Wofford beats Furman 32-25

Team pages: Wofford · Furman

Wofford3-332
Furman2-425Final
Sat, Oct 3 · Paladin Stadium, Greenville, S.C. · Crowd 9,957ESPN+

Wofford beat Furman 32-25.

Next: Wofford beat Elon 16-0, Sat Oct 10

Next: Furman lost to Tennessee Tech 20-15, Sat Oct 10

How it swung

The turning point: Drumm 70-yd TD pass to Scott, Wofford goes ahead 8-0 (Q1, 15:00). Wofford went from 31% to 86% to win.

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Wofford a 34% chance, and the closing betting line (Wofford was a 4-point underdog) put it at 37%.

The edge changed hands 5 times before Wofford won it.

Up to 73% in the first quarter, then Furman lost it.

FinalWofford 32-25 FurmanWofford wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%25%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q485% at halfWoffordFurmanLowest 27%High 95%Won32-25123+55−55+30Scores
50%25%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q485% at halfWoffordFurmanLowest 27%High 95%Won32-25Scores
50%10%25%75%Q1Q2Q3Q415% at halfFurmanWoffordLowest 5%High 73%Lost25-32123−55+55−30Scores
50%10%25%75%Q1Q2Q3Q415% at halfFurmanWoffordLowest 5%High 73%Lost25-32Scores

The three plays that swung it

  1. 1Q1 15:00Drumm 70-yd TD pass to Scott, Wofford goes ahead 8-0Wofford 31% → 86% (+55)
  2. 2Q1 14:14Drumm 6-yd TD pass to Aikens, Wofford leads 15-0Wofford 83% → 28% (−55)
  3. 3Q1 9:1933-yd puntWofford 23% → 53% (+30)

The three plays that swung it

  1. 1Q1 15:00Drumm 70-yd TD pass to Scott, Wofford goes ahead 8-0Furman 69% → 14% (−55)
  2. 2Q1 14:14Drumm 6-yd TD pass to Aikens, Wofford leads 15-0Furman 17% → 72% (+55)
  3. 3Q1 9:1933-yd puntFurman 77% → 47% (−30)
Wofford’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Furman -4), at 31% for Wofford (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Wofford scored on 5 of its 14 drives; Furman on 3 of its 10.

Wofford’s drives are teal, Furman’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Wofford: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownWofford: Touchdown, from 65 yards out to 0TouchdownWofford: Punt, from 65 yards out to 71PuntFurman: Punt, from 73 yards out to 59PuntWofford: Interception returned for a touchdown, from 92 yards out to 88Interception TDWofford: Touchdown, from 87 yards out to 0TouchdownFurman: Punt, from 76 yards out to 48PuntWofford: Touchdown, from 99 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Furman: Punt, from 85 yards out to 66PuntWofford: Punt, from 76 yards out to 73PuntFurman: Touchdown, from 53 yards out to 0TouchdownWofford: Punt, from 75 yards out to 61PuntFurman: Turned over on downs, from 85 yards out to 36DownsWofford: End of half, from 64 yards out to 63End of halfQ3Furman: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 11Field goalWofford: Punt, from 75 yards out to 55PuntFurman: Fumble, from 85 yards out to 79FumbleWofford: Field goal, from 21 yards out to 4Field goalFurman: Punt, from 61 yards out to 48PuntQ4Wofford: Punt, from 85 yards out to 51PuntFurman: Touchdown, from 91 yards out to 0TouchdownWofford: Punt, from 79 yards out to 71PuntFurman: Turned over on downs, from 66 yards out to 23DownsWofford: End of game, from 77 yards out to 69End of game

From Furman’s side

Furman’s best moment: Drumm 6-yd TD pass to Aikens, Wofford leads 15-0 (Q1 14:14). It lifted Furman’s win chance by 55 points.

Box score

Wofford 32, Furman 25

Wofford covered +4 by 11. The total, 57, went over 44.5.

Wofford leaders

  • Passing Ethan Drumm 14 of 21, 304 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Gerald Modest 24 for 83 yds; Davis Penn 5 for 16 yds
  • Receiving Isaiah Scott 7 for 193 yds, 2 TD; Ivory Aikens 2 for 77 yds, 2 TD

Furman leaders

  • Passing Connor Ackerley 27 of 43, 264 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Ben Croasdale 21 for 93 yds; Connor Ackerley 4 for 16 yds
  • Receiving Ethan Harris 7 for 81 yds, 1 TD; Luke Shields 7 for 80 yds

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Wofford · 2-3

Rated 196th in our preseason ratings, 205th now.

Three straight losses.

L 38-42 vs Tennessee Tech #120 of 668

lost by 4 as a 14.5-point underdog

Wofford lost 38-42 vs Tennessee Tech. Chance to win started at 23%, low 4%, high 86%.

L 7-41 @ Chattanooga #173 of 668

lost by 34 as a 1.5-point underdog

Wofford lost 7-41 at Chattanooga. Chance to win started at 38%, low under 1%, high 48%.

L 15-36 @ Kent State #132 of 668

lost by 21 as a 10-point underdog

Wofford lost 15-36 at Kent State. Chance to win started at 17%, low under 1%, high 49%.

W 17-13 vs Gardner-Webb #204 of 668

won by 4 as an 8.5-point favorite

Wofford won 17-13 vs Gardner-Webb. Chance to win started at 88%, low 73%, high 96%.

W 42-14 vs The Citadel #210 of 668

won by 28 as a 7.5-point favorite

Wofford won 42-14 vs The Citadel. Chance to win started at 80%, low 71%, high better than 99%.

Last three games

Furman · 2-3

Rated 202nd in our preseason ratings, 181st now, up 21 spots.

1-2 in its last three, including a 7-point win over Mercer as a 15.5-point underdog.

L 9-13 @ Richmond #203 of 668

lost by 4 as a 3.5-point underdog

Furman lost 9-13 at Richmond. Chance to win started at 33%, low under 1%, high 39%.

L 17-20 vs South Carolina State #118 of 668

lost by 3 as a 4.5-point underdog

Furman lost 17-20 vs South Carolina State. Chance to win started at 32%, low 3%, high 39%.

W 20-13 @ Mercer #163 of 668

won by 7 as a 15.5-point underdog

Furman won 20-13 at Mercer. Chance to win started at 12%, low 8%, high better than 99%.

L 9-56 @ TennesseeTop 25 #32 of 668

lost by 47 as a 49.5-point underdog

Furman lost 9-56 at Tennessee. Never had a real chance.

W 20-3 vs Anderson (SC) #372 of 668

Furman won 20-3 vs Anderson (SC). Chance to win started at 67%, low 42%, high better than 99%.

Week by week

Furman

Wk 1: W 20-3 vs Anderson (SC)▲17Anderson…Wk 1: L 9-56 at Tennessee▼47TennesseeWk 2: W 20-13 at Mercer▲7MercerWk 3: L 17-20 vs South Carolina State▼3S. Carol…Wk 4: L 9-13 at Richmond▼4Richmond
  • Wk 1Wvs Anderson (SC)20-3
  • Wk 1Lat Tennessee9-56
  • Wk 2Wat Mercer20-13
  • Wk 3Lvs South Carolina State17-20
  • Wk 4Lat Richmond9-13

Wofford

Wk 1: W 42-14 vs The Citadel▲28The Cita…Wk 1: W 17-13 vs Gardner-Webb▲4Gardner-…Wk 2: L 15-36 at Kent State▼21Kent St.Wk 3: L 7-41 at Chattanooga▼34Chattano…Wk 4: L 38-42 vs Tennessee Tech▼4Tennesse…
  • Wk 1Wvs The Citadel42-14
  • Wk 1Wvs Gardner-Webb17-13
  • Wk 2Lat Kent State15-36
  • Wk 3Lat Chattanooga7-41
  • Wk 4Lvs Tennessee Tech38-42

Power rating by week

Furman is rated 1.0 points ahead as of week 4. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-7.4-8.5-9.6Wk 0Wk 2Wk 4FurmanWofford

The series

Furman leads the series 40-30-5

75 meetings since 1914 · Wofford has won the last 3

Furman wonWofford won1914: Furman by 71915: Furman by 251916: Wofford by 21917: Furman by 151918: Furman by 71919: Furman by 11920: Furman by 691921: Furman by 621922: Furman by 411928: Furman by 261933: Furman by 381934: Furman by 131935: Furman by 291936: Furman by 311937: Furman by 581941: Furman by 211946: Furman by 311947: Furman by 141948: tie1950: tie1951: Wofford by 21952: Furman by 81953: Furman by 11954: Wofford by 191955: Wofford by 211956: Wofford by 121957: Wofford by 11958: Furman by 11959: Wofford by 31960: Furman by 151961: Furman by 51962: Furman by 131963: Furman by 21964: Wofford by 71965: Wofford by 221966: tie1967: Furman by 11968: Wofford by 141968: Wofford by 61969: Wofford by 101969: Wofford by 421970: Wofford by 151971: Wofford by 271972: Furman by 171973: Furman by 21974: Furman by 111975: tie1976: Furman by 421977: Wofford by 61978: Furman by 241979: Wofford by 101980: tie2003: Wofford by 12004: Furman by 72005: Furman by 132006: Furman by 142007: Wofford by 252008: Wofford by 252009: Furman by 372010: Wofford by 212011: Furman by 52012: Wofford by 32013: Furman by 132014: Furman by 172015: Wofford by 102016: Wofford by 72017: Wofford by 12017: Wofford by 182018: Furman by 202019: Wofford by 172021: Furman by 222022: Furman by 352023: Wofford by 62024: Wofford by 62025: Wofford by 1819142025
  • 2025Wofford 31-13
  • 2024Wofford 19-13
  • 2023Wofford 19-13
  • 2022Furman 63-28
  • 2021Furman 42-20

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line agree on Furman’s chances here.

50-50Model 66% · Line 63%WoffordFurman

Furman favored by 4 · Total 44.5

How games like this usually go

Furman by 4, on the usual path until Q1 9:19

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 377 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 0.5 points toward Wofford.

opened −4.5now −4

Spread: −4.5 → −4

The books’ cut: 5.4%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Home-field advantage: Bottom third of FBS.

0% at home, 10% on the road against FBS opponents (0-0 home, 1-9 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.4 at home vs. away over 57 games — inside the ±7.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 29 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.