Take Kevin Jennings off SMU's roster and the first thing you'd miss is 3,641 pass YDS, 2,500-yd club.
6′0″ · 192 lb · Oak Cliff, TX
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
How he plays
Throws it deep and dares you to make a play.
EPA / dropback: 95th percentile.
The full scouting readThe numbers
passing yards · 2026 · through week 3
3 games into 2026 so far -- Backed by 337 yds · 5 TD -- top 1% passing TDs game. -- Best game: 337 pass yds, 5 TD, 5 rush yds, vs UC Davis
The play that turned itSwung SMU from 47% to 91% to win.Baylor at SMU · 48-45
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
Senior quarterback for SMU. 2026: 3 games with a box-score line.
Aura™ · Him Watch
-17aura tax
89th pctl our passing-value metric (wEPA) QBs · 160 qualified, n=135
— the discourse is fair.Buzz vs Tape
The wider college football conversation reads him warmer than his own fans do — a gap of 25.9 points in belief.
Also worth knowing:
“Jennings and SMU are gonna rip this secondary a new one.”
Fan claims · every quote verified verbatim
Kevin Jennings 2nd half was embarrassing. Guy needs competition in camp next year
Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Jan 3, 2026 · via CFB
Kevin Jennings
Kevin Jennings is a cornerstone for SMU — measured against the line he joined.
PASS YDS · 2,500-YD CLUB
3,641
3641 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-09-22
His career
Nobody recruited him. He earned the honors anyway.
The role got bigger.
Career arc
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-ACC
All-ACC mention (2024)
Badges
Coaching lineage · 2022–2026
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Rhett Lashlee.
Game by game
Point color shows the opponent's defensive strength that week (red = weaker defense, blue = stronger) — dashed line is this player's own season average.
Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 27-24@ Florida State | 26/36 | 430 | 3 | 2 | 11.9 | 95.6 | Season-high 430 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 56-10vs UC Davis | 14/16 | 337 | 5 | 0 | 21.1 | 99.3 | 5 TD passes |
| Wk 3 | L 31-41@ Louisville | 24/35 | 222 | 1 | 2 | 6.3 | 71.5 | |
| Total | 64/87 | 989 | 9 | 4 | 13.1 | 88.8 |
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 1 · 2026
W 27–24
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
Since week 2: +222 passing yards, +1 passing TD, +2 interceptions.
Season context · Team result + system
5 seasons under Rhett Lashlee — 40-17 over that span.
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles
Elite: epa / dropback (95th percentile). Strength: explosive rate (93rd percentile). Concern: interception rate (6th percentile).
Real play-by-play efficiency
Season trend
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).
Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Adjusted ANY/A
10.8011 of 126 QBsSack rate
3.3%42 of 126 QBsRarely sacked (42 of 126 QBs) and still 11 of 126 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Behind LOS · Negative air yds
Short · 0–9 air yds
Middle · 10–19 air yds
Deep · 20+ air yds
Overall 72.9% completion on 85 attempts · 56% completion on 9 deep attempts (20+ air yds).
Zeitgeist Passer Rating
2026 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.
Thin sample: 87 dropbacks81Zeitgeist Passer Ratingnot ranked until 125 dropbacks
--NCAA passer ratingno box-score line yet
Positive-play rate weight 24%
55.5%98th pct of FBS QBsshare of dropbacks that gained expected points · +0.3% schedule adj.Yards per attempt weight 56%
10.63100th pct of FBS QBssacks excluded · -0.6 schedule adj.Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)
4.6%68th pct of FBS QBsthe input passer rating cannot see · +1.1% schedule adj.Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (1 of 88 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. Scaled against the 2025 FBS population until enough 2026 QBs qualify. How ZPR is built.
Splits · Per-game
2026 season · 3 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home1g | 337 | 5.0 | 21.1 | 0.0 |
| Road2g | 326 | 2.0 | 9.1 | 2.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 330 | 3.0 | 13.1 | 1.3 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Rhett Lashlee
Pass share
50.7%
103 pass / 100 run
Plays / game
67.7
3 games
Scheme: Balanced.
Player standing · 2026
Our Heisman model has him inside the top 25; he is not on a published award watch list yet.
Recognition
2026 outlook
Heisman market1.0%full market ›
In the mix to repeat All-ACC
Based on 2025: #4 of 17 ACC QBs
35% estimated, 95% confidence interval 31–38%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.
Play style
Throws it deep and dares you to make a play.
CFB Index positional classification
The No. 1,596 recruit in the country is starting at quarterback in the ACC as a senior.
Player DNA
Go-for-it mentality with the arm to back it up — and the turnovers to live with.
His 2026 production profile sits closest to Marcus Stokes’s 2026 season.
Differs from Marcus on
Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to William Watson III’s path through Massachusetts.
Matches William on
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Jason Bean's graduate season at Kansas (2022).
Matches Jason on
Differs from Jason on
Player DNA
Heisman futures · sportsbook market
#18 in market ▲ from #22 · 6 books
Heisman Trajectory · 2026
Peaked at #18 this season.