 64%, low under 1%, high 92%.

L 20-24 @ Lehigh #138 of 668

lost by 4 as a 17.5-point underdog

Dartmouth lost 20-24 at Lehigh. Chance to win started at 8%, low 3%, high 31%.

Last three games

Yale · 2-1

Rated 211th in our preseason ratings, 192nd now, up 19 spots.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 41-24 vs Merrimack #229 of 668

won by 17 as a 14-point favorite

Yale won 41-24 vs Merrimack. Chance to win started at 88%, low 32%, high better than 99%.

L 25-38 @ Cornell #236 of 668

lost by 13 as a 14-point favorite

Yale lost 25-38 at Cornell. Chance to win started at 78%, low under 1%, high 83%.

W 38-28 @ Holy Cross #238 of 668

won by 10 as a 21-point favorite

Yale won 38-28 at Holy Cross. Chance to win started at 91%, low 42%, high better than 99%.

Week by week

Yale

Wk 3: W 38-28 at Holy Cross▲10Holy CrossWk 4: L 25-38 at Cornell▼13CornellWk 5: W 41-24 vs Merrimack▲17Merrimack
  • Wk 3Wat Holy Cross38-28
  • Wk 4Lat Cornell25-38
  • Wk 5Wvs Merrimack41-24

Dartmouth

Wk 3: L 20-24 at Lehigh▼4LehighWk 4: L 28-31 vs Monmouth▼3MonmouthWk 5: W 14-10 vs Pennsylvania▲4Pennsylvania
  • Wk 3Lat Lehigh20-24
  • Wk 4Lvs Monmouth28-31
  • Wk 5Wvs Pennsylvania14-10

Power rating by week

Yale is rated 1.5 points ahead as of week 5. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-8-10-12Wk 0Wk 3Wk 5YaleDartmouth

The series

Yale leads the series 49-33-5

87 meetings since 1884 · Dartmouth has won the last 2

Yale wonDartmouth won1884: Yale by 1131893: Yale by 281894: Yale by 341895: Yale by 261895: Yale by 321896: Yale by 421899: Yale by 121900: Yale by 171924: tie1926: Yale by 71927: Yale by 191928: Yale by 181929: Yale by 41930: tie1931: tie1932: Yale by 61933: Yale by 11934: Yale by 51935: Dartmouth by 81936: Dartmouth by 41937: tie1938: Dartmouth by 181939: Dartmouth by 331940: Yale by 61941: Dartmouth by 71942: Yale by 101943: Dartmouth by 141944: Yale by 61945: Yale by 61946: Yale by 311947: Yale by 91948: Dartmouth by 271949: Dartmouth by 211950: Dartmouth by 71951: Dartmouth by 41952: Yale by 141953: Dartmouth by 321954: Yale by 61955: Yale by 201956: Yale by 191957: tie1958: Dartmouth by 81959: Dartmouth by 41960: Yale by 291961: Dartmouth by 161962: Dartmouth by 91963: Yale by 41964: Yale by 91965: Dartmouth by 31966: Dartmouth by 151967: Yale by 411968: Yale by 201969: Dartmouth by 211970: Dartmouth by 101971: Dartmouth by 21972: Yale by 311973: Dartmouth by 111974: Yale by 51975: Yale by 21976: Yale by 41977: Dartmouth by 31978: Dartmouth by 71979: Yale by 31980: Yale by 281981: Yale by 212003: Yale by 232004: Yale by 102005: Yale by 132006: Yale by 122007: Yale by 402008: Yale by 272009: Yale by 312010: Yale by 32011: Yale by 302012: Dartmouth by 202013: Dartmouth by 72014: Dartmouth by 72015: Dartmouth by 322016: Yale by 82017: Dartmouth by 12018: Dartmouth by 232019: Dartmouth by 322021: Dartmouth by 72022: Yale by 32023: Yale by 72024: Dartmouth by 12025: Dartmouth by 118842025
  • 2025Dartmouth 17-16
  • 2024Dartmouth 44-43
  • 2023Yale 31-24
  • 2022Yale 24-21
  • 2021Dartmouth 24-17

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line agree on Yale’s chances here.

50-50Model 67% · Line 71%DartmouthYale

Yale favored by 7 · Total 53.5

How games like this usually go

Yale by 7, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 377 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Yale.

opened −6now −7

The total rose 1 point.

opened 52.5now 53.5

Spread: −6 → −7 · Total: 52.5 → 53.5

The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.