Purdue 41-13 Minnesota (Oct 10, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Minnesota · Purdue

Minnesota4-213

Purdue3-341Final

Sat, Oct 10 · Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, Ind. · Crowd 48,559BTN

Purdue routed Minnesota 41-13.

We had Minnesota favored. Purdue won.

Next: Minnesota vs Iowa, Sat Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET · Minnesota underdog by 6.5

Next: Purdue lost to Washington 38-26, Fri Oct 16

Top comment in the game thread

We lose a challenge because they got the spot wrong. Makes sense

Q2 11:24 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 10

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Purdue a 31% chance, and the closing betting line (Purdue was a 2.5-point underdog) put it at 42%.

FinalPurdue 41-13 MinnesotaPurdue wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

The two plays that swung it

1Q1 2:26Browne 15-yd TD pass to Burhenn, Purdue leads 10-0Purdue 67% → 80% (+13)
2Q2 1:55Ijeboi 3-yd TD run, Purdue leads 20-3Purdue 84% → 96% (+12)

The two plays that swung it

1Q1 2:26Browne 15-yd TD pass to Burhenn, Purdue leads 10-0Minnesota 33% → 20% (−13)
2Q2 1:55Ijeboi 3-yd TD run, Purdue leads 20-3Minnesota 16% → 4% (−12)

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q2 11:24Fans criticize refs for losing challenge despite wrong spot on Purdue penaltyQuoted at the top of the page.big 10 refs saved their worst refs for lastr/CFB game thread
Q2 0:50Purdue intercepts Lindsey as Minnesota wastes clock in first halfIf you're gonna throw an interception on 4th down, throw it farther down field.r/CFB game thread
Q3 9:33Ijeboi runs for a touchdown as Purdue extends lead to 27-3This game is personal for Ijeboir/CFB game thread

Purdue’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Minnesota -2.5), at 54% for Purdue (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Purdue or Minnesota flair (550 and 449); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Purdue’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Purdue scored on 7 of its 12 drives; Minnesota on 3 of its 11.

Purdue’s drives are teal, Minnesota’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

From Minnesota’s side

Minnesota’s best moment: Lindsey 28-yd pass to Smith (Q1 12:23). It lifted Minnesota’s win chance by 10 points.

How Minnesota fans took it: “This is on me. We went 0-1 in the Purdue championship season. We need to change are best with a nekton mentality. Blah blah fart noises” r/CFB game thread

“Is Purdue... a bowl quality team this year?”

A Purdue fan

How fans reacted

Quiet

The loudest stretch came in the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was quiet; the crowd was steady.

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Purdue fans

ijeboi“Literally just hand the rock to Ijeboi every play at this point and let him go for like 250.”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: now, challenge, don, back.

What it cost

Minnesota’s chance to make the playoff fell from 2% to 1%.

Make the playoff

Minnesota · lost2% → ▼1%

Purdue · won0% → 0%

Win the conference

Minnesota · lost1% → ▼0%

Purdue · won0% → 0%

Before the game (October 9, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Minnesota plays vs Iowa on Sat Oct 24 with a 1% chance to make the playoff.

Box score

Purdue 41, Minnesota 13

Purdue covered +2.5 by 30.5. The total, 54, went over 48.5.

Team totals	Minnesota	Purdue
Total yards	275	464
Passing	22 of 39, 248 yds	14 of 24, 159 yds
Rushing	13 for 27 yds	47 for 305 yds
First downs	10	27
Third down	4 of 13	5 of 12
Fourth down	0 of 2	1 of 2
Turnovers	2	0
Penalties	7 for 77 yds	5 for 38 yds
Time of possession	22:53	37:07

Minnesota leaders

Passing Drake Lindsey 22 of 39, 248 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
Rushing Darius Taylor 7 for 15 yds; TJ Thomas Jr. 6 for 12 yds
Receiving Jalen Smith 3 for 89 yds, 1 TD; Javon Tracy 5 for 75 yds

Purdue leaders

Passing Ryan Browne 14 of 24, 159 yds, 1 TD
Rushing Fame Ijeboi 31 for 195 yds, 3 TD; Ryan Browne 7 for 81 yds, 1 TD
Receiving De'Nylon Morrissette 2 for 51 yds; Tra'Mar Harris 2 for 34 yds

No rain and calm

66° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 7 mph from the east, gusts to 13

October game-day temperatures at Ross-Ade Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:44 left8:02 p.m.

Minnesota 0, Purdue 0 · Purdue 54% to win

no rain · wind 5 mph from the east-southeast · 66°

Ijeboi 5-yd run

Where this weather comes from

Measured at Lafayette airport, 1.6 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Minnesota · 4-1

Rated 29th in our preseason ratings, 44th now, down 15 spots.

Three straight wins, capped by a 6-point win over Michigan as a 6.5-point underdog.

W 20-14 vs MichiganTop 25 #24 of 668

won by 6 as a 6.5-point underdog

W 27-24 @ WashingtonTop 25 #29 of 668

won by 3 as a 12.5-point underdog

W 41-7 vs Akron #67 of 668

won by 34 as a 22.5-point favorite

L 13-38 vs Mississippi StateTop 25 #106 of 668

lost by 25 as a 1.5-point underdog

W 59-7 vs Eastern Illinois #200 of 668

won by 52 as a 42.5-point favorite

Last three games

Purdue · 2-3

Rated 119th in our preseason ratings, 106th now, up 13 spots.

1-2 in its last three, capped by a 7-point win over Illinois as a 9.5-point underdog.

W 24-17 @ Illinois #68 of 668

won by 7 as a 9.5-point underdog

L 10-49 vs Notre DameTop 25 #3 of 668

lost by 39 as a 27.5-point underdog

L 38-52 @ UCLATop 25 #48 of 668

lost by 14 as a 13.5-point underdog

L 36-38 vs Wake ForestTop 25 #80 of 668

lost by 2 as a 2.5-point underdog

W 44-19 vs Indiana State #226 of 668

won by 25 as a 35.5-point favorite

Week by week

Purdue

Wk 1Wvs Indiana State44-19
Wk 2Lvs Wake Forest36-38
Wk 3Lat UCLA38-52
Wk 4Lvs Notre Dame10-49
Wk 5Wat Illinois24-17

Minnesota

Wk 1Wvs Eastern Illinois59-7
Wk 2Lvs Mississippi State13-38
Wk 3Wvs Akron41-7
Wk 4Wat Washington27-24
Wk 5Wvs Michigan20-14

Power rating by week

Minnesota is rated 6.3 points ahead as of week 5. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Minnesota’s passing EPA against Purdue, 37 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Minnesota’s passing EPA against Purdue’s defense
Minnesota offense, 39th percentile · Purdue defense, 2nd
Minnesota’s explosive plays against Purdue’s defense
Minnesota offense, 26th percentile · Purdue defense, 1st
Minnesota’s success rate against Purdue’s defense
Minnesota offense, 43rd percentile · Purdue defense, 14th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

MinnesotaPurdue

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Minnesota leads the series 42-35-3

80 meetings since 1894 · Minnesota won the last meeting

2025Minnesota 27-20
2023Purdue 49-30
2022Purdue 20-10
2021Minnesota 20-13
2020Minnesota 34-31

Each line is Purdue’s chance to win through that meeting. Purdue is 1-3 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Minnesota fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (74th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

Minnesota favored by 2.5 · Total 48.5

How games like this usually go

Minnesota by 2.5, on the usual path until Q1 14:44

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 252 games since 2025 with a favorite of under 3.5 points.

The market

The total fell 2 points.

The books’ cut: 4.1%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Purdue is worth +1.5 points (±4.3) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom tenth of FBS, 9th percentile.

37% at home, 34% on the road against FBS opponents (19-32 home, 14-27 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -1.6 at home vs. away over 96 games — inside the ±6.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 448 miles to get here.

The story going in

Purdue ends Big Ten losing streakOct 5, 2026

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Purdue9th1-1
Minnesota5th2-0

Full Big Ten standings

Purdue routs Minnesota 41-13