Prairie View A&M beats Alcorn State 41-38
Team pages: Alcorn State · Prairie View A&M
Prairie View A&M beat Alcorn State 41-38. Share this game
We had Prairie View A&M favored. It won.
Next: Alcorn State at Mississippi Valley State, Sat Oct 31 · 3:00 PM ET
Next: Prairie View A&M at East Texas A&M, Sat Oct 24 · 7:00 PM ET
How it swung
The turning point: Carter intercepted by Ruffin at the ASU07, returned 23 yards (Q3, 1:10). Prairie View A&M went from 68% to 44% to win.
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Prairie View A&M a 56% chance, and the closing betting line (Prairie View A&M was a 6.5-point favorite) put it at 70%.
A tight one: Prairie View A&M bottomed out at 37% and won.
Alcorn State never had better than a 63% chance.
Prairie View A&M 41-38 Alcorn State
Prairie View A&M wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Alcorn State 38-41 Prairie View A&MAlcorn State lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.The two plays that swung it
- 1Q1 13:12Fumble4th and 7Tolbert sacked, fumbles; Gucake returns it for a TD, Prairie View A&M goes ahead 7-0Prairie View A&M 67% → 88% (+21)
- 2Q3 1:10InterceptionCarter intercepted by Ruffin at the ASU07, returned 23 yardsPrairie View A&M 68% → 44% (−24)
The two plays that swung it
- 1Q1 13:12Fumble4th and 7Tolbert sacked, fumbles; Gucake returns it for a TD, Prairie View A&M goes ahead 7-0Alcorn State 33% → 12% (−21)
- 2Q3 1:10InterceptionCarter intercepted by Ruffin at the ASU07, returned 23 yardsAlcorn State 32% → 56% (+24)
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Prairie View A&M -6.5), at 75% for Prairie View A&M (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Prairie View A&M scored on 6 of its 12 drives; Alcorn State on 6 of its 12.
Prairie View A&M’s drives are teal, Alcorn State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
From Alcorn State’s side
Alcorn State’s best moment: Carter intercepted by Ruffin at the ASU07, returned 23 yards (Q3 1:10). It lifted Alcorn State’s win chance by 24 points.
Box score
Prairie View A&M 41, Alcorn State 38
Alcorn State covered +6.5 by 3.5. The total, 79, went over 57.5.
Alcorn State leaders
- Passing Jaylon Tolbert 19 of 39, 356 yds, 5 TD
- Rushing Fred Robertson 15 for 105 yds; Jaylon Tolbert 10 for 32 yds
- Receiving Fred Robertson 3 for 92 yds, 3 TD; Nolan Chambers 2 for 53 yds
Prairie View A&M leaders
- Passing Tevin Carter 14 of 18, 150 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing Jahbari Kuykendall 10 for 89 yds; Tevin Carter 6 for 80 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving Rodny Ojo 3 for 48 yds, 1 TD; Chaney Fitzgerald 4 for 40 yds
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games
Alcorn State · 4-3
Rated 167th in our preseason ratings, 198th now.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 53-51 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff #233 of 668
won by 2 as an 8.5-point favorite
W 56-7 vs Miles #307 of 668
Last three games
Prairie View A&M · 2-5
Rated 104th in our preseason ratings, 175th now.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 27-28 @ Mississippi Valley State #262 of 668
lost by 1 as a 29.5-point favorite
W 21-14 @ Grambling #201 of 668
won by 7 as an 11.5-point favorite
L 10-31 vs Stephen F. Austin #88 of 668
lost by 21 as a 16.5-point underdog
W 52-14 vs Texas Southern #205 of 668
won by 38 as a 10.5-point favorite
L 30-49 @ Tarleton State #94 of 668
lost by 19 as a 19.5-point underdog
Week by week
Prairie View A&M
- Wk 2Lat Baylor3-44
- Wk 3Lvs Stephen F. Austin10-31
- Wk 4Wat Grambling21-14
- Wk 5Lat Mississippi Valley State27-28
- Wk 6Lvs Southern14-28
Alcorn State
- Wk 2Wvs Arkansas-Pine Bluff53-51
- Wk 3Lat North Alabama20-38
- Wk 4Wvs Texas Southern43-40
- Wk 5Lat Grambling59-63
- Wk 6Wvs Arkansas Baptist63-7
Power rating by week
Prairie View A&M is rated 1.6 points ahead as of week 6. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
The series
The series is tied 9-9
18 meetings since 1977 · Prairie View A&M won the last meeting
- 2025Prairie View A&M 13-12
- 2024Alcorn State 26-13
- 2023Prairie View A&M 23-20
- 2022Alcorn State 23-16
- 2021Alcorn State 31-29
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Prairie View A&M’s chances here.
Prairie View A&M favored by 6.5 · Total 57.5
How games like this usually go
Prairie View A&M by 6.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 377 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 1 point toward Prairie View A&M.
The total rose 1 point.
Spread: −5.5 → −6.5 · Total: 56.5 → 57.5
The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds
Home field
Home-field advantage: Bottom third of FBS.
0% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (0-0 home, 0-9 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.7 at home vs. away over 49 games — inside the ±10.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 313 miles to get here.
Where next
Conference standings
Place in the conference, then conference record.
- Prairie View A&M6th2-2
- Alcorn State2nd2-1