Weber State at Colorado

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Weber State
1-1 L2 · Cooling
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Colorado
1-0 W2 · Cooling
Sat, Sep 12 · 7:30 PM · Folsom Field

Fan take

How they got here

Last two games

Weber State · 1-1

Picked #238 in the preseason · now #240.

1-1 in its last two, capped by a 1-point win over Northern Colorado as a 3-point underdog.

L 42–47 @ Southern Utah #149 of 669

lost by 5 as a 14.5-point underdog

W 30–29 @ Northern Colorado #254 of 669

won by 1 as a 3-point underdog

Last three games · 2025 season

Colorado · 3-9

Picked #168 in the preseason · now #126 — better than expected.

Three straight losses.

L 14–24 @ Kansas StateTop 25 #30 of 668

lost by 10 as a 16.5-point underdog

L 17–42 vs Arizona StateTop 25 #33 of 668

lost by 25 as a 6.5-point underdog

L 22–29 @ West Virginia #107 of 668

lost by 7 as a 6.5-point underdog

L 17–52 vs ArizonaTop 25 #53 of 668

lost by 35 as a 3.5-point underdog

L 7–53 @ UtahTop 25 #10 of 668

lost by 46 as a 14-point underdog

W 24–17 vs Iowa StateTop 25 #46 of 668

won by 7 as a 2.5-point underdog

L 21–35 @ TCUTop 25 #34 of 668

lost by 14 as a 14.5-point underdog

L 21–24 vs BYUTop 25 #22 of 668

lost by 3 as a 6.5-point underdog

W 37–20 vs Wyoming #101 of 668

won by 17 as a 12.5-point favorite

L 20–36 @ HoustonTop 25 #43 of 668

lost by 16 as a 4-point underdog

W 31–7 vs Delaware #120 of 668

won by 24 as a 23.5-point favorite

L 20–27 vs Georgia TechTop 25 #49 of 668

lost by 7 as a 3.5-point underdog

What’s at stake

Weber State

  • Weber State is 1 game back in Big Sky with 8 left to make it up.
  • Weber State is still shaking off a 31-point loss.

Colorado

  • A win puts Colorado a step closer to a 2% shot at the CFP field.
  • Colorado is coming off a 31-point win.

The series

Colorado leads the series 1-0

1 meeting since 2026 · Colorado won the last meeting

  • 2026Colorado 52–21

Best players

Colorado

The line, and the room

The model and the market don’t fully agree on Colorado’s chances here.

evenModel · 77%Market · 100%Weber StateColorado

Home −38.5 · O/U 57.5

Conditions

76°F · 7 mph wind · Cloudy

Colorado is worth +6.2 points (±4.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 83rd percentile.

48% at home, 28% on the road against FBS opponents (21–23 home, 11–29 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.5 at home vs. away over 71 games — inside the ±7.0 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

5,361 ft of altitude — real, and smaller than the folklore: high venues run a point or two better against the number, noisily. The visitors travel about 359 miles to get here.

Weber State 21 – Colorado 52

Colorado 52: 71%Weber State 21: 29%

Called it — picked Colorado to win.

Recent games

Colorado

  • Wk 1Wat Georgia Tech14-13

Weber State

  • Wk 1Wat Northern Colorado30-29
  • Wk 1Lat Southern Utah42-47

Trajectory

-4.37-8.14-11.91Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2Weber StateColorado

Colorado beat Weber State 52-21 — exactly what the pregame pick had.