Tennessee Tech beats Furman 20-15

Team pages: Furman · Tennessee Tech

Furman2-515
Tennessee Tech5-120Final
Sat, Oct 10 · Tucker Stadium, Cookeville, Tenn.ESPN+

Tennessee Tech beat Furman 20-15.

We had Tennessee Tech favored. It won.

Next: Furman vs Samford, Sat Oct 24 · 2:00 PM ET

Next: Tennessee Tech beat Eastern Kentucky 49-20, Sat Oct 17

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Tennessee Tech an 85% chance, and the closing betting line (Tennessee Tech was a 13.5-point favorite) put it at 86%.

Favored the whole way: Tennessee Tech never fell below 82%.

Furman never had better than an 18% chance.

FinalTennessee Tech 20-15 FurmanTennessee Tech wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q496% at halfTennessee TechWon20-15Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q496% at halfTennessee TechWon20-15Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q44% at halfTennessee TechLost15-20Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q44% at halfTennessee TechLost15-20Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Tennessee Tech’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Tennessee Tech -13.5), at 87% for Tennessee Tech (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Tennessee Tech scored on 4 of its 11 drives; Furman on 3 of its 11.

Tennessee Tech’s drives are teal, Furman’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Furman: Punt, from 75 yards out to 56PuntTennessee Tech: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownFurman: Punt, from 75 yards out to 58PuntTennessee Tech: Fumble, from 62 yards out to 19FumbleQ2Furman: Field goal, from 81 yards out to 14Field goalTennessee Tech: Punt, from 75 yards out to 62PuntFurman: Punt, from 79 yards out to 71PuntTennessee Tech: Touchdown, from 85 yards out to 0TouchdownFurman: End of half, from 75 yards out to 60End of halfQ3Tennessee Tech: Punt, from 75 yards out to 75PuntFurman: Punt, from 57 yards out to 72PuntTennessee Tech: Punt, from 68 yards out to 60PuntFurman: Field goal, from 84 yards out to 35Field goalTennessee Tech: Punt, from 80 yards out to 72PuntFurman: Turned over on downs, from 58 yards out to 49DownsTennessee Tech: Field goal, from 51 yards out to 34Field goalQ4Furman: Punt, from 75 yards out to 45PuntTennessee Tech: Punt, from 88 yards out to 94PuntFurman: Touchdown, from 51 yards out to 0TouchdownTennessee Tech: Field goal, from 73 yards out to 34Field goalFurman: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 36DownsTennessee Tech: End of game, from 64 yards out to 66End of game

Box score

Tennessee Tech 20, Furman 15

Furman covered +13.5 by 8.5. The total, 35, stayed under 44.5.

Furman leaders

  • Passing Connor Ackerley 24 of 39, 222 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Ben Croasdale 15 for 33 yds; Connor Ackerley 10 for 14 yds
  • Receiving Luke Shields 7 for 87 yds, 1 TD; Daniel Haughton 7 for 54 yds

Tennessee Tech leaders

  • Passing Jax Leatherwood 24 of 36, 212 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing MJ Flowers 15 for 70 yds, 1 TD; Tre' Holloway 1 for 5 yds
  • Receiving Gabe Nunez 5 for 60 yds; Eric Weatherly 2 for 54 yds

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Furman · 2-4

Rated 202nd in our preseason ratings, 189th now, up 13 spots.

Three straight losses.

L 25-32 vs Wofford #199 of 668

lost by 7 as a 4-point favorite

Furman lost 25-32 vs Wofford. Chance to win started at 69%, low 5%, high 73%.

L 9-13 @ Richmond #203 of 668

lost by 4 as a 3.5-point underdog

Furman lost 9-13 at Richmond. Chance to win started at 33%, low under 1%, high 39%.

L 17-20 vs South Carolina State #118 of 668

lost by 3 as a 4.5-point underdog

Furman lost 17-20 vs South Carolina State. Chance to win started at 32%, low 3%, high 39%.

Last three games

Tennessee Tech · 4-1

Rated 115th in our preseason ratings, 126th now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 20-44 @ Western Carolina #173 of 668

lost by 24 as a 13.5-point favorite

Tennessee Tech lost 20-44 at Western Carolina. Chance to win started at 76%, low under 1%, high 79%.

W 42-38 @ Wofford #205 of 668

won by 4 as a 14.5-point favorite

Tennessee Tech won 42-38 at Wofford. Chance to win started at 77%, low 14%, high 96%.

W 45-19 vs Samford #237 of 668

won by 26 as a 26.5-point favorite

Tennessee Tech won 45-19 vs Samford. Chance to win started at 97%, low 97%, high better than 99%.

W 24-9 @ Chattanooga #171 of 668

won by 15 as a 10.5-point favorite

W 38-14 vs Monmouth #168 of 668

won by 24 as an 8.5-point favorite

Tennessee Tech won 38-14 vs Monmouth. Chance to win started at 82%, low 64%, high better than 99%.

Week by week

Tennessee Tech

Wk 1: W 38-14 vs Monmouth▲24MonmouthWk 1: W 24-9 at Chattanooga▲15Chattano…Wk 2: W 45-19 vs Samford▲26SamfordWk 4: W 42-38 at Wofford▲4WoffordWk 5: L 20-44 at Western Carolina▼24W. Carol…
  • Wk 1Wvs Monmouth38-14
  • Wk 1Wat Chattanooga24-9
  • Wk 2Wvs Samford45-19
  • Wk 4Wat Wofford42-38
  • Wk 5Lat Western Carolina20-44

Furman

Wk 1: L 9-56 at Tennessee▼47TennesseeWk 2: W 20-13 at Mercer▲7MercerWk 3: L 17-20 vs South Carolina State▼3S. Carol…Wk 4: L 9-13 at Richmond▼4RichmondWk 5: L 25-32 vs Wofford▼7Wofford
  • Wk 1Lat Tennessee9-56
  • Wk 2Wat Mercer20-13
  • Wk 3Lvs South Carolina State17-20
  • Wk 4Lat Richmond9-13
  • Wk 5Lvs Wofford25-32

Power rating by week

Tennessee Tech is rated 4.3 points ahead as of week 5. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-3-6-10Wk 0Wk 3Wk 5Tennessee TechFurman

The series

Furman leads the series 3-1

4 meetings since 1975 · Furman has won the last 3

  • 2023Furman 45-10
  • 2021Furman 26-0
  • 1976Furman 17-7
  • 1975Tennessee Tech 17-5

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line agree on Tennessee Tech’s chances here.

50-50Model 85% · Line 86%FurmanTennessee Tech

Tennessee Tech favored by 13.5 · Total 44.5

How games like this usually go

Tennessee Tech by 13.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The total fell 1 point.

opened 45.5now 44.5

Total: 45.5 → 44.5

The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Tennessee Tech is worth +14.6 points (±14.2) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile.

67% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (2-1 home, 0-10 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.1 at home vs. away over 48 games — inside the ±9.9 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 193 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.