Walker Eget packed up and started over at Duke, and the new tape already reads 3,058 pass YDS, 2,500-yd club.
6′3″ · 235 lb · Santa Clarita, CA · West Ranch
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
The numbers
passing yards · 2026 · through week 3
3 games into 2026 so far -- Backed by 458 yds · 2 TD -- top 1% passing yards game. -- Best game: 206 pass yds, 3 TD, -2 rush yds, at Illinois
The play that turned itSwung San José State from 33% to 71% to win.San José State at Stanford · 30-29
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
Senior quarterback for Duke. 2026: 3 games with a box-score line.
Aura™ · Him Watch
-73aura tax
83rd pctl our passing-value metric (wEPA) QBs · 160 qualified, n=10
— the tape outruns the hype.Buzz vs Tape
His production sits in the 83rd percentile among qualified QBs this season, well ahead of 10th-percentile attention — a gap of 73 points between tape and volume.
“Mahan being able to at least threaten the run on the read option is vastly more beneficial for the Duke offense than the threat of Eget throwing ducks that get batted down 50% of the time.”
Walker Eget
Walker Eget arrives at Duke with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.
PASS YDS · 2,500-YD CLUB
3,058
3058 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-09-22
His career
Nobody recruited him. He earned the honors anyway.
The role got bigger.
Career arc
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-MOUNTAIN WEST
All-Mountain West mention (2025)
Badges
Coaching lineage · 2021–2026
3 coachesPlayed under 3 different head coaches: David Cutcliffe, Mike Elko, and Manny Diaz. Multi-era developmental context.
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Duke
| Season | Team | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Duke | 42 | 71 | 59.2% | 539 | 7.6 | 4 | 1 | 138.7 | 61 | -- | -- |
| 2025 | San José State | 232 | 393 | 59.0% | 3,058 | 7.8 | 17 | 9 | 134.1 | 72 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | San José State | 188 | 328 | 57.3% | 2,504 | 7.6 | 13 | 10 | 128.4 | 66 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | San José State | -- | 1 | 0.0% | -- | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2021 | San José State | 1 | 8 | 12.5% | 8 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 20.9 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 463 | 801 | 57.8% | 6,109 | 7.6 | 34 | 20 | 130.9 | 69 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Duke | 5 | -3 | -0.6 | 0 | -- |
| 2025 | San José State | 33 | 96 | 2.9 | 0 | -- |
| 2024 | San José State | 29 | 99 | 3.4 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | San José State | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | San José State | 1 | -15 | -15.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 69 | 178 | 2.6 | 0 | -- |
Game by game
Point color shows the opponent's defensive strength that week (red = weaker defense, blue = stronger) — dashed line is this player's own season average.
Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 17-3vs Tulane | 13/26 | 131 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 | — | |
| Wk 2 | W 31-27@ Illinois | 15/21 | 206 | 3 | 0 | 9.8 | 75.9 | Season-high 206 yds |
| Wk 3 | W 35-7vs Stanford | 14/24 | 202 | 1 | 1 | 8.4 | 33.1 | |
| Total | 42/71 | 539 | 4 | 1 | 7.7 | 54.5 |
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 2 · 2026
W 31–27
at Illinois
206 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT · QBR 75.9 · -2 rush yds (1 car)
A wire-to-wire battle — won by 4 on the road.
With N. Sheppard — 147 rush yds (24 car) · 1 TD · K. Reynoldson — 49 yards per punt · 3 punts · 52 long
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
Since week 2: +202 passing yards, +1 passing TD, +1 interception.
Season context · Team result + system
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Box-score percentiles
Elite: fumbles lost (90th percentile). Concern: pass yards (2nd percentile).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Adjusted ANY/A
7.9456 of 126 QBsSack rate
1.4%11 of 126 QBsRarely sacked (11 of 126 QBs) and still 56 of 126 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Behind LOS · Negative air yds
Short · 0–9 air yds
Middle · 10–19 air yds
Deep · 20+ air yds
Overall 58.3% completion on 72 attempts · 45% completion on 11 deep attempts (20+ air yds).
Zeitgeist Passer Rating
2026 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.
Thin sample: 69 dropbacks61Zeitgeist Passer Ratingnot ranked until 125 dropbacks
--NCAA passer ratingno box-score line yet
Positive-play rate weight 24%
50.7%86th pct of FBS QBsshare of dropbacks that gained expected pointsYards per attempt weight 56%
7.7275th pct of FBS QBssacks excludedSack rate weight 21% (penalty)
1.4%97th pct of FBS QBsthe input passer rating cannot seeOpponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (1 of 70 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. Scaled against the 2025 FBS population until enough 2026 QBs qualify. How ZPR is built.
Splits · Per-game
2026 season · 3 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 166 | 0.5 | 6.7 | 0.5 |
| Road1g | 206 | 3.0 | 9.8 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 180 | 1.3 | 7.7 | 0.3 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Manny Diaz
Pass share
36.5%
73 pass / 127 run
Plays / game
66.7
3 games
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Player standing · 2026
On the two-deep and pushing for snaps.
Play style
Operates within the system without forcing anything.
CFB Index positional classification
The No. 1,426 recruit in the country is starting at quarterback in the ACC as a senior.
Player DNA
Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Seth Henigan’s 2021 season.
Matches Seth on
Differs from Seth on
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Colton Joseph’s path through Old Dominion.
Matches Colton on
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Alan Bowman's senior season at Oklahoma State (2023).
Matches Alan on
Differs from Alan on
Player DNA
Heisman Trajectory · 2026
Peaked at #84 this season.
2026 ACCOLADES Manning Award Watch List Shriners Children's East-West Bowl 1,000 2026: Graduate transfer quarterback from San Jose State University ... 2025 Honorable Mention All-Mountain West selection … two-time Academic All-Mountain West (2024-25) … in 27 career games (18 starts), has…