Wisconsin routs Eastern Michigan 54-10

Team pages: Eastern Michigan · Wisconsin

Eastern Michigan1-310
Wisconsin2-154Final
Sat, Sep 19 · Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, Wis. · Crowd 66,545Peacock

Wisconsin routed Eastern Michigan 54-10.

We had Wisconsin favored. It won.

Next: Eastern Michigan beat Lindenwood 29-3, Sat Sep 26

Next: Wisconsin beat Penn State 24-20, Sat Sep 26

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Wisconsin a 77% chance, and the closing betting line (Wisconsin was a 23.5-point favorite) put it at 97%.

41 unansweredWisconsin · Q2 8:12Blocked field goal TDWisconsin · Q4 0:00
FinalWisconsin 54-10 Eastern MichiganWisconsin wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.At the airport: 0.06 in of rain
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4WisconsinWon54-10Scores41 unansweredBlocked field goal TD0.01 in per 10 minutes, the peakRain
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4WisconsinWon54-10Scores41 unansweredBlocked field goal TD0.01 in per 10 minutes, the peakRain
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4WisconsinLowest 0%Lost10-54Scores41 unansweredBlocked field goal TD0.01 in per 10 minutes, the peakRain
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4WisconsinLowest 0%Lost10-54Scores41 unansweredBlocked field goal TD0.01 in per 10 minutes, the peakRain

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Wisconsin’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Wisconsin -23.5), at 96% for Wisconsin (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.
The blue strip under the chart is the weather at the airport. 0.2 in of rain by radar over the stadium; the airport 5.9 miles away recorded 0.06 in, heaviest in the first quarter. Measured at Madison airport, 5.9 miles away. Full conditions below.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Wisconsin’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 9:24Kim 18-yd TD pass to DevereauxEastern Michigan goes ahead 7-0Q1, 9:24 · Wisconsin 0, Eastern Michigan 7▼7%Wisconsin’s chance to win, 93% to 86%▼7%Wisconsin’s chance to win, 93% to 86%Watch from this playBig Ten Football
  2. Q1, 8:43Joseph intercepted by Adkins at the EMI40Q1, 8:43 · Wisconsin 0, Eastern Michigan 70-7score after the play0-7score after the playWatch from this playBig Ten Football
  3. Q2, 6:44Joseph 75-yd TD pass to BrooksWisconsin leads 17-7Q2, 6:44 · Wisconsin 17, Eastern Michigan 7▲3%Wisconsin’s chance to win, 95% to 98%▲3%Wisconsin’s chance to win, 95% to 98%Watch from this playBig Ten Football
  4. Q2, 3:51Kim intercepted by Posa at the Wisconsin 34returned 24 yardsQ2, 3:51 · Wisconsin 17, Eastern Michigan 717-7score after the play17-7score after the playWatch from this playBig Ten Football
  5. Q2, 0:49Joseph 13-yd TD pass to HenryWisconsin leads 31-7Q2, 0:49 · Wisconsin 31, Eastern Michigan 731-7score after the play31-7score after the playWatch from this playBig Ten Football

Every drive

Wisconsin scored on 7 of its 9 drives; Eastern Michigan on 3 of its 12.

Wisconsin’s drives are teal, Eastern Michigan’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Wisconsin: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 33DownsEastern Michigan: Touchdown, from 67 yards out to 0TouchdownWisconsin: Interception, from 75 yards out to 73InterceptionEastern Michigan: Punt, from 60 yards out to 52PuntWisconsin: Field goal, from 91 yards out to 21Field goalEastern Michigan: Punt, from 75 yards out to 69PuntQ2Wisconsin: Touchdown, from 74 yards out to 0TouchdownEastern Michigan: Punt, from 75 yards out to 74PuntWisconsin: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownEastern Michigan: Interception, from 75 yards out to 40InterceptionWisconsin: Touchdown, from 42 yards out to 0TouchdownEastern Michigan: Interception, from 75 yards out to 60InterceptionWisconsin: Touchdown, from 50 yards out to 0TouchdownEastern Michigan: End of half, from 75 yards out to 75End of halfQ3Eastern Michigan: Fumble returned for a touchdown, from 75 yards out to 100Fumble TDEastern Michigan: Punt, from 75 yards out to 66PuntWisconsin: Field goal, from 80 yards out to 23Field goalEastern Michigan: Field goal, from 90 yards out to 20Field goalQ4Wisconsin: Touchdown, from 65 yards out to 0TouchdownEastern Michigan: Touchdown, from 65 yards out to 0TouchdownEastern Michigan: Missed Fg returned for a touchdown, from 65 yards out to 30Missed Fg TD
“Yo is the MAC legit this year?”
A fan of another team

When fans got loud

Roaring

The biggest reaction came in the first quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was roaring; the crowd was quiet.

FirstSecondThirdFourthWisconsin fansEastern Michigan fansusual

Fans of both teams were loud at once in the bracketed stretch.

“T please E fire A Luke M Fickell”
A Wisconsin fan

What it cost

Wisconsin’s chance to make the playoff rose from 0% to 1%.

Make the playoff

Eastern Michigan · lost0% → 0%
Wisconsin · won0% → ▲1%

Win the conference

Eastern Michigan · lost3% → 3%
Wisconsin · won0% → ▲1%

Before the game (September 18, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Wisconsin 54, Eastern Michigan 10

Wisconsin covered −23.5 by 20.5. The total, 64, went over 43.5.

Eastern MichiganWisconsinTotal yardsEastern Michigan 216Wisconsin 479216479Passing yardsEastern Michigan 154Wisconsin 362154362Rushing yardsEastern Michigan 62Wisconsin 11762117First downsEastern Michigan 15Wisconsin 231523TurnoversEastern Michigan 3Wisconsin 131Time of possessionEastern Michigan 28:43Wisconsin 31:1728:4331:17
Team totalsEastern MichiganWisconsin
Total yards216479
Passing18 of 30, 154 yds23 of 33, 362 yds
Rushing30 for 62 yds30 for 117 yds
First downs1523
Third down3 of 128 of 12
Fourth down2 of 21 of 2
Turnovers31
Penalties4 for 38 yds6 for 55 yds
Time of possession28:4331:17

Eastern Michigan leaders

  • Passing Noah Kim 16 of 28, 140 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
  • Rushing Joey Mattord 9 for 36 yds; Decorie Johnson 4 for 18 yds
  • Receiving Nick Devereaux 3 for 38 yds, 1 TD; Antonio Floyd 4 for 35 yds

Wisconsin leaders

  • Passing Colton Joseph 23 of 33, 362 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Colton Joseph 9 for 46 yds, 1 TD; Darrion Dupree 8 for 29 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Tyrell Henry 14 for 160 yds, 1 TD; Chris Brooks Jr. 3 for 91 yds, 1 TD

Rain for part of the game

65° at kickoff · 0.2 in of rain by radar over the stadium; the airport 5.9 miles away recorded 0.06 in

In the game thread, fans talked about the rain.

September game-day temperatures at Camp Randall Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Wisconsin favoredEastern Michigan favored100%Win chanceWisconsinRaininches per 10 min0.1 inWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphHourly wind only at this airport
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Wisconsin favoredEastern Michigan favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inWind · miles per hour2040Hourly wind only at this airport

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 7:23 left12:00 p.m.
Eastern Michigan 7, Wisconsin 0 · Wisconsin 83% to win
rain 0.01 in per 10 minutes · 65°
Dupree 2-yd run

Jump to

Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Madison airport, 5.9 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Eastern Michigan · 1-2

Rated 92nd in our preseason ratings, 122nd now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 7-35 @ Michigan State #154 of 668

lost by 28 as a 17.5-point underdog

Eastern Michigan lost 7-35 at Michigan State. Chance to win started at 9%, low under 1%, high 10%.

L 21-27 vs San José State #132 of 668

lost by 6 as a 1.5-point favorite

Eastern Michigan lost 21-27 vs San José State. Chance to win started at 62%, low 11%, high 83%.

W 28-17 vs Sacramento State #130 of 668

won by 11 as a 9.5-point favorite

Eastern Michigan won 28-17 vs Sacramento State. Chance to win started at 80%, low 72%, high better than 99%.

Last two games

Wisconsin · 1-1

Rated 86th in our preseason ratings, 89th now.

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 36-9 vs Western Illinois #238 of 668

won by 27 as a 43.5-point favorite

Wisconsin won 36-9 vs Western Illinois. Never in doubt.

L 13-41 @ Notre DameTop 25 #1 of 668

lost by 28 as a 21-point underdog

Wisconsin lost 13-41 vs Notre Dame. Chance to win started at 6%, low under 1%, high 13%.

Week by week

Wisconsin

Wk 1: L 13-41 at Notre Dame▼28Notre DameWk 2: W 36-9 vs Western Illinois▲27Western Illinois
  • Wk 1Lat Notre Dame13-41
  • Wk 2Wvs Western Illinois36-9

Eastern Michigan

Wk 1: W 28-17 vs Sacramento State▲11Sacramento StateWk 1: L 21-27 vs San José State▼6San José StateWk 2: L 7-35 at Michigan State▼28Michigan State
  • Wk 1Wvs Sacramento State28-17
  • Wk 1Lvs San José State21-27
  • Wk 2Lat Michigan State7-35

Power rating by week

Wisconsin is rated 2.6 points ahead as of week 2. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-1-3-5Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2WisconsinEastern Michigan

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Eastern Michigan’s explosive plays against Wisconsin, 73 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Eastern Michigan’s explosive plays against Wisconsin’s defense

    73 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Eastern Michigan offense, 26th percentile · Wisconsin defense, 99th

  2. Eastern Michigan’s EPA/play against Wisconsin’s defense

    69 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Eastern Michigan offense, 21st percentile · Wisconsin defense, 90th

  3. Eastern Michigan’s passing EPA against Wisconsin’s defense

    65 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Eastern Michigan offense, 29th percentile · Wisconsin defense, 94th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Eastern MichiganWisconsin
EPA/play, offense
Eastern Michigan · 21Wisconsin · 46
EPA/play, defense
Eastern Michigan · 21Wisconsin · 90
Success rate, offense
Eastern Michigan · 19Wisconsin · 24
Success rate, defense
Eastern Michigan · 23Wisconsin · 82
Explosive-play rate, offense
Eastern Michigan · 26Wisconsin · 90
Explosive-play rate, defense
Eastern Michigan · 60Wisconsin · 99
Rush EPA, offense
Eastern Michigan · 24Wisconsin · 77
Rush EPA, defense
Eastern Michigan · 58Wisconsin · 45
Pass EPA, offense
Eastern Michigan · 29Wisconsin · 27
Pass EPA, defense
Eastern Michigan…Wisconsin · 94

The series

Wisconsin leads the series 4-0

4 meetings since 1991 · Wisconsin has won the last 4

  • 2021Wisconsin 34-7Wisconsin won 34-7 vs Eastern Michigan. Chance to win started at 95%, low 95%, high better than 99%.
  • 1996Wisconsin 24-3
  • 1994Wisconsin 56-0
  • 1991Wisconsin 21-6

Each line is Wisconsin’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Eastern Michigan fans are in a better mood than Wisconsin fans (83rd vs 2nd among FBS fanbases), even with Wisconsin favored.

  • Model · 77%
  • Line · 97%
  • Wisconsin fans · 2nd
  • Eastern Michigan fans · 83rd

Wisconsin favored by 23.5 · Total 43.5

How games like this usually go

Wisconsin by 23.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Eastern Michigan.

opened −24.5now −23.5

The total fell 2 points.

opened 45.5now 43.5

Spread: −24.5 → −23.5 · Total: 45.5 → 43.5

The books’ cut: 3.7%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Mild, with rain. Feels like 66° at kickoff.

Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin · Saturday, Sept. 19, 2026 · Camp Randall Stadium, Madison

  • 66°feels like at kickoff
  • 0.06 inrain at kickoff
  • 94weather score, Comfortable

At kickoff, Sept. 19, 2026.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game is ringed. At Camp Randall Stadium that day, a 2:30 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 94 at 11 am.

  • 11 am: 94, Comfortable (this game)
  • 11:45 am: 94, Comfortable
  • 1 pm: 94, Comfortable
  • 2:30 pm: 100, Ideal
  • 3:30 pm: 98, Comfortable
  • 6 pm: 96, Comfortable
  • 6:30 pm: 90, Comfortable
  • 7 pm: 90, Comfortable

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

At kickoff, Sept. 19, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.

Home field

Wisconsin is worth +5.1 points (±4.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 66th percentile.

65% at home, 42% on the road against FBS opponents (34-18 home, 16-22 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.5 at home vs. away over 93 games — inside the ±7.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 298 miles to get here.

The story going in

Where next