Richmond beats Bucknell 35-14
Richmond beat Bucknell 35-14. Share this game
Next: Bucknell lost to Villanova 17-16, Sat Sep 5
Next: Richmond beat Howard 28-21, Sat Sep 5
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Richmond a 68% chance, and the closing betting line (Richmond was a 12.5-point favorite) put it at 84%.
Favored the whole way: Richmond never fell below 86%.
Bucknell never had better than a 14% chance.
Richmond 35-14 Bucknell
Richmond wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Bucknell 14-35 RichmondBucknell lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Richmond -12.5), at 86% for Richmond (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Richmond scored on 5 of its 15 drives; Bucknell on 2 of its 15.
Richmond’s drives are teal, Bucknell’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
Richmond 35, Bucknell 14
Richmond covered −12.5 by 8.5. The total, 49, went over 48.5.
Bucknell leaders
- Passing Chris Dietrich 16 of 30, 155 yds, 2 TD
- Rushing Michael Cadden 12 for 24 yds; Ty Brown-Stauffer 5 for 11 yds
- Receiving Sam Milligan 6 for 70 yds, 1 TD; Michael Cadden 4 for 57 yds, 1 TD
Richmond leaders
- Passing Ashten Snelsire 17 of 28, 199 yds, 3 TD
- Rushing Aziz Foster-Powell 15 for 108 yds, 2 TD; Jamaal Brown 8 for 44 yds
- Receiving Bryce Allen 4 for 106 yds, 2 TD; Aziz Foster-Powell 2 for 38 yds
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Bucknell · 5-7
Rated 236th in our preseason ratings.
L 19-38 @ Colgate #208 of 667
lost by 19 as a 9.5-point underdog
L 20-37 vs Holy Cross #204 of 667
lost by 17 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 37-19 @ Fordham #254 of 667
won by 18 as a 3.5-point underdog
L 24-31 vs Georgetown #228 of 667
lost by 7 as a 1.5-point favorite
L 20-30 @ Cornell #239 of 667
lost by 10 as a 4-point underdog
L 24-62 @ Lafayette #164 of 667
lost by 38 as a 10-point underdog
W 33-28 vs Richmond #165 of 667
won by 5 as a 5-point underdog
W 30-23 vs Saint Francis #256 of 667
won by 7 as an 18.5-point favorite
L 24-41 vs Lehigh #154 of 667
lost by 17 as a 14-point underdog
W 35-28 vs VMI #254 of 667
won by 7 as an 8.5-point favorite
W 34-23 @ Marist #260 of 667
won by 11 as a 12-point favorite
L 13-49 @ Air Force #123 of 667
lost by 36 as a 30.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
Richmond · 7-5
Rated 179th in our preseason ratings.
W 28-21 @ William & Mary #168 of 667
won by 7 as a 6.5-point underdog
L 28-35 vs Lafayette #168 of 667
lost by 7 as a 3.5-point underdog
W 31-24 @ Georgetown #233 of 667
won by 7 as a 5.5-point favorite
W 17-14 vs Fordham #247 of 667
won by 3 as a 13.5-point favorite
L 22-28 vs Holy Cross #211 of 667
lost by 6 as a 5.5-point favorite
W 24-19 @ Colgate #203 of 667
won by 5 as a 1.5-point underdog
L 28-33 @ Bucknell #219 of 667
lost by 5 as a 5-point favorite
W 13-12 vs Howard #176 of 667
won by 1 as a 16-point favorite
W 38-14 vs VMI #256 of 667
won by 24 as a 17-point favorite
L 6-41 @ North Carolina #60 of 667
lost by 35 as a 24.5-point underdog
W 14-10 @ Wofford #207 of 667
won by 4 as a 6.5-point favorite
L 14-21 @ Lehigh #190 of 667
The series
Richmond leads the series 2-1
3 meetings since 2006 · Bucknell won the last meeting
- 2025Bucknell 33-28
- 2007Richmond 45-14
- 2006 · neutral siteRichmond 48-21
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Richmond’s chances here.
Richmond favored by 12.5 · Total 48.5
How games like this usually go
Richmond by 12.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 2 points toward Richmond.
The total fell 1 point.
Spread: −10.5 → −12.5 · Total: 49.5 → 48.5
The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds
Home field
Richmond is worth +7.6 points (±13.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 97th percentile.
40% at home, 17% on the road against FBS opponents (2-3 home, 2-10 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.6 at home vs. away over 55 games — inside the ±8.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 236 miles to get here.