cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Torrance Burgess Jr. /Texas State

Torrance Burgess Jr.

RB · Texas State · Sr · #4

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

95 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 20 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Texas State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Texas State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Texas State

Returning around him

  • 93% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (17 in / 21 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Texas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #76 · 2026 recruiting class #101

RB · TEXAS STATE · SUN BELT

Torrance Burgess Jr.

  • 4
  • #4
  • 5-8 | 175 lb
  • Pearland, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

14

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 45th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3274

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
3.02022
6202023
95.02025

+3067%

Up 3067% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#113 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey4
Measurements5-8 | 175 lb
HometownPearland, TX
Primary teamTexas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 113 recruit
Composite rating 0.8200 JUCO
Signed with UTEP 2022
Origin Tyler J.C. Pearland, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8200 No. 113 recruit | JUCO | UTEP

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3274Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3335Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to UTEP

Composite

0.8200

#113 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Torrance Burgess Jr.

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Torrance Burgess Jr.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 4g
95Rush yards
20Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
23.8Rush yards
5Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
308.8Rush yards
65Carries
3Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 95): needs 72.8/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 95): needs 100.6/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 95): needs 156.1/game over remaining 9.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1/game over remaining 9.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.6/game over remaining 9.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.1/game over remaining 9.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Torrance Burgess Jr.'s story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3274 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 7.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 95 95 rush | -- rec | #443/735 (40th pct)
Rush TD 1 20 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 4.8 Per-rush efficiency | #326/735 (56th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
20 39th
YDS
95 40th
YPC
4.8 56th
TD
1 56th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 4 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 52-27vs Eastern Michigan3124.0011
Wk 2W 43-36@ UTSA4184.506
Wk 3L 15-34@ Arizona State6172.806
Wk 4W 35-3vs Nicholls7486.919Season-high 48 yds
Total20954.6111
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022UTEP5-7HC: Dana Dimel · Run-leaning
2023UTEP3-9HC: Dana Dimel · Run-leaning
2025Texas State7-6HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Texas State20954.81--
2023UTEP1246205.02--
2022UTEP430.80--
Career3 loaded seasons1487184.93--
SeasonTeam
2025Texas State----------
2023UTEP1722713.40--
2022UTEP11313.00--
Career3 loaded seasons1824013.30--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work -- -- rec yds
Usage 7.2% 11.8% rush share | #421/738 (43rd pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 95 #443/735 40th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.8 #326/735 56th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 7.2% #421/738 43rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 20 #449/739 39th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 11 #546/733 26th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 11.8% #424/738 43rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 11.6% #311/738 58th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 9.4% #364/738 51st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.5% #495/738 33rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 1.3% #636/738 14th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #622/738 16th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 0.0% #564/738 24th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 4 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home2g30.05.50.5
Road2g17.53.60.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins3g26.05.10.3
Losses1g17.02.80.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-74g23.84.50.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

14Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Yards / carry#189 / 349 · 45th pct
4.8rush
Rush TDs#284 / 349 · 13th pct
1rush
Long run#347 / 349 · 0th pct
11rush
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
95rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
20rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Torrance Burgess Jr.Texas StateRashod DubinionApp State· 41% simKamari MoultonIowa· 39% simTae MeadowsTroy· 38% sim
Yards / carry
45
Jr.
53
Dubinion
62
Moulton
29
Meadows
Rush TDs
13
Jr.
50
Dubinion
62
Moulton
72
Meadows
Long run
0
Jr.
39
Dubinion
33
Moulton
53
Meadows
Rush yards
0
Jr.
84
Dubinion
84
Moulton
74
Meadows
Carries
0
Jr.
87
Dubinion
86
Moulton
84
Meadows

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

G.J. Kinne

Pass share

39.5%

358 pass / 549 run

Plays / game

69.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.4%

267 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Jake Spavital
Texas State
2023
G.J. Kinne
Texas State
era →
2025
G.J. Kinne
Texas State

Coaching transition mid-career: Jake Spavital → G.J. Kinne. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPearland, TX
Height5'8"
Weight175 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas State RB4 #3274 #3335 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 UTEP RB4 #1168 #1690 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Conference USA
2022 UTEP RB4 #3717 #3828 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas State Sun Belt RB 4 No. 4 | 5-8 | 175 lb | Pearland, TX
2024 Texas State Sun Belt RB 4 No. 4 | 5-8 | 175 lb | Pearland, TX
2023 UTEP Conference USA RB 4 No. 4 | 5-8 | 175 lb | Pearland, TX
2022 UTEP Conference USA RB 4 No. 4 | 5-8 | 175 lb | Pearland, TX