#99

Jordan Guerad

Senior defensive lineman for Louisville. 2025: 2 sacks, 4.5 tackles for loss, 27 tackles.

DL · Louisville · Sr. · #99

6′2″ · 300 lb · Valrico, FL

CFB Index 57 · #171 of 420 edge rushersLow confidenceReturning to Louisville for 2026

How he plays

Disrupts the pocket from the interior.

QB hurries: 92nd percentile.

The full scouting read

The numbers

sacks · 2025

4.5 TFL · 27 tackles · 5 hurries

Best game: 0.5 sacks, 1.5 TFL, 2 tackles, at Pittsburgh

His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 defensive lineman for Louisville. 2025: 2 sacks, 4.5 tackles for loss, 27 tackles.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to Florida International in 2021.
Transferred from Florida International to Louisville in 2024.

His career, year by year

Jordan Guerad

DL · Louisville · Sr · #99

Disrupts the pocket from the interior. Jordan Guerad has played for three head coaches across five seasons and two programs. His first career honor landed in 2023: All-Conference USA. The receipt on tape: 6 tackles, 1 TFL against Eastern Kentucky, Week 1, 2025.

Low coverage — composed from the verified record.

positional archetype classification
head-coach lineage
recognition record
game log

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2021Florida International1-11HC: Butch Davis · Balanced, slow tempo

2022Florida International4-8HC: Mike MacIntyre · Pass-leaning

2023Florida International4-8HC: Mike MacIntyre · Balanced

2024Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced

2025Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced

Where this defender ranks vs the field

Box-score production percentiles vs the position cohort

57Quality starter #171 of 420?

Medium confidenceBounce-Back8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (92nd percentile).

Box-score production (8)

QB hurries#188 / 2975 · 92nd pct

Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct

2.0

Tackles for loss#648 / 2975 · 77th pct

4.5

Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct

Solo tackles#1434 / 2975 · 50th pct

Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct

Tackles#1543 / 2975 · 47th pct

Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct

Percentiles are versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score production. There are no play-by-play efficiency bars here: CFBD's play-value model credits offensive players only, so no defensive EPA exists to rank.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	TKL/g	TFL/g	SACK/g	PD/g
Home8g	2.4	0.4	0.2	0.2
Road3g	2.7	0.5	0.2	0.0

First half vs Second half

	TKL/g	TFL/g	SACK/g	PD/g
Weeks 1-76g	2.5	0.6	0.2	0.0
Weeks 8+5g	2.4	0.2	0.2	0.4

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Jeff Brohm

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

Part-time starter

Tackle volume for the position in part-time-starter range.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

57 · #171 of 420 edge rushers

Three-star recruit. Now #171 at the position.

2026 outlook

Outside shot for All-ACC

Based on 2025: #30 of 73 ACC DLs

How the All-ACC estimate is computed

15% estimated, 95% confidence interval 13–17%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.

Career stats

Season	Team
2025	Louisville	27	15	4.5	2.0	2	1	--
2024	Louisville	22	6	3.5	2.5	1	--	--
2023	Florida International	33	19	5.5	1.0	--	--	--
2022	Florida International	34	16	5.5	3.0	--	--	--
2021	Florida International	12	4	0.5	0.0	--	--	--
Career		128	60	19.5	8.5	3	1	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 8 · 2025

W 24–21

at Miami

5 TOT · 3 SOLO

A wire-to-wire battle — won by 3 on the road.

With M. Moss — 248 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT · QBR 71.5 · -9 rush yds (3 car) · 1 TD · D. Chapeau — 3 rush yds (1 car)

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	TKL	SOLO	TFL	SACK	INT	PD	Note
Wk 1	W 51-17vs Eastern Kentucky	6	5	1.0	0.0	—	0	Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 2	W 28-14vs James Madison	2	0	0.0	0.0	—	0
Wk 4	W 40-17vs Bowling Green	1	1	0.0	0.0	—	0
Wk 5	W 34-27@ Pittsburgh	2	1	1.5	0.5	—	0
Wk 6	L 27-30vs Virginia	2	0	0.5	0.0	—	0
Wk 8	W 24-21@ Miami	5	3	0.0	0.0	—	0
Wk 9	W 38-24vs Boston College	1	1	0.0	0.0	1	0
Wk 10	W 28-16@ Virginia Tech	1	0	0.0	0.0	—	0
Wk 11	L 26-29vs California	1	1	1.0	1.0	—	1
Wk 12	L 19-20vs Clemson	4	2	0.0	0.0	—	1
Bowl	W 27-22vs Toledo	2	1	0.5	0.5	—	0
Total		27	15	4.5	2.0	1	2

How he plays

Play style

Disruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield.

CFB Index positional classification

Activity vs finishing · season enumeration

What the box score actually says

11 games

27Tackles

15Solo

4.5TFL

2Sacks

2Pass def.

1INT

27 tackles. 2 passes defended. 1 interceptions. 4.5 TFL.

Week 10.5 sacks
Week 50.5 sacks
Week 91 INT
Week 111 sack · 1 PD
Week 121 PD

Counts only, never a rate — splash-event sample sizes this small (interceptions, pass breakups, TFL) are noise as a rate and signal only as a tally.

2026 Outlook

Louisville

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Louisville

Returning around him

1 Louisville player drafted to NFL
Transfer portal: -7 net (33 in / 40 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Louisville · Last season: 9-4 (AP #19) · Talent rank #37 · 2026 recruiting class #48

DNA match

Player DNA

3-Tech Penetrator

Disruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Demerick Morris’s 2025 season.

Demerick Morris

84%match

Temple · 2025

Tavian Coleman

Texas State · 2024

83%

Bryce Langston

Florida Atlantic · 2025

82%

Damonte Smith

Middle Tennessee · 2024

82%

Fish McWilliams

UAB · 2022

All-Conference USA

81%

Matches Demerick on

Hurry rate

TFL rate

Weight

Differs from Demerick on

Height (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Ricky Barber's graduate season at UCF (2024).

Ricky Barber

82%match

UCF · 2024

All-AAC

James Mitchell

Colorado State · 2024

NFL Rd 5

77%

Te-Rah Edwards

Illinois · 2024

76%

Jared Dawson

Notre Dame · 2025

75%

TyQaze Leggs

Marshall · 2024

72%

Matches Ricky on

Sack rate

Weight

TFL rate

Differs from Ricky on

Hurry rate (lower)

Player DNA

Players who play like Jordan Guerad

Tyler Bentley

Pittsburgh · 2022

95%

Tavis Malakius

UNLV · 2021

95%

Everitt Rogers

Tulsa · 2022

95%

Wykevious Thomas

South Alabama · 2024

95%

Jerry Lawson

Louisville · 2025

93%

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology

Jordan Guerad

20214 games

202310 games

20247 games

2025 snapshot

Splits & context

Awards

Part-time starter

Career stats

Signature game

Game log

How he plays

DNA match

3-Tech Penetrator

Players who play like Jordan Guerad