Alcorn State routs Arkansas Baptist 63-7

Arkansas Baptist0-27
Alcorn State4-363Final
Sat, Oct 10 · Jack Spinks Stadium, Lorman, Miss. · Crowd 14,502

Alcorn State routed Arkansas Baptist 63-7.

We had Alcorn State favored. It won.

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Alcorn State a 98% chance.

FinalAlcorn State 63-7 Arkansas BaptistAlcorn State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Alcorn StateWon63-71+11Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Alcorn StateWon63-71Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Alcorn StateLowest 0%Lost7-631−11Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Alcorn StateLowest 0%Lost7-631Scores

The play that swung it

  1. 1Q1 11:07Special teams35-yd punt, Blakes returns it 34Alcorn State 53% → 64% (+11)

The play that swung it

  1. 1Q1 11:07Special teams35-yd punt, Blakes returns it 34Arkansas Baptist 47% → 36% (−11)
Alcorn State’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartNot adjusted for the pregame line. Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Alcorn State scored on 7 of its 12 drives; Arkansas Baptist on 1 of its 13.

Alcorn State’s drives are teal, Arkansas Baptist’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Arkansas Baptist: Punt, from 76 yards out to 50PuntAlcorn State: Touchdown, from 51 yards out to 0TouchdownArkansas Baptist: Punt, from 68 yards out to 52PuntAlcorn State: Touchdown, from 68 yards out to 0TouchdownArkansas Baptist: Touchdown, from 71 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Alcorn State: Touchdown, from 62 yards out to 0TouchdownArkansas Baptist: Interception, from 81 yards out to 81InterceptionAlcorn State: Fumble, from 28 yards out to 7FumbleArkansas Baptist: Punt returned for a touchdown, from 93 yards out to 67Punt TDArkansas Baptist: Turned over on downs, from 66 yards out to 40DownsAlcorn State: End of half, from 60 yards out to 32End of halfQ3Alcorn State: Touchdown, from 76 yards out to 0TouchdownArkansas Baptist: Punt, from 65 yards out to 63PuntAlcorn State: Punt, from 66 yards out to 45PuntArkansas Baptist: Fumble, from 94 yards out to 90FumbleAlcorn State: Touchdown, from 10 yards out to 0TouchdownArkansas Baptist: Punt, from 79 yards out to 76PuntAlcorn State: Touchdown, from 50 yards out to 0TouchdownArkansas Baptist: Punt, from 70 yards out to 42PuntAlcorn State: Punt, from 0 yards out to 0PuntQ4Arkansas Baptist: Fumble Return returned for a touchdown, from 80 yards out to 90Fumble Return TDArkansas Baptist: Punt, from 82 yards out to 88PuntAlcorn State: Touchdown, from 28 yards out to 0TouchdownArkansas Baptist: Punt, from 75 yards out to 45PuntAlcorn State: End of game, from 92 yards out to 87End of game

Box score

Alcorn State 63, Arkansas Baptist 7

Arkansas Baptist leaders

  • Passing Jayden Young 5 of 12, 59 yds, 1 INT
  • Rushing Ingram Battles 13 for 52 yds; Kawann Johnson 9 for 47 yds
  • Receiving Jeremiah Banks 2 for 32 yds; Solomon Daugherty 1 for 15 yds

Alcorn State leaders

  • Passing Jaylon Tolbert 7 of 9, 123 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Carl McDonald 18 for 88 yds, 2 TD; Fred Robertson 9 for 58 yds
  • Receiving Armon Wright 3 for 52 yds; Tyree Kelly 1 for 48 yds, 1 TD

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games · 2025 season

Arkansas Baptist · 1-1

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 20-19 @ Lyon #616 of 667

L 0-69 @ Houston Christian #216 of 667

Last three games

Alcorn State · 3-3

Rated 167th in our preseason ratings, 194th now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 53-51 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff #233 of 668

won by 2 as an 8.5-point favorite

W 56-7 vs Miles #307 of 668

Week by week

Alcorn State

Wk 1: L 3-49 at Southern Miss▼46S. MissWk 2: W 53-51 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff▲2Arkansas…Wk 3: L 20-38 at North Alabama▼18N. Alaba…Wk 4: W 43-40 vs Texas Southern▲3T. South…Wk 5: L 59-63 at Grambling▼4Grambling
  • Wk 1Lat Southern Miss3-49
  • Wk 2Wvs Arkansas-Pine Bluff53-51
  • Wk 3Lat North Alabama20-38
  • Wk 4Wvs Texas Southern43-40
  • Wk 5Lat Grambling59-63

Arkansas Baptist

  • Wk 2Lat Houston Christian0-88

Power rating by week

Alcorn State is rated 18.6 points ahead as of week 5. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-4-17-30Wk 0Wk 3Wk 5Alcorn StateArkansas Baptist

Line, fans and home field

Home field

Home-field advantage: Bottom third of FBS.

0% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (0-0 home, 0-10 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.4 at home vs. away over 47 games — inside the ±8.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Where next