Attention percentile: 34th · Production percentile: 72nd
His production sits in the 72nd percentile among qualified QBs this season, well ahead of 34th-percentile attention — a gap of 38 points between tape and volume.
Point color shows the opponent's defensive strength that week (red = weaker defense, blue = stronger) — dashed line is this player's own season average.
Dominant 27-point win at home against North Dakota.
With J. Rule — 119 rush yds (15 car) · 2 TD · A. Wilson — 39 yards per punt · 3 punts · 1 inside the 20
Signature plays
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
fact
Week 1 · Ohio · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA +3.92(09:24) No Huddle #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #13 M.Nelson caught at OHI45, for 51 yards to the OHI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:10, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills)
Week 3 · North Dakota · 3&9 · Q2 · EPA +3.22(01:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short left to #8 L.Lindenmeyer caught at UND30, for 33 yards to the UND16 (#27 G.Noland), 1ST DOWN
Week 1 · Ohio · 3&4 · Q2 · EPA +3.18(08:19) No Huddle #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #25 J.Rule caught at OHI24, for 24 yards to the OHI00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:13, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills)
Week 3 · North Dakota · 2&8 · Q3 · EPA +3.12(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete deep left to #2 J.Barney Jr. caught at UND44, for 29 yards to the UND44 (#27 G.Noland), 1ST DOWN
Week 3 · North Dakota · 2&8 · Q2 · EPA +3.07(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #25 J.Rule caught at NEB15, for 33 yards to the NEB50 (#9 T.Erkman), 1ST DOWN
Week 2 · Bowling Green · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +2.97(07:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete deep left to #2 J.Barney Jr. caught at BG 00, for 35 yards to the BG 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:34, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills)
Week 2 · Bowling Green · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +2.87(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete deep left to #2 J.Barney Jr. caught at BG 01, for 32 yards to the BG 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:54, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills)
Week 2 · Bowling Green · 3&4 · Q1 · EPA +2.82(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #3 K.Gilmer caught at BG 00, for 12 yards to the BG 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:32, 1ST DOWN #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills)
Week 3 · North Dakota · 3&5 · Q4 · EPA +2.76(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short middle to #18 Q.Clark caught at UND00, for 5 yards to the UND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:55 #91 K.Cunanan kick attempt good (H: #37 K.Koch, LS: #55 J.Wills)
Week 1 · Ohio · 3&12 · Q3 · EPA +2.74(02:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 A.Colandrea pass complete short right to #8 L.Lindenmeyer caught at NEB37, for 15 yards to the NEB44 (#25 M.Molnar; #3 J.Haskins), 1ST DOWN
Overall 68.8% completion on 77 attempts · 55% completion on 11 deep attempts (20+ air yds).
Passer rating
Zeitgeist Passer Rating
2026 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.
Thin sample: 68 dropbacks
72Zeitgeist Passer Ratingnot ranked until 125 dropbacks
--NCAA passer ratingno box-score line yet
Positive-play rate weight 24%
55.9%98th pct of FBS QBs
share of dropbacks that gained expected points · -2.9% schedule adj.
Yards per attempt weight 56%
9.2699th pct of FBS QBs
sacks excluded · -0.8 schedule adj.
Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)
1.7%96th pct of FBS QBs
the input passer rating cannot see · +0.2% schedule adj.
Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (10 of 78 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. Scaled against the 2025 FBS population until enough 2026 QBs qualify. How ZPR is built.
Splits & context
Splits · Per-game
2026 season · 3 games
Home/Road · Season halves
Home vs Road
YDS/g
TD/g
YPA
INT/g
Home3g
231
2.7
9.1
0.3
First half vs Second half
YDS/g
TD/g
YPA
INT/g
Weeks 1-73g
231
2.7
9.1
0.3
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
2026 season
Head Coach
Matt Rhule
Pass share
42.7%
90 pass / 121 run
Plays / game
70.3
3 games
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Awards
Player standing · 2026
Watch-list name (model)
Our Heisman model has him inside the top 25; he is not on a published award watch list yet.
Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
How he plays
Play style
Extends plays with his feet until something opens up.
CFB Index positional classification
Starter
The No. 1,489 recruit in the country is starting at quarterback in the Big Ten as a senior.
DNA match
Player DNA
Scrambler
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Frank Harris’s 2021 season.