Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 27-34@ Oregon | 11 | 39 | 3.5 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 2 | W 38-20vs Memphis | 17 | 93 | 5.5 | 1 | 18 | |
| Wk 3 | W 38-24vs South Dakota | 17 | 102 | 6.0 | 1 | 25 | Season-high 102 yds |
| Total | 45 | 234 | 5.0 | 2 | 25 |
#26
Sire Gaines
Sophomore running back for Boise State. 2026: 3 games with a box-score line.
6′0″ · 217 lb · Perris, CA · Orange Vista HS
CFB Index 59 · #86 of 326 RBsHigh confidence
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
How he plays
Just keeps getting the ball, series after series.
Success rate: 94th percentile.
The full scouting readThe numbers
234
rushing yards · 2026 · through week 3
3 games into 2026 so far
The play that turned itSwung Boise State from 45% to 78% to win.Boise State at Oregon · 34-27
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
Sophomore running back for Boise State. 2026: 3 games with a box-score line.
- Signed as a 3-star recruit to Boise State in 2024.
Aura™ · Him Watch
Underrated
-33aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 15th percentile of RBs; the tape says
48th pctl our rushing-value metric (wEPA) RBs · 140 qualified, n=16
— the tape outruns the hype.Aura — fan perception15th pctl
Production — on-field48th pctl
n=16 mentions · cohort: RBs · 140 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = our rushing-value metric (wEPA)
Buzz vs Tape
Attention percentile: 15th · Production percentile: 49th
His production sits in the 49th percentile among qualified RBs this season, well ahead of 15th-percentile attention — a gap of 34 points between tape and volume.
15thattention percentile · vs RBs
49thproduction percentile · vs RBs
Also worth knowing:
Sire Gaines
Just keeps getting the ball, series after series. This is his third year in the same backfield at Boise State. He has been named Mountain West Freshman Player of the Week two seasons running, most recently in 2025. The receipt on tape: 102 rush yds, 10 rec yds against South Dakota, Week 3, 2026.
234 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 45 CARRIES
Low coverage — composed from the verified record.
- season totals
- positional archetype classification
- seasons on the roster
- recognition record
- game log
His career
He was winning awards before he was old enough to be a story.
20243 games
- Signed with Boise State3-star out of Orange Vista
Career arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Boise State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎓
FRESHMAN HONORS
Freshman recognition (2025)
2 mention(s)
Coaching lineage · 2024–2026
1 coach2024–2026
Boise State
Played his entire career under Spencer Danielson.
Career stats
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Boise State | 45 | 234 | 5.2 | 2 | -- |
| 2025 | Boise State | 161 | 812 | 5.0 | 8 | -- |
| 2024 | Boise State | 20 | 156 | 7.8 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 226 | 1,202 | 5.3 | 11 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Boise State | 6 | 58 | 9.7 | 1 | -- |
| 2025 | Boise State | 11 | 72 | 6.5 | 1 | -- |
| 2024 | Boise State | 3 | 44 | 14.7 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 20 | 174 | 8.7 | 3 | -- |
Game log
Game by game
Sire Gaines's 2026 production
Point color shows the opponent's defensive strength that week (red = weaker defense, blue = stronger) — dashed line is this player's own season average.
Signature game
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 3 · 2026
W 38–24
vs South Dakota
Signature plays
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
- Week 3 · South Dakota · 4&1 · Q1 · EPA -7.73(05:20) #26 S.Gaines rush right for 0 yards to the USD24 (#9 T.White; #3 G.Hardman), TURNOVER ON DOWNS. The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL UPHELD
- Week 1 · Oregon · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +3.09Shotgun #4 M.Madsen pass complete short left to #26 S.Gaines caught at ORE33, for 38 yards to the ORE00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:14, 1ST DOWN #48 C.Moore kick attempt good (H: #15 Z.Martinez, LS: #61 C.Kellow)
- Week 2 · Memphis · 2&11 · Q3 · EPA +2.86Sire Gaines 11 Yd Run (Canaan Moore Kick)
- Week 2 · Memphis · 3&5 · Q2 · EPA +1.93(05:06) Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MEM41 (#15 E.Kinsler), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · Memphis · 2&5 · Q3 · EPA +1.69(11:47) Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush left for 16 yards gain to the MEM43 (#9 M.Montgomery), 1ST DOWN
- Week 2 · Memphis · 3&3 · Q1 · EPA +1.61(11:39) Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush middle for 18 yards gain to the MEM24 (#3 D.Smith), 1ST DOWN
- Week 3 · South Dakota · 1&3 · Q2 · EPA +1.46(07:43) #26 S.Gaines rush right for 3 yards gain to the USD00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:41 #48 C.Moore kick attempt good (H: #15 Z.Martinez, LS: #61 C.Kellow)
- Week 3 · South Dakota · 3&3 · Q2 · EPA +1.34(11:37) Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush left for 5 yards gain to the USD39 (#24 H.Brun; #25 R.Stewart), 1ST DOWN
- Week 3 · South Dakota · 3&2 · Q4 · EPA +1.33(07:30) Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush left for 25 yards gain to the USD14 (#49 W.Abrams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
- Week 3 · South Dakota · 2&7 · Q2 · EPA +1.27(05:36) Shotgun #26 S.Gaines rush right for 14 yards gain to the USD32 (#9 T.White; #49 W.Abrams), 1ST DOWN
2026 snapshot
Since week 2: +102 rushing yards, +1 rushing TD, +3 catches.
Season context · Team result + system
3 seasons under Spencer Danielson, all run-leaning offenses — 23-8 over that span.
2024Boise State12-2HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
2025Boise State9-5HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
2026Boise State2-1HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles
High confidence
Elite: success rate (94th percentile). Strength: rec yards (82nd percentile). Concern: long run (25th percentile).
Real play-by-play efficiency
Box-score rates (7)
Season trend
Last seasonThis season
EPA / carry
62nd → 57th percentile
Success rate
85th → 94th percentile
Explosive rate
39th → 67th percentile
Yards / carry
50th → 59th percentile
TD rate
60th → 48th percentile
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).
Rushing profile
Rush profile · Shape, efficiency, and ball security
How he gets his yards, and how often it works
45 of 45 carries matched to play-by-play
Success rate
57%44 carriesStuffed
0 or fewer yds9%of carries
4 carries
Grind
1–3 yds27%of carries
12 carries
Chunk
4–9 yds53%of carries
24 carries
Explosive
10+ yds11%of carries
5 carries
3 of 5 (60%) converted on 3rd/4th & short (≤2 to go) · 1 of 3 (33%) scored from inside the 5-yard line
5.2 yds/carry on 45 carries · 11% explosive (10+ yds) · 57% success rate.
Splits & context
Splits · Per-game
2026 season · 3 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 97.5 | 5.8 | 1.0 |
| Road1g | 39.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 78.0 | 5.0 | 0.7 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Spencer Danielson
Pass share
40.7%
88 pass / 128 run
Plays / game
72.0
3 games
Team sack rate
4.2%
96 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Awards
Player standing · 2026
Backup
On the two-deep and pushing for snaps.
Recognition
Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
2026 outlook
In the mix for All-Pac-12
Based on 2025: #8 of 34 Mountain West RBs — his program moves to the Pac-12 for 2026
How the All-Pac-12 estimate is computed
35% estimated, 95% confidence interval 31–38%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player. The base rate was measured on players who stayed in the same conference; this estimate is not adjusted for the move to the Pac-12.
How he plays
Play style
Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.
CFB Index positional classification
DNA match
Player DNA
Workhorse
Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.
RB
His 2026 production profile sits closest to Adam Mohammed’s 2025 season.
82%match
Matches Adam on
Receiving share
Rush TD rate
EPA / carry (adj)
Differs from Adam on
Yards / reception (higher)
Class year (lower)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Plez Lawrence’s path through North Carolina Central.
Matches Plez on
Yards per carry
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Micah Ford's junior season at Stanford (2026).
73%match
Matches Micah on
Yards / carry
Differs from Micah on
Class year (lower)
Yards / reception (higher)
Rush TD rate (lower)
Player DNA
Players who play like Sire Gaines
Heisman trajectory
Heisman Trajectory · 2026
Peak #88
Peaked at #88 this season.
Background
CAREER HONORS Pac-12 Preseason Impact List (2026) Athlon Sports Preseason All-Pac-12 First Team (2026) Phil Steele Preseason All-Pac-12 Second Team (2026) Phil Steele All-Mountain West Fourth Team (2025) 3x Mountain West Freshman of the Week (Sept. 2, 2024, Sept. 8, 2025, Nov. 23, 2025) RS…
The backfield · Boise State
- Dylan Riley1,125 rushing yards · 2025
- #26Sire Gaines812 rushing yards · 2025
- #22Juelz Goff270 rushing yards · 2025
- #27Harry Stewart III98 rushing yards · 2025
- #23Keilan Chaviesno box-score line yet
2 more on the roster · Boise State team page
Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology