Mississippi Valley State at Jackson State
Jackson State (6‑2) hosts Mississippi Valley State (3‑6). Too early for a market line, but the model likes Jackson State (98%).
How they got here
Last three games
Mississippi Valley State · 3-6
Rated 253rd in our preseason ratings, 275th now.
1-2 in its last three, including a 4-point win over Texas Southern as a 14-point underdog.
L 14-34 vs Bethune-Cookman No. 192 of 668 teams
lost by 20 as a 6.5-point underdog
W 38-34 @ Texas Southern No. 246 of 668 teams
won by 4 as a 14-point underdog
W 28-27 vs Prairie View A&M No. 154 of 668 teams
won by 1 as a 29.5-point underdog
L 15-41 @ Alabama State No. 144 of 668 teams
lost by 26 as a 34.5-point underdog
L 6-21 vs Delta State No. 314 of 668 teams
W 31-20 vs Lincoln (PA) No. 410 of 668 teams
L 10-44 @ Nicholls No. 158 of 668 teams
lost by 34 as a 28.5-point underdog
Last three games
Jackson State · 6-2
Rated 110th in our preseason ratings, 139th now.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 35-17 vs Southern No. 222 of 668 teams
won by 18 as a 20.5-point favorite
W 41-7 vs Tuskegee No. 335 of 668 teams
W 66-14 vs Edward Waters No. 313 of 668 teams
What’s at stake
Mississippi Valley State
- Mississippi Valley State is 2 games back in SWAC with 2 left to make it up.
- Mississippi Valley State is still shaking off a 35-point loss.
Jackson State
- Jackson State is 1 game back in SWAC with 2 left to make it up.
- Jackson State football is an HBCU institution proving its strength independent of any one figure. Walter Payton played here. Deion Sanders rebuilt it and left for Colorado. T.C. Taylor did something harder: he made the program better than the legend that preceded him. This is what institutional resilience looks like.
The series
Jackson State leads the series 18-1
19 meetings since 1977 · Jackson State has won the last 10
- 2025Jackson State 42-3
- 2024Jackson State 51-14
- 2023Jackson State 21-6
- 2022Jackson State 49-7
- 2021Jackson State 28-19
Home field
Home-field advantage: Bottom third of FBS.
0% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (0-0 home, 0-6 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.4 at home vs. away over 41 games — inside the ±7.4 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 82 miles to get here.
Week by week
Jackson State
- Wk 4Wvs Southern35-17
- Wk 5Wvs Alabama A&M31-28
- Wk 6Lat Grambling38-45
- Wk 7Wvs Florida A&M27-17
- Wk 8Lat Bethune-Cookman21-24
Mississippi Valley State
- Wk 4Lat Alabama State15-41
- Wk 5Wvs Prairie View A&M28-27
- Wk 6Wat Texas Southern38-34
- Wk 7Lvs Bethune-Cookman14-34
- Wk 9Lvs Alcorn State17-52
Power rating by week
Jackson State is rated 12.3 points ahead as of week 10. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
Conference standings
Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.
- Jackson State2nd3-2
- Mississippi Valley State8th2-3