cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Tyler King /New Mexico State

Tyler King

WR · New Mexico State · Jr · #12

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

588 REC YDS · 41 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to New Mexico State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to New Mexico State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · New Mexico State

Returning around him

  • 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (25 in / 24 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

New Mexico State · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #130 · 2026 recruiting class #126

WR · NEW MEXICO STATE · CONFERENCE USA

Tyler King

  • 3
  • #12
  • 5-9 | 180 lb
  • Houston, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

63

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 72nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1446

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
2362024
5882025

+149%

Up 149% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
3 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey12
Measurements5-9 | 180 lb
HometownHouston, TX
Primary teamNew Mexico State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1446Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2473Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Tyler King

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Tyler King

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

14.3

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #136 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 74th

Why it matters

#136 of 531 All FBS WRs at 14.3 yards per reception (41 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 14.3 (74th)

HIGH · n=41 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#153 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#222 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 14 vs Middle Tennessee — 178 ypr

Result L 24-31

The week the volume broke through — put up 178 yds vs Middle Tennessee.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
588Rec yards
41Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
73.5Rec yards
5Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
955.5Rec yards
67Receptions
5Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 588): needs 22.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 588): needs 82.4/game over remaining 5.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 41): needs 3.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 41): needs 7.8/game over remaining 5.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 1/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 1.4/game over remaining 5.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Tyler King's story is about how role and output meet each other. For New Mexico State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1446 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 10.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 41 3 rec TD | #178/1110 (84th pct)
Receiving yards 588 14.3 per catch | #158/1107 (86th pct)
Scrimmage yards 606 Total offensive yardage | #158/1107 (86th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

All-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
41 84th
YDS
588 86th
YPR
14.3 71st
TD
3 82nd

Rushing

CAR
8 86th
YDS
18 63rd
YPC
2.3 30th
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
195 75th
KR AVG
19.5 53rd
PR YDS
60 58th
PR AVG
8.6 57th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 6W 37-10vs Sam Houston613222.0054132-yard receiving day
Wk 8L 27-30@ Liberty56813.6027
Wk 9L 17-24vs Missouri State22211.0017
Wk 10L 16-35@ Western Kentucky2136.507
Wk 11L 21-24vs Kennesaw State44912.3032
Wk 12L 9-42@ Tennessee77711.0041
Wk 13W 34-31@ UTEP5499.8121
Wk 14L 24-31vs Middle Tennessee1017817.8264Season-high 178 yds
Total4158813.0364
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Texas Tech7-6HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced
2024Wyoming3-9HC: Jay Sawvel · Run-leaning
2025New Mexico State4-8HC: Tony Sanchez · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025New Mexico State4158814.33--
2024Wyoming1723613.90--
2023Texas Tech----------
Career3 loaded seasons5882414.23--
SeasonTeam
2025New Mexico State81819560--
2024Wyoming13100422-1--
2023Texas Tech14------
Career3 loaded seasons2212261759--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 10.7% 16.5% pass-game share | #185/1137 (84th pct)
Return yards 255 0 return TD | #60/238 (75th pct)
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #206/1111 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 41 #178/1110 84th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 588 #158/1107 86th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #206/1111 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.3 #318/1106 71st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 195 #60/238 75th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 60 #94/224 58th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 16.5% #185/1137 84th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 18 #147/397 63rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 13 #134/346 62nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 8 #60/407 86th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 2.3 #278/393 30th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 64 #136/1105 88th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 19.5 #112/236 53rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 10 #54/243 78th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 8.6 #97/222 57th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 7 #103/237 57th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 11.6% #34/1137 97th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 10.9% #174/1137 85th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 10.7% #72/1137 94th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 10.7% #71/1137 94th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 9.9% #122/1137 89th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 8.9% #317/1137 72nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 2.3% #81/1137 93rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g5.595.215.80.5
Road4g4.851.810.20.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g5.590.515.90.5
Losses6g5.067.812.00.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-71g6.013222.00.0
Weeks 8+7g5.065.111.70.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

63Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.

Long catch#124 / 558 · 77th pct
64rece
Rec yards#158 / 558 · 72nd pct
588rece
Yards / catch#175 / 558 · 68th pct
14.3rece
Receptions#178 / 558 · 68th pct
41rece
Rush yards#118 / 287 · 58th pct
18rush
Rec TDs#205 / 558 · 57th pct
3rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Tyler KingNew Mexico StateKyre DuplessisDelaware· 85% simCorey RuckerArkansas State· 84% simAnthony Evans IIIMississippi State· 83% sim
Long catch
77
King
81
Duplessis
85
Rucker
68
III
Rec yards
72
King
91
Duplessis
97
Rucker
90
III
Yards / catch
68
King
59
Duplessis
65
Rucker
44
III
Receptions
68
King
92
Duplessis
98
Rucker
95
III
Rush yards
58
King
60
Duplessis
55
Rucker
80
III
Rec TDs
57
King
78
Duplessis
68
Rucker
68
III
Rush TDs
39
King
39
Duplessis
39
Rucker
39
III
Fumbles lost
36
King
36
III

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Devin Maddox’s 2022 season.

Devin Maddox

87%match

Toledo · 2022

#2

Myles Price

Texas Tech · 2021

86%
#3

Bryce Bohanon

Tulane · 2025

85%
#4

Yusuf Ali

Middle Tennessee · 2021

83%
#5

Hamze Elzayat

Eastern Michigan · 2023

82%

Matches Devin on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
Class year

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jermaine Jackson’s path through Idaho.

Jermaine Jackson

99%match

Idaho · 2023

#2

Dai'Jean Dixon

Nicholls · 2021

98%
#3

Terrace Marshall

LSU · 2020

98%
#4

Bryce Bohanon

Tulane · 2025

97%
#5

Danny Scudero

San José State · 2025

All-Mountain West
96%

Matches Jermaine on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kole Wilson's junior season at Baylor (2025).

Kole Wilson

78%match

Baylor · 2025

All-Sun Belt
#2

Anthony Brown

Tulane · 2025

78%
#3

Jamari Hawkins

Memphis · 2025

78%
#4

Alred Luke

Missouri State · 2025

72%
#5

Yulkeith Brown

Tulane · 2023

72%

Matches Kole on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
EPA / play (adj)

Differs from Kole on

Class year (lower)
TD rate (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Sanchez

Pass share

57.4%

472 pass / 350 run

Plays / game

68.5

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.7%

359 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Jerry Kill
New Mexico State
2024
Tony Sanchez
New Mexico State
era →
2025
Tony Sanchez
New Mexico State

Coaching transition mid-career: Jerry Kill → Tony Sanchez. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHouston, TX
Height5'9"
Weight180 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Wyoming WR3 #1446 #2473 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Texas Tech WR3 #3374 #3215 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Texas Tech WR3 #3376 #3180 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 New Mexico State Conference USA WR 3 No. 12 | 5-9 | 180 lb | Houston, TX
2024 Wyoming Mountain West WR 3 No. 12 | 5-9 | 180 lb | Houston, TX
2023 Texas Tech Big 12 WR 3 No. 12 | 5-9 | 180 lb | Houston, TX
2022 Texas Tech Big 12 WR 3 No. 12 | 5-9 | 180 lb | Houston, TX