Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 27-34@ Oregon | 4 | 27 | 6.8 | 1 | 8 | Season-high 27 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 38-20vs Memphis | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | 0 | 15 | |
| Total | 6 | 49 | 8.9 | 1 | 15 |
#88
Matt Wagner
Junior tight end for Boise State. 2026: 2 games with a box-score line.
6′5″ · 250 lb · Prosper, TX · Rock Hill HS
CFB Index 43 · #94 of 156 TEsMedium-low confidenceReturning to Boise State for 2026
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
The numbers
49
receiving yards · 2026
6 catches · 1 TD · 8.2 per catch
2 games into 2026 so far -- Best game: 4 rec, 27 yds, 1 TD, at Oregon
Swing playSwung Boise State from 33% to 62% to win.Boise State at Utah State · 25-24
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
3 tight end for Boise State. 2026: 2 games with a box-score line.
- Signed as a 3-star recruit to Boise State in 2023.
Matt Wagner
Shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Third year in the Boise State receiving corps, same address the whole way. The receipt on tape: 27 rec yds, 4 receptions against Oregon, Week 1, 2026.
49 REC YDS · 6 REC · 1 REC TD
Low coverage — composed from the verified record.
- season totals
- positional archetype classification
- seasons on the roster
- game log
His career
He was on the field for 3 seasons. That is rarer than it sounds.
The week the volume broke through — put up 64 yds at Utah State.Utah State · W 25-242025
2023
- Signed with Boise State3-star out of Prosper Rock Hill
Career arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Boise State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Coaching lineage · 2024–2026
1 coach2024–2026
Boise State
Played his entire career under Spencer Danielson.
2026 snapshot
Season context · Team result + system
3 seasons under Spencer Danielson, all run-leaning offenses — 22-8 over that span.
2024Boise State12-2HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
2025Boise State9-5HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
2026Boise State1-1HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
Box-score percentiles
Medium-low confidence
Concern: rec yards (0th percentile).
Box-score rates (5)
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Splits & context
Splits
Per-game splits
Through 2 games: 3.0 REC/g, 24.5 YDS/g, 8.9 YPR, 0.5 TD/g — splits start at 3 games.
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Spencer Danielson
Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.
Awards
Player standing · 2026
Backup
On the two-deep and pushing for snaps.
Recognition
Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
2026 outlook
In the mix for All-Pac-12
Based on 2025: #9 of 11 Mountain West TEs — his program moves to the Pac-12 for 2026
How the All-Pac-12 estimate is computed
35% estimated, 95% confidence interval 31–38%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player. The base rate was measured on players who stayed in the same conference; this estimate is not adjusted for the move to the Pac-12.
Career stats
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Boise State | 6 | 49 | 8.2 | 1 | -- |
| 2025 | Boise State | 23 | 246 | 10.7 | 1 | -- |
| 2024 | Boise State | 9 | 98 | 10.9 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 38 | 393 | 10.3 | 2 | -- |
Signature game
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 2 · 2026
W 38–20
vs Memphis
Game log
How he plays
Play style
No single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike.
CFB Index positional classification
2026 Outlook
Boise State
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · Boise State
Returning around him
- 66% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 1 Boise State player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -8 net (11 in / 19 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Boise State · Last season: 9-5 (AP #25) · Talent rank #74 · 2026 recruiting class #51
DNA match
Player DNA
Complete TE
No single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike.
TE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Alex Bauman’s 2025 season.
Matches Alex on
TD rate
Weight
Total EPA (college ability)
Differs from Alex on
Class year (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Cade Otton's sophomore season at Washington (2021).
78%match
All-Pac-12NFL Rd 4
Matches Cade on
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Reception volume
Differs from Cade on
Class year (lower)
Yards / reception (higher)
Player DNA
Players who play like Matt Wagner
Background
CAREER HONORS Earl Campbell Tyler Rose Award Preseason Watch List (2026) Shiners Children’s East-West Bowl 1000 (2026) Athlon Sports Preseason All-Pac-12 Second Team (2026) Phil Steele Preseason All-Pac-12 Third Team (2026) 2x College Sports Communicators Academic All-District (2024, 2025) 2x Aca...
The tight end room · Boise State
- #88Matt Wagner246 receiving yards · 2025
- #45Troy Grizzle10 receiving yards · 2025
- #86Austin Terry1 game · 2026
- #47Kaden Andersonno box-score line yet
- #49Beckham Hoflandno box-score line yet
3 more on the roster · Boise State team page
Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology