#19

Nate Yarnell

Senior quarterback for Texas State. 2024: 1,056 passing yards, 10 TD, 5 INT.

QB · Texas State · Sr. · #19

6′6″ · 215 lb · Austin, TX

CFB Index 28 · #122 of 137 QBsHigh confidence

Recruiting

3★

QB recruit

No. 1031 nationally · Signed with Pittsburgh

Last played in 2024.

His career numbers, season by season

The story

Senior quarterback for Texas State. 2024: 1,056 passing yards, 10 TD, 5 INT.

Signed as a 3-star recruit to Pittsburgh in 2021.
Transferred from Pittsburgh to Texas State in 2025.

The full story, with sources

Nate Yarnell

QB · Texas State · Sr · #19

Operates within the system without forcing anything. Nate Yarnell arrived at Texas State from Pittsburgh. 2022 brought the first one: ACC Rookie Player of the Week. One game to point at: 350 pass yds, 1 pass TD against Clemson — Week 12, 2024.

Low coverage — composed from the verified record.

positional archetype classification
portal record
recognition record
game log

Career stats

Season	Team
2024	Pittsburgh	98	167	58.7%	1,056	6.3	10	5	125.6	28	--	--
2023	Pittsburgh	41	62	66.1%	595	9.6	4	1	164.8	62	--	--
2022	Pittsburgh	10	14	71.4%	195	13.9	1	0	212.0	--	--	--
Career		149	243	61.3%	1,846	7.6	15	6	140.6	39	--	--

Season	Team
2024	Pittsburgh	35	25	0.7	0	--
2023	Pittsburgh	19	13	0.7	1	--
2022	Pittsburgh	2	-10	-5.0	0	--
Career		56	28	0.5	1	--

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2024 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	W 55-24vs Kent State	4/8	33	1	0	4.1	50.2
Wk 4	W 73-17vs Youngstown State	8/11	102	1	0	9.3	65.6
Wk 9	W 41-13vs Syracuse	5/7	36	0	0	5.1	10.4
Wk 10	L 25-48@ SMU	9/10	99	2	0	9.9	98.7
Wk 11	L 19-24vs Virginia	4/12	44	1	2	3.7	33.4
Wk 12	L 20-24vs Clemson	34/54	350	1	1	6.5	55.9	Season-high 350 yds
Wk 13	L 9-37@ Louisville	11/23	96	1	1	4.2	22.9
Wk 14	L 23-34@ Boston College	23/42	296	3	1	7.0	63.8	3 TD passes
Total		98/167	1056	10	5	6.2	50.1

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 14 · Boston College · 2&10 · Q2 · EPA -9.97Nate Yarnell pass intercepted Ty Clemons return for 55 yds for a TD (Liam Connor KICK)
Week 14 · Boston College · 3&13 · Q4 · EPA +4.00Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 29 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST down
Week 12 · Clemson · 2&14 · Q2 · EPA +3.65Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 30 yds to the CLEM 39 for a 1ST down
Week 12 · Clemson · 2&10 · Q3 · EPA +3.31Nate Yarnell pass complete to Desmond Reid for 34 yds to the CLEM 48 for a 1ST down
Week 12 · Clemson · 4&1 · Q4 · EPA -3.28Nate Yarnell pass intercepted Khalil Barnes return for no gain to the CLEM 2
Week 12 · Clemson · 3&10 · Q4 · EPA +3.16Nate Yarnell pass complete to Raphael Williams Jr. for 17 yds to the CLEM 35 for a 1ST down
Week 14 · Boston College · 3&11 · Q2 · EPA +3.15Nate Yarnell pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 11 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)
Week 12 · Clemson · 3&8 · Q2 · EPA +3.13Nate Yarnell pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 17 yds to the CLEM 42 for a 1ST down
Week 14 · Boston College · 3&8 · Q3 · EPA +3.03Nate Yarnell pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 16 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST down
Week 11 · Virginia · 2&8 · Q4 · EPA +2.92Nate Yarnell pass complete to Desmond Reid for 11 yds to the UVA 38 for a 1ST down Virginia Penalty, Roughing the Passer on BUTLER, Kameron enforced (Kam Butler) to the UVA 47 for a 1ST down

2024 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

3 seasons under Pat Narduzzi — 19-19 over that span.

2022Pittsburgh9-4HC: Pat Narduzzi · Run-leaning

2023Pittsburgh3-9HC: Pat Narduzzi · Balanced, slow tempo

2024Pittsburgh7-6HC: Pat Narduzzi · Balanced

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

28Below cohort / limited sample #122 of 137?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: sack rate (17th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

EPA / dropback#115 / 169 · 32nd pct

0.16

Success rate#124 / 169 · 27th pct

38.3%

Explosive rate#124 / 169 · 27th pct

8.4%

Interception rate#124 / 169 · 27th pct

3.0%

Sack rate#141 / 169 · 17th pct

8.7%

Box-score rates (8)

Interceptions#32 / 165 · 76th pct

Fumbles lost#21 / 159 · 73rd pct

Pass TDs#113 / 165 · 30th pct

Completion %#119 / 165 · 28th pct

58.7%

Rush yards#126 / 165 · 24th pct

Pass yards#132 / 165 · 20th pct

1056

Yards / att#144 / 165 · 12th pct

6.3

Rush TDs#137 / 165 · 9th pct

Season trend

EPA / dropback— first qualifying season

Success rate— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Sack rate— first qualifying season

Interception rate— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · Completions by yards gained (PBP)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

98/167 (58.7%) · 10 TD · 5 INT

167 of 167 attempts matched to play-by-play

Adjusted ANY/A

5.31151 of 205 QBs

Sack rate

8.7%173 of 205 QBs

Sacked on 8.7% of dropbacks (173 of 205) and Adjusted ANY/A trails the field (151 of 205).

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Short

0–9 yds

44%of completions

43 comp3.4 yds avg6 TD

Middle

10–19 yds

42%of completions

41 comp13.8 yds avg4 TD

Deep

20+ yds

14%of completions

14 comp24.7 yds avg

Overall 58.7% completion on 167 attempts · 14 deep completions averaging 24.7 yds.

Passer rating

Zeitgeist Passer Rating

2024 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.

Low confidence: 127 dropbacks

28Zeitgeist Passer Rating118th of 136 FBS QBs

125.6NCAA passer rating100th of 136 FBS QBs

ZPR ranks him 18 places lower than passer rating does: passer rating cannot see sacks, and he takes one on 10.2% of dropbacks.

Positive-play rate weight 24%

39.0%5th pct of FBS QBs

share of dropbacks that gained expected points · +0.4% schedule adj.

Yards per attempt weight 56%

6.3114th pct of FBS QBs

sacks excluded · +0.4 schedule adj.

Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)

9.6%4th pct of FBS QBs

the input passer rating cannot see · -0.6% schedule adj.

Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (56 of 183 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. How ZPR is built.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2024 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home5g	113	0.8	5.7	0.6
Road3g	164	2.0	7.0	0.7

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-72g	67.5	1.0	6.7	0.0
Weeks 8+6g	154	1.3	6.1	0.8

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

G.J. Kinne

Pass share

36.8%

81 pass / 139 run

Plays / game

73.3

3 games

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Awards

Player standing · 2024

Part-time starter

Splitting first-team reps — starts some weeks, rotates others.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

28 · #122 of 137 QBs

Three-star recruit. Now #122 at the position.

How he plays

Play style

Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.

CFB Index positional classification

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

fact

55.6%Completion %

42.9%Conversion/dropback

20.0%Land short of sticks

0INTs

55.6% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 42.9% conversion-per-dropback — 20.0% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. ~ our read: checkdown by design

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

fact

1/20Inside-5 share

1 of the team's 20 inside-the-5 carries (5.0%).

Starter

Returning starter at quarterback for a 7-6 Texas State team that went -3 in the portal. The No. 1,031 recruit in the country is starting at quarterback in the Sun Belt as a senior.