Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-59@ Texas | 4 | 40 | 10.0 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 2 | L 26-31vs UTSA | 7 | 54 | 7.7 | 1 | 13 | |
| Wk 3 | W 49-35vs North Texas | 4 | 107 | 26.8 | 2 | 43 | Season-high 107 yds |
| Total | 15 | 201 | 14.8 | 3 | 43 |
#1
Chris Dawn Jr.
Take Chris Dawn Jr. off Texas State's roster and the first thing you'd miss is 1,007 REC YDS, 900-yd club.
5′9″ · 175 lb · Dallas, TX
CFB Index 82 · #24 of 485 WRsHigh confidence
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
The numbers
201
receiving yards · 2026 · through week 3
3 games into 2026 so far -- Best game: 4 rec, 107 yds, 2 TD, vs North Texas
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
Senior wide receiver for Texas State. 2026: 3 games with a box-score line.
- Signed as a 3-star recruit to Texas State in 2023.
Chris Dawn Jr.
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-09-22
Chris Dawn Jr. is a cornerstone for Texas State — measured against the line he joined.
201REC YDS15REC3REC TD
REC YDS · 900-YD CLUB
1,007
1007 receiving yards — clears the 900-WR volume bar.
Read the story so far
AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-09-22
His career
Nobody recruited him. He earned the honors anyway.
The week the volume broke through — put up 180 yds at Marshall.Marshall · L 37-402025
20234 games
- Signed with Texas State3-star out of Mesquite Horn
202512 games
The role got bigger.
- All-Sun Beltthird
Career arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Texas State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-SUN BELT
All-Sun Belt mention (2025)
Coaching lineage · 2023–2026
1 coach2023–2026
Texas State
Played his entire career under G.J. Kinne.
Career stats
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Texas State | 15 | 201 | 13.4 | 3 | -- |
| 2025 | Texas State | 65 | 1,007 | 15.5 | 4 | -- |
| 2024 | Texas State | 37 | 418 | 11.3 | 6 | -- |
| 2023 | Texas State | 9 | 86 | 9.6 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 126 | 1,712 | 13.6 | 13 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Texas State | 1 | 2 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2025 | Texas State | 1 | -2 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Texas State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Texas State | -- | -- | 45 | 4 | -- |
| Career | 2 | 0 | 45 | 4 | -- |
Game log
Game by game
Chris Dawn Jr.'s 2026 production
Point color shows the opponent's defensive strength that week (red = weaker defense, blue = stronger) — dashed line is this player's own season average.
Signature game
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 3 · 2026
W 49–35
vs North Texas
4 rec · 107 yds · 2 TD
Edged out North Texas at home in a shootout.
With B. Jackson — 268 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT · QBR 88.6 · 30 rush yds (9 car) · T. Burgess Jr. — 214 rush yds (25 car)
Signature plays
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
- Week 3 · North Texas · 2&5 · Q1 · EPA +3.32(08:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete deep right to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at UNT00, for 39 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:43, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Bonilla kick attempt good (H: #92 T.Flintoff, LS: #51 D.Snell)
- Week 1 · Texas · 3&6 · Q2 · EPA +3.24(06:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short middle to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TXST40, for 22 yards to the TEXAS43 (#9 J.Williams), 1ST DOWN
- Week 3 · North Texas · 3&5 · Q1 · EPA +2.88(10:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short left to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at UNT03, for 12 yards to the UNT00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:53, 1ST DOWN #38 J.Bonilla kick attempt good (H: #92 T.Flintoff, LS: #51 D.Snell)
- Week 2 · UTSA · 3&3 · Q3 · EPA +2.77Chris Dawn Jr. 13 Yd pass from Brad Jackson (Dylan Cunanan PAT failed)
- Week 3 · North Texas · 1&13 · Q2 · EPA +2.33(00:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete deep left to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at UNT07, for 43 yards to the UNT04, out of bounds at UNT04, 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · UTSA · 2&8 · Q2 · EPA +1.96(11:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short left to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TXST45, for 13 yards to the TXST45 (#22 E.Newell), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Texas · 3&3 · Q3 · EPA +1.51(06:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TXST36, for 6 yards to the TXST38 (#8 K.Phillips), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Texas · 3&3 · Q1 · EPA +1.33(01:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TEXAS39, for 6 yards to the TEXAS37 (#29 G.Littleton; #28 J.Cryer), 1ST DOWN
- Week 3 · North Texas · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +1.12(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short middle to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at TXST35, for 13 yards to the TXST38 (#0 B.Jones), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · UTSA · 3&4 · Q4 · EPA +0.88(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 B.Jackson pass complete short right to #1 C.Dawn, Jr. caught at UTSA32, for 5 yards to the UTSA27 (#53 E.Osondu; #13 R.Lester), 1ST DOWN
2026 snapshot
Since week 2: +107 receiving yards, +4 catches, +2 receiving TD.
Season context · Team result + system
4 seasons under G.J. Kinne — 24-18 over that span.
2023Texas State8-5HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-leaning
2024Texas State8-5HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-leaning
2025Texas State7-6HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-heavy
2026Texas State1-2HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-heavy
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles
High confidence
Elite: rec tds (85th percentile). Concern: catch rate (16th percentile).
Real play-by-play efficiency
Box-score rates (7)
Season trend
Last seasonThis season
EPA / target
92nd → 29th percentile
Explosive rate
99th → 48th percentile
Catch rate
51st → 16th percentile
TD rate
18th → 50th percentile
Yards / catch
99th → 51st percentile
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).
Receiving profile
Receiver profile · Targets, catch rate, and throw depth
How often he's targeted, and how well it works
15 of 15 receptions matched to play-by-play
25 of 26 targets charted for true throw depth
Targets
2634% of team targetsCatch rate
58%15 of 26 targetsBehind LOS · Negative air yds
8% of targets (2)
50%catch rate
Air -2.0 · YAC 8.0 avg
Short · 0–9 air yds
56% of targets (14)
64%catch rate
Air 3.7 · YAC 5.0 avg
Middle · 10–19 air yds
12% of targets (3)
67%catch rate
Air 12.3 · YAC 1.5 avg
Deep · 20+ air yds
24% of targets (6)
33%catch rate
Air 34.8 · YAC 1.5 avg
58% catch rate on 26 targets · 34% of the team's targets · 33% catch rate on 6 deep targets (20+ air yds).
Splits & context
Splits · Per-game
2026 season · 3 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 5.5 | 80.5 | 17.2 | 1.5 |
| Road1g | 4.0 | 40.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 5.0 | 67.0 | 14.8 | 1.0 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
G.J. Kinne
Pass share
36.8%
81 pass / 139 run
Plays / game
73.3
3 games
Team sack rate
2.7%
73 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Awards
Player standing · 2026
Backup
On the two-deep and pushing for snaps.
Recognition
Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
2026 outlook
In the mix for All-Pac-12
Based on 2025: #3 of 51 Sun Belt WRs — his program moves to the Pac-12 for 2026
How the All-Pac-12 estimate is computed
49% estimated, 95% confidence interval 43–54%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player. The base rate was measured on players who stayed in the same conference; this estimate is not adjusted for the move to the Pac-12.
How he plays
Play style
Moves the chains on third down.
CFB Index positional classification
Starter
The No. 1,463 recruit in the country is starting at receiver in the Pac-12 as a senior.
DNA match
Player DNA
Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2026 production profile sits closest to Garrett Brown’s 2014 season.
85%match
Matches Garrett on
TD rate
Height
Reception volume
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Deng Deng’s path through North Dakota.
Matches Deng on
Yards per reception
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Semaj Morgan's senior season at UCLA (2026).
86%match
Matches Semaj on
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)
Differs from Semaj on
Recruiting rating (lower)
Player DNA
Players who play like Chris Dawn Jr.
The receiver room · Texas State
- #11Beau Sparks1,200 receiving yards · 2025
- #1Chris Dawn Jr.1,007 receiving yards · 2025
- #2Kylen Evans211 receiving yards · 2025
- #3Zechariah Sample1 game · 2026
- #14Jordan Martin2 games · 2026
7 more on the roster · Texas State team page
Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology