Texas Tech 29-7 Colorado (Oct 3, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Texas Tech · Colorado

No. 12 Texas Tech5-029

Colorado2-37Final

Sat, Oct 3 · Folsom Field, Boulder, Colo. · Crowd 50,106

No. 12 Texas Tech beat Colorado 29-7.

We had Texas Tech favored. It won.

Next: Texas Tech beat Arizona State 53-25, Sat Oct 17

Next: Colorado lost to Utah 27-24, Sat Oct 17

Top comment in the game thread

"Paid for by the US government" Are we for real right now???

Q2 5:50 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 3

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Texas Tech a 92% chance, and the closing betting line (Texas Tech was a 13.5-point favorite) put it at 86%.

Texas Tech won by 22, after dipping to 46% in the second quarter.

Colorado never had better than a 54% chance.

29 unanswered

Texas Tech · Q3 3:01Pick-six

Texas Tech · Q4 7:10

FinalTexas Tech 29-7 ColoradoTexas Tech wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

The play that swung it

1Q3 11:30InterceptionWilliams intercepted by Pollock at the Colorado 31Texas Tech 54% → 67% (+13)

The play that swung it

1Q3 11:30InterceptionWilliams intercepted by Pollock at the Colorado 31Colorado 46% → 33% (−13)

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q2 13:24The team attempted a fake punt that failed.Didn’t even clear the fake with the head coach? Awesomer/CFB game thread
Q2 5:50Fans mock a government ad and criticize Texas Tech's shotgun play on fourth downQuoted at the top of the page.“Paid for by the U.S. government” but I’m told propoganda is only in North Korea and China!r/CFB game thread
Q3 3:39Officials rule Joyner run down, fans argue no whistle blewAnd another Joyner 0. Incredibler/CFB game thread
Q4 7:10John Curry intercepts a pass in the endzone for a zero-yard pick sixI don't think I've ever seen an endzone pick 6 beforer/CFB game thread

Texas Tech’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Texas Tech -13.5), at 76% for Texas Tech (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Colorado or Texas Tech flair (290 and 1,720); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Texas Tech’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Texas Tech scored on 5 of its 12 drives; Colorado on 1 of its 13.

Texas Tech’s drives are teal, Colorado’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

From Colorado’s side

Colorado’s best moment: Wilson 8-yd TD pass to Williams, Colorado goes ahead 7-0 (Q1 10:29). It lifted Colorado’s win chance by 13 points.

“Sickos feasting with this game”

A Texas Tech fan

How fans reacted

Steady

Fans saved their loudest stretch for the fourth quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was steady; the crowd was busy.

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Colorado fans

whistle“Today we learn about dead ball fouls and why they can’t happen before the whistle”

awful“Second ref bailout, first the pic that didn’t get overturned and now that, god awful”

stadium“Seriously. I get the pain as a 2012 alum but the negativity from our fans in the stadium is insane and annoying.”

blown“Doesn’t matter, whistle wasn’t blown and they called a dead ball foul”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: don, call, back, need.

Too close to call on 55% of plays.

What it cost

Texas Tech’s chance to make the playoff rose from 40% to 45%.

Make the playoff

Texas Tech · won40% → ▲45%

Colorado · lost0% → 0%

Win the conference

Texas Tech · won34% → ▲37%

Colorado · lost0% → 0%

Win the title

Texas Tech · won1% → ▲2%

Colorado · lost0% → 0%

Before the game (October 2, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Texas Tech 29, Colorado 7

Texas Tech covered −13.5 by 8.5. The total, 36, stayed under 50.5.

Team totals	Texas Tech	Colorado
Total yards	315	375
Passing	17 of 26, 134 yds	28 of 48, 297 yds
Rushing	37 for 181 yds	32 for 78 yds
First downs	19	22
Third down	3 of 12	6 of 16
Fourth down	0 of 2	1 of 4
Turnovers	0	4
Penalties	6 for 51 yds	8 for 84 yds
Time of possession	28:56	31:04

Texas Tech leaders

Passing Will Hammond 17 of 26, 134 yds, 1 TD
Rushing J'Koby Williams 17 for 88 yds; Quinten Joyner 10 for 63 yds, 1 TD
Receiving Terrance Carter 8 for 67 yds, 1 TD; J'Koby Williams 3 for 26 yds

Colorado leaders

Passing Isaac Wilson 26 of 44, 290 yds, 1 TD, 3 INT
Rushing Isaac Wilson 17 for 42 yds; Damian Henderson II 3 for 19 yds
Receiving Joseph Williams 10 for 93 yds, 1 TD; DeAndre Moore Jr. 3 for 42 yds

No rain through the game

79° at kickoff · no rain recorded

The usual here around this date is 63°, with about 7 in 10 games between 49° and 74°.

October game-day temperatures at Folsom Field

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:31 left5:36 p.m.

Texas Tech 0, Colorado 0 · Colorado 24% to win

no rain · 79°

Sweetwyne 7-yd pass to Wilson

Where this weather comes from

Measured at Boulder airport, 3.0 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last 4 games

Texas Tech · 4-0

Rated 7th in our preseason ratings, 9th now.

4 straight wins, one over ranked or top-40 competition.

W 49-14 vs Sam Houston #131 of 668

won by 35 as a 34.5-point favorite

W 28-26 vs HoustonTop 25 #12 of 668

won by 2 as a 7.5-point favorite

W 35-24 @ Oregon State #60 of 668

won by 11 as a 25.5-point favorite

W 33-10 vs Abilene Christian #108 of 668

won by 23 as a 45.5-point favorite

Last 4 games

Colorado · 2-2

Rated 163rd in our preseason ratings, 119th now, up 44 spots.

2-2 in its last 4, including a 1-point win over Georgia Tech as a 6.5-point underdog.

L 13-23 @ Baylor #37 of 668

lost by 10 as an 8.5-point underdog

L 7-41 @ NorthwesternTop 25 #15 of 668

lost by 34 as a 3.5-point underdog

W 52-21 vs Weber State #227 of 668

won by 31 as a 38.5-point favorite

W 14-13 @ Georgia Tech #78 of 668

won by 1 as a 6.5-point underdog

Week by week

Colorado

Wk 1Wat Georgia Tech14-13
Wk 2Wvs Weber State52-21
Wk 3Lat Northwestern7-41
Wk 4Lat Baylor13-23

Texas Tech

Wk 1Wvs Abilene Christian33-10
Wk 2Wat Oregon State35-24
Wk 3Wvs Houston28-26
Wk 4Wvs Sam Houston49-14

Power rating by week

Texas Tech is rated 13.9 points ahead as of week 4. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Colorado’s rushing EPA against Texas Tech, 80 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Colorado’s EPA/play against Texas Tech’s defense
Colorado offense, 12th percentile · Texas Tech defense, 89th
Colorado’s rushing EPA against Texas Tech’s defense
Colorado offense, 6th percentile · Texas Tech defense, 86th
Texas Tech’s explosive plays against Colorado’s defense
Texas Tech offense, 18th percentile · Colorado defense, 58th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Texas TechColorado

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Colorado leads the series 6-5

11 meetings since 1962 · Colorado won the last meeting

2024Colorado 41-27
2010Texas Tech 27-24
2007Colorado 31-26
2006Colorado 30-6
2003Texas Tech 26-21

Each line is Colorado’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Texas Tech fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (26th among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

Texas Tech favored by 13.5 · Total 50.5

How games like this usually go

Texas Tech by 13.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Colorado.

The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Mild and dry. Feels like 70° at kickoff.

Texas Tech at Colorado · Saturday, Oct. 3, 2026 · Folsom Field, Boulder

70°feels like at kickoff
Dryno rain at kickoff
100weather score, Ideal
Bestof the day's 4 kickoff times

At kickoff, Oct. 3, 2026.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 4 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the best of the day's four kickoff times. At Folsom Field that day, a 2 pm kickoff would have scored 77, against 100 at 5:30 pm.

10 am: 90, Comfortable
2 pm: 77, Mixed
4 pm: 93, Comfortable
5:30 pm: 100, Ideal (this game)

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

At kickoff, Oct. 3, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.

Home field

Colorado is worth +6.1 points (±4.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 83rd percentile.

46% at home, 26% on the road against FBS opponents (21-25 home, 11-31 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.1 at home vs. away over 91 games — inside the ±6.2 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

5,361 ft of altitude — real, and smaller than the folklore: high venues run a point or two better against the number, noisily. The visitors travel about 481 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Colorado11th0-1
Texas Tech6th1-0

Full Big 12 standings

No. 12 Texas Tech beats Colorado 29-7

How it swung

Watch the plays

Every drive

From Colorado’s side

How fans reacted

Two crowds, one game

What it cost

Box score

Texas Tech leaders

Colorado leaders

No rain through the game

Before kickoff

Recent games

Week by week

Colorado

Texas Tech

Power rating by week

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Colorado’s rushing EPA against Texas Tech, 80 points

Season profile

The series

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Texas Tech by 13.5, and it went to form

The market

Weather at kickoff

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Where next

Conference standings