ILL Illinois 2-2 19 OSU No. 7 Ohio State3-1 42 Final No. 7 Ohio State beat Illinois 42-19. Share this game
We had Ohio State favored. It won.
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Q3 6:59 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 26 How it swung Watch the plays Drives What it cost Box score Weather Before kickoff How it swung Before kickoff, our ratings gave Ohio State a 96% chance, and the closing betting line (Ohio State was a 25.5-point favorite) put it at 98%.
Ohio State led by 7 after the first quarter and by 18 at the half.
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 0 +23 +23 Favored the whole way: Ohio State never fell below 96%.
Illinois never had better than a 3% chance.
Final Ohio State 42-19 Illinois Ohio State won Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. Final Illinois 19-42 Ohio State Illinois lost Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Ohio State Won 42-19 Scores Ohio State Illinois Ohio State fans: 7 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 5 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 28 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 18 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 30 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 13 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 12 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 13 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 19 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 25 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 16 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 10 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 14 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 17 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 6 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 5 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 11 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 17 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 13 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 12 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 31 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 29 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 18 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 4 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 25 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 12 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 19 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 8 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 11 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 11 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 8 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 5 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 8 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 5 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 6 comments a minute Illinois fans: 5 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 6 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 6 comments a minute Illinois fans: 5 comments a minute Illinois fans: 7 comments a minute Illinois fans: 7 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 6 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Ohio State Won 42-19 Scores O. State Illinois Ohio State fans: 7 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 5 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 28 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 18 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 30 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 13 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 12 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 13 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 19 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 25 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 16 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 10 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 14 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 17 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 6 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 5 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 11 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 17 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 13 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 12 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 31 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 29 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 18 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 4 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 25 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 12 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 19 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 8 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 11 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 11 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 8 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 5 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 8 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 5 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 6 comments a minute Illinois fans: 5 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 6 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 6 comments a minute Illinois fans: 5 comments a minute Illinois fans: 7 comments a minute Illinois fans: 7 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 6 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Ohio State Lowest 0% Lost 19-42 Scores Illinois Ohio State Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 5 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 8 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 5 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 6 comments a minute Illinois fans: 5 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 6 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 6 comments a minute Illinois fans: 5 comments a minute Illinois fans: 7 comments a minute Illinois fans: 7 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 6 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 7 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 5 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 28 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 18 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 30 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 13 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 12 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 13 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 19 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 25 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 16 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 10 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 14 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 17 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 6 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 5 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 11 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 17 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 13 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 12 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 31 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 29 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 18 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 4 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 25 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 12 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 19 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 8 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 11 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 11 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 8 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Ohio State Lowest 0% Lost 19-42 Scores Illinois O. State Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 5 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 8 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 5 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 6 comments a minute Illinois fans: 5 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 6 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 6 comments a minute Illinois fans: 5 comments a minute Illinois fans: 7 comments a minute Illinois fans: 7 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 6 comments a minute Illinois fans: 4 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Illinois fans: 1 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 2 comments a minute Illinois fans: 3 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 7 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 5 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 28 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 18 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 30 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 13 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 12 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 13 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 19 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 25 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 16 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 10 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 14 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 17 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 6 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 5 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 11 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 17 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 13 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 12 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 31 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 29 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 18 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 4 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 25 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 12 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 19 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 20 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 15 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 8 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 11 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 11 comments a minute Ohio State fans: 8 comments a minute
See it from Illinois’s side No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
What fans said, play by play
The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.
Q1 3:39 A wide receiver made an impressive move on a defensive back. Oh god, that move on the DB. That is unfair. r/CFB game thread Q1 1:04 Illinois scores on Anderson run as Ohio State fans criticize their defense Take Matt’s pencil away until the defense gets a turnover. r/CFB game thread Wow that play fooled the buckeyes there Our defense was on the entire left side of the field lol r/CFB game thread Q2 12:43 Sayin scrambles for first down as fans praise his running Julian “Lamar Jackson” Sayin r/CFB game thread Q2 7:54 Fans praise replay transparency as Smith scores on Sayin pass Jeremiah Smith should be the #1 pick. Even if that team needs a QB. That's how good he is. r/CFB game thread If you’re a GM and you pass on Jeremiah Smith you should be fired immediately r/CFB game thread Q3 6:59 Quoted at the top of the page. Corruption. Using tax payer dollars for commercials like that is illegal. r/CFB game thread Ohio State’s chance to win after every play. How to read this chart Starts from the pregame line (Ohio State -25.5), at 97% for Ohio State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Ohio State or Illinois flair (2,586 and 566); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to. Watch the plays The bar and the arrow show Ohio State’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.
Play all in order Q1, 9:34 Sayin 7-yd TD pass to Smith Ohio State goes ahead 7-0 Q1, 9:34 · Ohio State 7, Illinois 0 7-0 score after the play 7-0 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playBig Ten Football Q1, 3:39 Sayin 72-yd TD pass to Smith Ohio State leads 14-0 Q1, 3:39 · Ohio State 14, Illinois 0 14-0 score after the play 14-0 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playBig Ten Football Q1, 1:04 Anderson 22-yd TD run cuts it to 14-7 Q1, 1:04 · Ohio State 14, Illinois 7 14-7 score after the play 14-7 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playBig Ten Football Q2, 14:44 Houser sacked for a 9-yd loss Q2, 14:44 · Ohio State 14, Illinois 7 14-7 score after the play 14-7 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playBig Ten Football Q4, 6:02 Houser 27-yd TD pass to Robinson, two-point try fails cuts it to 35-19 Q4, 6:02 · Ohio State 35, Illinois 19 35-19 score after the play 35-19 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playBig Ten Football Q4, 2:36 Jackson 2-yd TD run Ohio State leads 42-19 Q4, 2:36 · Ohio State 42, Illinois 19 42-19 score after the play 42-19 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playBig Ten Football
Every drive Ohio State scored on 6 of its 9 drives; Illinois on 4 of its 9.
Ohio State’s drives are teal, Illinois’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
own goal goal line Q1 Ohio State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0 Touchdown Illinois: Punt, from 89 yards out to 55 Punt Ohio State: Touchdown, from 93 yards out to 0 Touchdown Illinois: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0 Touchdown Ohio State: Punt, from 78 yards out to 72 Punt Q2 Illinois: Punt, from 65 yards out to 46 Punt Ohio State: Touchdown, from 96 yards out to 0 Touchdown Illinois: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 25 Field goal Ohio State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0 Touchdown Illinois: End of half, from 75 yards out to 42 End of half Q3 Illinois: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 26 Field goal Ohio State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 43 Punt Illinois: Turned over on downs, from 94 yards out to 20 Downs Q4 Ohio State: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0 Touchdown Illinois: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0 Touchdown Ohio State: Touchdown, from 43 yards out to 0 Touchdown Illinois: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 35 Downs Ohio State: End of game, from 65 yards out to 67 End of game “Crazy how Michigan is such a joke that they have caused us to get some actual transparency” A fan of another team How fans reacted Steady
The loudest stretch came in the second quarter.
Jump to the loudest stretch
The jump was steady; the crowd was busy.
First Second Third Fourth Ohio State fans Illinois fans usual Two crowds, one game The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.
Illinois fans
tackle “The thing is we'd suck with any defensive scheme right now. Unless there's some magic defensive scheme that works when your team can't tackle”
score “I know the score is a blowout, but I actually don't feel that bad about how we've played.”
honestly “Honestly, if we can play like we have since OSU went up 14-0 for the rest of the year we can win some games.”
basketball “This’ll be a basketball score for Ohio State by the end of the game Like 63-21 or something”
Both sets of fans kept coming back to: ball, now, need, getting.
What it cost Ohio State’s chance to make the playoff rose from 69% to 71%.
Make the playoff
Illinois · lost 0% → 0%
Ohio State · won 69% → ▲ 71% 69% ▲ 71%
Win the conference
Illinois · lost 0% → 0%
Ohio State · won 35% → ▲ 36% 35% ▲ 36%
Before the game (September 25, 2026) → after this result, in our model.
Box score Ohio State 42, Illinois 19
Illinois covered +25.5 by 2.5. The total, 61, went over 53.5.
Illinois Ohio State Total yards Illinois 462 Ohio State 518 462 518 Passing yards Illinois 263 Ohio State 367 263 367 Rushing yards Illinois 199 Ohio State 151 199 151 First downs Illinois 25 Ohio State 27 25 27 Turnovers Illinois 0 Ohio State 0 0 0 Time of possession Illinois 30:38 Ohio State 29:22 30:38 29:22 Team totals Illinois Ohio State Total yards 462 518 Passing 21 of 38, 263 yds 27 of 36, 367 yds Rushing 33 for 199 yds 32 for 151 yds First downs 25 27 Third down 6 of 14 8 of 12 Fourth down 1 of 3 2 of 2 Turnovers 0 0 Penalties 6 for 52 yds 7 for 59 yds Time of possession 30:38 29:22
Illinois leaders Passing Katin Houser 21 of 37, 263 yds, 1 TDRushing Aidan Laughery 11 for 113 yds; Ca'Lil Valentine 10 for 47 ydsReceiving Hudson Clement 5 for 87 yds; Collin Dixon 5 for 63 ydsOhio State leaders Passing Julian Sayin 27 of 36, 367 yds, 4 TDRushing Ja'Kobi Jackson 10 for 56 yds, 1 TD; Bo Jackson 11 for 53 ydsReceiving Jeremiah Smith 12 for 217 yds, 4 TD; Nate Roberts 4 for 36 ydsNo rain and calm 66° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 10 mph from the north-northeast, mostly along the field, gusts to 21
September game-day temperatures at Ohio Stadium
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Ohio State favored Illinois favored 100% Win chance Ohio State Rain inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind mph, average and gusts 20 mph 40 mph Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Ohio State favored Illinois favored Rain · inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind · miles per hour 20 40 Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
First quarter, 15:00 left12:11 p.m.
Illinois 0, Ohio State 0 · Ohio State 97% to win
no rain · wind 10 mph from the north, mostly along the field, gusts to 20 · 67°
Sayin 9-yd pass to Jackson
Previous play Next play
Where this weather comes from Measured at Columbus/st Univ airport, 6.3 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.
Before kickoff Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Matchups Biggest mismatch: Ohio State’s passing EPA against Illinois, 87 points Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Ohio State’s EPA/play against Illinois’s defense
82 points weaker stronger 50th Ohio State offense, 87th percentile · Illinois defense, 5th
Ohio State’s passing EPA against Illinois’s defense
87 points weaker stronger 50th Ohio State offense, 92nd percentile · Illinois defense, 5th
Ohio State’s explosive plays against Illinois’s defense
40 points weaker stronger 50th Ohio State offense, 75th percentile · Illinois defense, 35th
Season profile, all the rows Season profile Illinois Ohio State
EPA/play, offense
Illinois · 84 Ohio State · 87 EPA/play, defense
Illinois · 5 Ohio State · 95 Success rate, offense
Illinois · 92 Ohio State · 87 Success rate, defense
Illinois · 11 Ohio State · 90 Explosive-play rate, offense
Illinois · 60 Ohio State · 75 Explosive-play rate, defense
Illinois · 35 Ohio State · 79 Rush EPA, offense
Illinois · 86 Ohio State · 49 Rush EPA, defense
Illinois · 24 Ohio State · 92 Pass EPA, offense
Illinois · 78 Ohio State · 92 Pass EPA, defense
Illinois · 5 Ohio State · 89 The series Ohio State leads the series 70-30-4
104 meetings since 1902 · Ohio State has won the last 10
Ohio State won Illinois won 1902: tie 1904: Illinois by 46 1914: Illinois by 37 1915: tie 1916: Ohio State by 1 1917: Ohio State by 13 1918: Illinois by 13 1919: Illinois by 2 1920: Ohio State by 7 1921: Illinois by 7 1922: Ohio State by 3 1923: Illinois by 9 1924: Illinois by 7 1925: Illinois by 5 1926: Ohio State by 1 1927: Illinois by 13 1928: Illinois by 8 1929: Illinois by 27 1930: Ohio State by 3 1931: Ohio State by 40 1932: Ohio State by 3 1933: Ohio State by 1 1934: Illinois by 1 1935: Ohio State by 6 1936: Ohio State by 13 1937: Ohio State by 19 1938: Ohio State by 18 1939: Ohio State by 21 1940: Ohio State by 8 1941: Ohio State by 5 1942: Ohio State by 24 1943: Ohio State by 3 1944: Ohio State by 14 1945: Ohio State by 25 1946: Illinois by 9 1947: Illinois by 21 1948: Ohio State by 27 1949: Ohio State by 13 1950: Illinois by 7 1951: tie 1952: Ohio State by 20 1953: Illinois by 21 1954: Ohio State by 33 1955: Ohio State by 15 1956: Ohio State by 20 1957: Ohio State by 14 1958: Ohio State by 6 1959: Illinois by 9 1960: Ohio State by 27 1961: Ohio State by 44 1962: Ohio State by 36 1963: tie 1964: Ohio State by 26 1965: Ohio State by 14 1966: Illinois by 1 1967: Illinois by 4 1968: Ohio State by 7 1969: Ohio State by 41 1970: Ohio State by 19 1971: Ohio State by 14 1972: Ohio State by 19 1973: Ohio State by 30 1974: Ohio State by 42 1975: Ohio State by 37 1976: Ohio State by 32 1977: Ohio State by 35 1978: Ohio State by 38 1979: Ohio State by 37 1980: Ohio State by 7 1981: Ohio State by 7 1982: Ohio State by 5 1983: Illinois by 4 1984: Ohio State by 7 1985: Illinois by 3 1986: Ohio State by 14 1987: Ohio State by 4 1988: Illinois by 19 1989: Illinois by 20 1990: Illinois by 11 1991: Illinois by 3 1992: Illinois by 2 1993: Ohio State by 8 1994: Illinois by 14 1995: Ohio State by 38 1996: Ohio State by 48 1997: Ohio State by 35 1998: Ohio State by 41 1999: Illinois by 26 2000: Ohio State by 3 2001: Illinois by 12 2002: Ohio State by 7 2005: Ohio State by 38 2006: Ohio State by 7 2007: Illinois by 7 2008: Ohio State by 10 2009: Ohio State by 30 2010: Ohio State by 11 2011: Ohio State by 10 2012: Ohio State by 30 2013: Ohio State by 25 2014: Ohio State by 41 2015: Ohio State by 25 2017: Ohio State by 38 2025: Ohio State by 18 1902 2025 2025 Ohio State 34-16 Ohio State won 34-16 at Illinois. Chance to win started at 82%, low 81%, high better than 99%. 2017 Ohio State 52-14 2015 Ohio State 28-3 2014 Ohio State 55-14 2013 Ohio State 60-35 Each line is Ohio State’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.
Line, fans and home field The betting line, and the fans Ohio State fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (23rd among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.
50-50 Model 96% · Line 98% Ohio State fans · 23rd Illinois fans · 39th Illinois Ohio State Ohio State favored by 25.5 · Total 53.5
How games like this usually go Ohio State by 25.5, and it went to form 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Half of games 8 in 10 games This game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market The spread moved 2 points toward Illinois.
opened −27.5 now −25.5 The total fell 1 point.
opened 54.5 now 53.5 Spread: −27.5 → −25.5 · Total: 54.5 → 53.5
The books’ cut: 3.4%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff Mild and dry. Feels like 69° at kickoff.
Illinois at Ohio State · Saturday, Sept. 26, 2026 · Ohio Stadium, Columbus
69°feels like at kickoff Dry no rain at kickoff 100weather score, Ideal At kickoff, Sept. 26, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Kickoff times that Saturday Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game is ringed. At Ohio Stadium that day, a 2 pm, 3:30 pm or 7 pm kickoff would have scored 98, against 100 at noon.
Rough
Mixed
Comfortable
Ideal (100) 100 Ideal 99 Comfortable 98 Comfortable 98 Comfortable 99 Comfortable 99 Comfortable 99 Comfortable 98 Comfortable
noon 12:45 pm 2 pm 3:30 pm 4 pm 5 pm 6 pm 7 pm
noon: 100, Ideal (this game) 12:45 pm: 99, Comfortable 2 pm: 98, Comfortable 3:30 pm: 98, Comfortable 4 pm: 99, Comfortable 5 pm: 99, Comfortable 6 pm: 99, Comfortable 7 pm: 98, Comfortable Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 26, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field Ohio State is worth +6.3 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 86th percentile.
95% at home, 86% on the road against FBS opponents (53-3 home, 32-5 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why ); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.6 at home vs. away over 95 games — inside the ±5.9 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 276 miles to get here.