CFB Zeitgeist Score
7
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 18th percentile.
Makhi Hughes
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
70 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 17 CARRIES
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Houston
2025Oregon
2026Houston
RB · OREGON · BIG TEN
Makhi Hughes
- 3
- #20
- 5-11 | 210 lb
- Birmingham, AL
Heisman Heat
#74
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
In Their Words
132 windows · 2025 fan posts
makhi×431.8hughes×157.0worried×235.5work×64.2
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
★
2023
Tulane · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2024
Tulane · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2025
Oregon · RB
—
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025-95%
Sharp dropoff (-95%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8541 | No. 1149 recruit | HighSchool | Tulane |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Oregon -> Houston | 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate |
| 2025 | Tulane -> Oregon | 4-star | 0.9000 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Tulane
Composite
0.8541
#1149 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Makhi Hughes
Fan sentiment · Season 2025 conversation window
Belief Meter
56
Quietly Bullish
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=23
- National · n=3
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Makhi Hughes
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 4g
70Rush yards
17Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
17.5Rush yards
4Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
227.5Rush yards
55Carries
0Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 70): needs 75.6/game over remaining 9.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 70): needs 103.3/game over remaining 9.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 70): needs 158.9/game over remaining 9.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.1/game over remaining 9.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 1.7/game over remaining 9.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.2/game over remaining 9.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Makhi Hughes already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
17 37th
YDS
70 35th
YPC
4.1 36th
TD
0 40th
Receiving
REC
2 25th
YDS
24 33rd
YPR
12.0 88th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 4 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 59-13vs Montana State | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 2 | W 69-3vs Oklahoma State | 9 | 30 | 3.3 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 3 | W 34-14@ Northwestern | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 4 | W 41-7vs Oregon State | 6 | 33 | 5.5 | 0 | 19 | Season-high 33 yds |
| Total | 17 | 70 | 4.0 | 0 | 19 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Tulane11-3HC: Slade Nagle · Run-leaning
2024Tulane9-5HC: Jon Sumrall · Run-heavy
2025Oregon13-2HC: Dan Lanning · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 70 | #481/735 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #447/739 | 40th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.1 | #475/735 | 36th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 2 | #414/552 | 25th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 24 | #367/548 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.24 | #26/362 | 93rd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 263 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 7.4% | #410/738 | 45th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 19 | #413/733 | 44th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 17 | #469/739 | 37th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 20 | #232/540 | 57th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 12.0 | #65/548 | 88th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 11.2% | #441/738 | 40th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 9.5% | #361/738 | 51st pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 8.2% | #419/738 | 43rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 7.3% | #449/738 | 39th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 4.8% | #467/738 | 37th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.7% | #451/738 | 39th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 1.9% | #412/738 | 44th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 4 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 21.7 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
| Road1g | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 17.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 17.5 | 4.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
7Below cohort
Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Makhi HughesOregonJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 46% simTae MeadowsTroy· 45% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 45% sim
Yards / carry
Rec yards
Long run
Receptions
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Dan Lanning
Pass share
44.9%
436 pass / 534 run
Plays / game
64.7
15 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.8%
250 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2024
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2025
Dan Lanning
Oregon
Played his entire career under Dan Lanning.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownBirmingham, AL
Height5'11"
Weight210 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey20
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamOregon
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-AAC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
2 all-conference honors
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-AAC | all_conference | Tulane | AAC | RB |
| 2023 | All-AAC | all_conference | Tulane | AAC | RB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Tulane | RB3 | #74 | #103 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2023 | Tulane | RB3 | #310 | #357 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2022 | Tulane | RB3 | #1796 | #1369 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oregon | Big Ten | RB | 3 | No. 20 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Birmingham, AL |
| 2024 | Tulane | American Athletic | RB | 3 | No. 20 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Birmingham, AL |
| 2023 | Tulane | American Athletic | RB | 3 | No. 20 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Birmingham, AL |
| 2022 | Tulane | American Athletic | RB | 3 | No. 20 | 5-11 | 210 lb | Birmingham, AL |