Georgetown beats Bucknell 21-14

Team pages: Bucknell · Georgetown

Bucknell1-514
Georgetown1-421Final
Sat, Oct 10 · Cooper Field, Washington, D.C. · Crowd 1,268ESPN+

Georgetown beat Bucknell 21-14.

We had Georgetown favored. It won.

Next: Bucknell lost to Lafayette 20-7, Sat Oct 17

Next: Georgetown beat Colgate 27-17, Sat Oct 17

How it swung

The turning point: Beard intercepted by Corna at the Bucknell 36, returned 24 yards (Q2, 12:41). Georgetown went from 74% to 52% to win.

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Georgetown a 55% chance, and the closing betting line (Georgetown was a 2.5-point favorite) put it at 58%.

The edge changed hands 6 times before Georgetown won it.

The edge changed hands 6 times and Bucknell came out on the wrong end.

FinalGeorgetown 21-14 BucknellGeorgetown wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q460% at halfGeorgetownWon21-1412−22+19Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q460% at halfGeorgetownWon21-1412Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q440% at halfGeorgetownLost14-2112+22−19Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q440% at halfGeorgetownLost14-2112Scores

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q2 12:41InterceptionBeard intercepted by Corna at the Bucknell 36, returned 24 yardsGeorgetown 74% → 52% (−22)
  2. 2Q4 1:36InterceptionDowling intercepted by Cadet at the GTWN31Georgetown 79% → 98% (+19)

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q2 12:41InterceptionBeard intercepted by Corna at the Bucknell 36, returned 24 yardsBucknell 26% → 48% (+22)
  2. 2Q4 1:36InterceptionDowling intercepted by Cadet at the GTWN31Bucknell 21% → 2% (−19)
Georgetown’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Georgetown -2.5), at 70% for Georgetown (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Georgetown scored on 3 of its 11 drives; Bucknell on 2 of its 10.

Georgetown’s drives are teal, Bucknell’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Georgetown: Turned over on downs, from 70 yards out to 21DownsBucknell: Touchdown, from 79 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgetown: Touchdown, from 78 yards out to 0TouchdownBucknell: Punt, from 78 yards out to 71PuntGeorgetown: Interception, from 77 yards out to 45InterceptionQ2Bucknell: Touchdown, from 40 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgetown: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownBucknell: Interception, from 75 yards out to 6InterceptionGeorgetown: End of half, from 99 yards out to 98End of halfQ3Bucknell: Punt, from 65 yards out to 55PuntGeorgetown: Punt, from 92 yards out to 70PuntBucknell: Punt, from 75 yards out to 83PuntGeorgetown: Punt, from 49 yards out to 50PuntBucknell: Punt, from 80 yards out to 76PuntGeorgetown: Touchdown, from 62 yards out to 0TouchdownBucknell: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 30FumbleQ4Georgetown: Missed field goal, from 85 yards out to 10Missed FGBucknell: Punt, from 80 yards out to 86PuntGeorgetown: Punt, from 52 yards out to 44PuntBucknell: Interception, from 80 yards out to 58InterceptionGeorgetown: End of game, from 65 yards out to 59End of game

From Bucknell’s side

Bucknell’s best moment: Beard intercepted by Corna at the Bucknell 36, returned 24 yards (Q2 12:41). It lifted Bucknell’s win chance by 22 points.

Box score

Georgetown 21, Bucknell 14

Georgetown covered −2.5 by 4.5. The total, 35, stayed under 44.5.

Bucknell leaders

  • Passing Emmett Dowling 17 of 22, 173 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
  • Rushing Michael Cadden 11 for 59 yds, 1 TD; Jack Sullivan 7 for 16 yds
  • Receiving TJ Cadden 5 for 77 yds; Emmett Dowling 1 for 30 yds

Georgetown leaders

  • Passing Gavin Beard 18 of 23, 158 yds, 1 INT
  • Rushing Clay Ash 20 for 135 yds, 2 TD; Jayden Sumpter 17 for 64 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Jonathan Alexander 3 for 38 yds; Hassan Mahasin 6 for 36 yds

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Bucknell · 1-4

Rated 236th in our preseason ratings, 249th now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 0-59 @ PittsburghTop 25 #42 of 668

lost by 59 as a 54.5-point underdog

Bucknell lost 0-59 at Pittsburgh. Never had a real chance.

L 7-20 vs Pennsylvania #251 of 668

lost by 13 as a 3.5-point underdog

Bucknell lost 7-20 vs Pennsylvania. Chance to win started at 48%, low 1%, high 54%.

W 14-3 @ VMI #264 of 668

won by 11 as an 8.5-point favorite

Bucknell won 14-3 at VMI. Chance to win started at 69%, low 37%, high 99%.

L 16-17 vs Villanova #146 of 668

lost by 1 as a 22.5-point underdog

Bucknell lost 16-17 vs Villanova. Chance to win started at 9%, low 1%, high 28%.

L 14-35 @ Richmond #185 of 668

lost by 21 as a 12.5-point underdog

Bucknell lost 14-35 at Richmond. Chance to win started at 14%, low under 1%, high 14%.

Last 4 games

Georgetown · 0-4

Rated 259th in our preseason ratings, 253rd now.

4 straight losses.

L 14-35 vs Cornell #221 of 668

lost by 21 as an 8.5-point underdog

Georgetown lost 14-35 vs Cornell. Chance to win started at 27%, low under 1%, high 37%.

L 17-20 vs Columbia #230 of 668

lost by 3 as a 7-point underdog

Georgetown lost 17-20 vs Columbia. Chance to win started at 37%, low under 1%, high 74%.

L 21-24 @ Richmond #198 of 668

lost by 3 as a 15.5-point underdog

Georgetown lost 21-24 at Richmond. Chance to win started at 9%, low under 1%, high 37%.

L 14-45 vs Lehigh #140 of 668

lost by 31 as a 22.5-point underdog

Georgetown lost 14-45 vs Lehigh. Chance to win started at 9%, low under 1%, high 11%.

Week by week

Georgetown

Wk 1: L 14-45 vs Lehigh▼31LehighWk 3: L 21-24 at Richmond▼3RichmondWk 4: L 17-20 vs Columbia▼3ColumbiaWk 5: L 14-35 vs Cornell▼21Cornell
  • Wk 1Lvs Lehigh14-45
  • Wk 3Lat Richmond21-24
  • Wk 4Lvs Columbia17-20
  • Wk 5Lvs Cornell14-35

Bucknell

Wk 1: L 14-35 at Richmond▼21RichmondWk 1: L 16-17 vs Villanova▼1VillanovaWk 2: W 14-3 at VMI▲11VMIWk 3: L 7-20 vs Pennsylvania▼13Pennsylv…Wk 4: L 0-59 at Pittsburgh▼59Pittsbur…
  • Wk 1Lat Richmond14-35
  • Wk 1Lvs Villanova16-17
  • Wk 2Wat VMI14-3
  • Wk 3Lvs Pennsylvania7-20
  • Wk 4Lat Pittsburgh0-59

Power rating by week

Bucknell is rated 0.6 points ahead as of week 5. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-10-11-13Wk 0Wk 3Wk 5GeorgetownBucknell

The series

Bucknell leads the series 15-14-1

30 meetings since 1904 · Georgetown has won the last 3

Georgetown wonBucknell won1904: Georgetown by 121905: Bucknell by 181916: Georgetown by 781931: Bucknell by 71932: tie1936: Georgetown by 191938: Georgetown by 131939: Georgetown by 62003: Bucknell by 292004: Bucknell by 162005: Georgetown by 32006: Bucknell by 102007: Georgetown by 32008: Bucknell by 32009: Bucknell by 82010: Bucknell by 32011: Bucknell by 172012: Georgetown by 72013: Bucknell by 102014: Bucknell by 52015: Georgetown by 82016: Bucknell by 142017: Bucknell by 122018: Georgetown by 112019: Bucknell by 32021: Georgetown by 82022: Bucknell by 32023: Georgetown by 32024: Georgetown by 12025: Georgetown by 719042025
  • 2025Georgetown 31-24
  • 2024Georgetown 21-20
  • 2023Georgetown 50-47
  • 2022Bucknell 24-21
  • 2021Georgetown 29-21

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line agree on Georgetown’s chances here.

50-50Model 55% · Line 58%BucknellGeorgetown

Georgetown favored by 2.5 · Total 44.5

How games like this usually go

Georgetown by 2.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 252 games since 2025 with a favorite of under 3.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Georgetown.

opened −1.5now −2.5

The total fell 3 points.

opened 47.5now 44.5

Spread: −1.5 → −2.5 · Total: 47.5 → 44.5

The books’ cut: 5.5%, the margin built into the odds

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.