Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 33-20vs Oregon State | 17 | 98 | 5.8 | 1 | 18 | Season-high 98 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 77-6vs Southern | 8 | 44 | 5.5 | 1 | 11 | |
| Wk 3 | L 26-28@ Texas Tech | 15 | 71 | 4.7 | 0 | 15 | |
| Total | 40 | 213 | 5.3 | 2 | 18 |
Eighteen months ago Makhi Hughes was a 1,400-yard back and one of the most coveted names in the transfer portal. Then he went to Oregon, vanished behind four other tailbacks, carried it 17 times, and quietly redshirted. Now he's run home to Houston and the coach who made him a star in the first place.
6′0″ · 210 lb · Birmingham, AL · Huffman HS
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
How he plays
Does a little of everything without one standout trait.
Success rate: 99th percentile.
The full scouting readThe numbers
rushing yards · 2026 · through week 3
3 games into 2026 so far -- Backed by 30 car · 195 yds · 1 TD -- top 1% rushing yards game. -- Best game: 98 rush yds, 1 TD, 8 rec yds, vs Oregon State
Swing playSwung Oklahoma from 46% to 75% to win.Tulane at Oklahoma · 34-19
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
Eighteen months ago Makhi Hughes was a 1,400-yard back and one of the most coveted names in the transfer portal. Then he went to Oregon, vanished behind four other tailbacks, carried it 17 times, and quietly redshirted. Now he's run home to Houston and the coach who made him a star in the first place.
Buzz vs Tape
The wider college football conversation reads him warmer than his own fans do — a gap of 15.2 points in belief.
Also worth knowing:
The Hughes story everyone's relitigating this offseason isn't a stat line, it's a cautionary tale with a sequel. He left Tulane as a two-time All-AAC back who'd posted around 2,800 rushing yards and 22-plus touchdowns in two seasons, including a 1,401-yard, 17-score 2024, and the portal treated him like a blue-chip. Oregon got the splash; nobody got the production. Buried behind Dierre Hill Jr., Jayden Limar, Noah Whittington and Jordon Davison, Hughes managed 17 carries for 70 yards (4.1 a pop) across four games before asking to redshirt — a medical-hardship door left open by a 2022 injury. Beat writers filed him under "prized transfer fails to make immediate impact," rival message boards passed him around as a what-if-the-fit-is-wrong warning.
The sequel is the part Houston fans actually want to talk about. In January he committed to the Cougars, reuniting with Willie Fritz — the coach who turned him into a freshman All-American at Tulane. Fritz and his staff have been blunt about the diagnosis: this is a back who gets better with 10-plus carries, exactly the volume Oregon never gave him. He left spring as Houston's top halfback on a roster CFN and Athlon are openly floating as a Big 12 dark horse, a dozen starters back, Conner Weigman steering the offense.
The perception-vs-reality tension is the whole card. Is Oregon the truth, or was it just the wrong room? The boards are betting on the latter — "return to form," "breakout player of the Big 12" is the phrase that keeps showing up. The question that decides his 2026: give the workhorse his workload, and Resolves 2027-01-20.PENDING?
A falsifiable call from this player's outlook. Not yet gradeable.
the back who ran for 1,400 in the AAC does it again as a feature back in the Big 12
Graded as: at least 1,400 rushing YDS in 2026.
Resolves 2027-01-20.
PENDINGSOURCES
His career
He was winning awards before he was old enough to be a story.
Hughes is a downhill, contact-balance back built for volume, not a boom-or-bust home-run hitter — his game is the 12th carry, not the first. (Oregon gave him almost no sample: 17 carries, 70 yards, a 4.1 average and a 19-yard long in 2025, so there are no play-by-play percentiles to lean on here, only the Tulane tape underneath.) That tape is a workhorse: back-to-back 250-plus-carry seasons, 1,401 yards and 17 scores in 2024, the kind of grinding between-the-tackles runner who wears a front seven down and gets stronger as the count climbs. He's a willing, capable receiver out of the backfield too — 30 catches and a pair of receiving touchdowns across his Tulane years — which is why Houston's staff talks about getting him the ball "in several ways." The scouting read is simple: a three-down, lead-the-league-in-touches back who needs the touches to be himself.
Written by our staff.
The snaps went the other way.
Career arc
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-AAC · 1ST TEAM
All-AAC 1st team (2024)
Coaching lineage · 2023–2026
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Dana Holgorsen → Willie Fritz. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Houston
Game by game
Point color shows the opponent's defensive strength that week (red = weaker defense, blue = stronger) — dashed line is this player's own season average.
Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 33-20vs Oregon State | 17 | 98 | 5.8 | 1 | 18 | Season-high 98 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 77-6vs Southern | 8 | 44 | 5.5 | 1 | 11 | |
| Wk 3 | L 26-28@ Texas Tech | 15 | 71 | 4.7 | 0 | 15 | |
| Total | 40 | 213 | 5.3 | 2 | 18 |
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 2 · 2026
W 77–6
vs Southern
44 rush yds (8 car) · 1 TD
Dominant 71-point win at home against Southern.
With K. Henderson — 83 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT · QBR 23.8 · 54 rush yds (1 car) · 1 TD · C. Weigman — 120 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT · QBR 48.3 · 6 rush yds (1 car)
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
Since week 2: +71 rushing yards, +2 catches.
Season context · Team result + system
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles
Elite: success rate (99th percentile). Concern: carries (4th percentile).
Real play-by-play efficiency
Season trend
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).
Rush profile · Shape, efficiency, and ball security
How he gets his yards, and how often it works
Success rate
65%40 carriesFumble rate
2.5%1 of 40 carries · 1 lostStuffed
0 or fewer ydsGrind
1–3 ydsChunk
4–9 ydsExplosive
10+ yds5.3 yds/carry on 40 carries · 15% explosive (10+ yds) · 65% success rate.
Splits · Per-game
2026 season · 3 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 71.0 | 5.7 | 1.0 |
| Road1g | 71.0 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 71.0 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Willie Fritz
Pass share
42.1%
88 pass / 121 run
Plays / game
69.7
3 games
Team sack rate
4.1%
97 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Player standing · 2026
On the two-deep and pushing for snaps.
Play style
Hughes is a downhill, contact-balance back built for volume, not a boom-or-bust home-run hitter — his game is the 12th carry, not the first. (Oregon gave him almost no sample: 17 carries, 70 yards, a 4.1 average and a 19-yard long in 2025, so there are no play-by-play percentiles to lean on here, only the Tulane tape underneath.) That tape is a workhorse: back-to-back 250-plus-carry seasons, 1,401 yards and 17 scores in 2024, the kind of grinding between-the-tackles runner who wears a front seven down and gets stronger as the count climbs. He's a willing, capable receiver out of the backfield too — 30 catches and a pair of receiving touchdowns across his Tulane years — which is why Houston's staff talks about getting him the ball "in several ways." The scouting read is simple: a three-down, lead-the-league-in-touches back who needs the touches to be himself.
Our classifier reads him the same way: does a little of everything without one standout trait.
Returning starter at running back for a 10-3 Houston team that went +1 in the portal. The No. 1,156 recruit in the country is carrying the ball in the Big 12 as a senior.
Player DNA
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
His 2026 production profile sits closest to James Summers’s 2016 season.
Matches James on
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Julius Loughridge’s path through Fordham.
Julius Loughridge
Plez Lawrence
Matches Julius on
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to TJ Green's senior season at Liberty (2022).
Matches TJ on
Player DNA
Heisman Trajectory · 2026
Peaked at #112 this season.
Prior to UH Spent the 2025 season at Oregon but began his career at Tulane (2022-24) 2023 Freshman All-American Two-time All-AAC First-Team selection In 2024 at Tulane, ranked second in the American and 10th nationally in rushing with 1,401 yards on the ground 1,401 rushing yards were the…
3 more on the roster · Houston team page