cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Michael Montgomery /Southern Miss

Michael Montgomery

LB · Southern Miss · Jr · #17

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

106 TACKLES · 3 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Southern Miss → Memphis for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Memphis

2025Southern Miss
2026Memphis

LB · SOUTHERN MISS · SUN BELT

Michael Montgomery

  • 3
  • #17
  • 6-4 | 250 lb
  • Seattle, WA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

74

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 89th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1838 national
CFB
College
Southern Miss
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey17
Measurements6-4 | 250 lb
HometownSeattle, WA
Primary teamSouthern Miss

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1838 recruit
Composite rating 0.8317 HighSchool
Signed with Portland State 2023
Origin Garfield Seattle, WA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8317 No. 1838 recruit | HighSchool | Portland State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Memphis 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 5, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Southern Miss -> Memphis 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2025 Portland State -> Southern Miss 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Portland State

Composite

0.8317

#1838 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Michael Montgomery

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Michael Montgomery

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
106Tackles
6Tackles for loss
3Sacks
Per game
9Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
115Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
3.2Sacks

✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 106.

✓ Hit 100-tackle season · finished with 106.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 3): needs 3/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Michael Montgomery is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Southern Miss's defense, with 3.0 sacks, 6.0 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 3.0 sacks | 6.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 106 30 solo | #35/4942 (99th pct)
TFL 6.0 Backfield disruption | #406/4972 (92nd pct)
Sacks 3.0 Pass-rush finish | #292/4972 (94th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderCoverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
106 99th
SOLO
30 89th
TFL
6.0 92nd
SACK
3.0 94th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 17-34vs Mississippi State600.00.0102.5 TFL
Wk 2W 38-20vs Jackson State810.00.00
Wk 3W 38-22vs App State1300.00.01Season-high 13 tackles
Wk 4L 20-30@ Louisiana Tech1331.50.50
Wk 5W 42-25vs Jacksonville State930.50.00
Wk 7W 38-35@ Georgia Southern951.01.010
Wk 8W 22-10@ Louisiana740.50.00
Wk 9W 49-21vs UL Monroe930.00.00
Wk 11W 27-21@ Arkansas State1340.00.01
Wk 12L 14-41vs Texas State1020.00.00
Wk 14L 18-28vs Troy410.00.00
BowlL 16-27vs Western Kentucky542.51.50
Total106306.03.022
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Southern Miss7-6HC: Charles Huff · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Southern Miss106306.03.022--
Career1 loaded season106306.03.022--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 106 #35/4942 99th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 6.0 #406/4972 92nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.0 #292/4972 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 30 #515/4584 89th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 21 #301/578 48th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 10.5 #354/578 39th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home8g8.00.40.20.1
Road4g10.50.80.40.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g9.70.30.10.3
Losses5g7.60.80.40.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g9.00.80.40.1
Weeks 8+5g8.60.10.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

74Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (98th). Strength: sacks (88th). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Tackles#35 / 2975 · 99th pct
106defe
Sacks#291 / 2975 · 89th pct
3.0defe
Tackles for loss#406 / 2975 · 85th pct
6.0defe
Solo tackles#515 / 2975 · 82nd pct
30defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Michael MontgomerySouthern MissOwen LongColorado State· 87% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 86% simNick AndersenWake Forest· 85% sim
Tackles
99
Montgomery
100
Long
99
Vaughns
99
Andersen
Sacks
89
Montgomery
80
Long
63
Vaughns
74
Andersen
Tackles for loss
85
Montgomery
80
Long
85
Vaughns
90
Andersen
Solo tackles
82
Montgomery
99
Long
96
Vaughns
96
Andersen
Interceptions
75
Montgomery
Passes defended
67
Montgomery
91
Long
48
Vaughns
96
Andersen
QB hurries
22
Montgomery
22
Long
22
Vaughns
22
Andersen

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Every-Down Linebacker

Leads the team in tackles and rarely leaves the field.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jaheim Thomas’s 2023 season.

Jaheim Thomas

74%match

Arkansas · 2023

#2

Kendal Daniels

Oklahoma State · 2023

All-Big 12NFL Rd 4
73%
#3

Jack Campbell

Iowa · 2022

72%
#4

Danny Stutsman

Oklahoma · 2024

Consensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 4
69%
#5

Jake Golday

Cincinnati · 2025

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 19
68%

Matches Jaheim on

Sack rate
PD rate
Class year

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Daniel Wingate's junior season at Maryland (2025).

Daniel Wingate

81%match

Maryland · 2025

#2

David Ugwoegbu

Oklahoma · 2022

74%
#3

Easton Gibbs

Wyoming · 2022

72%
#4

Maverick Baranowski

Minnesota · 2025

72%
#5

Jihaad Campbell

Alabama · 2024

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 31
72%

Matches Daniel on

TFL rate
Tackle volume
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Charles Huff

Pass share

49.9%

454 pass / 456 run

Plays / game

70.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.3%

315 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Charles Huff
Southern Miss

Played his entire career under Charles Huff.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSeattle, WA
Height6'4"
Weight250 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey17

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Southern Miss Sun Belt LB 3 No. 17 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Seattle, WA