TCU routs Grambling 63-7

Team pages: Grambling · TCU

Grambling2-17
TCU1-163Final
Sat, Sep 12 · Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas · Crowd 37,600ESPN+

TCU routed Grambling 63-7.

We had TCU favored. It won.

Next: Grambling lost to Prairie View A&M 21-14, Sat Sep 26

Next: TCU beat Arkansas State 31-7, Sat Sep 19

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave TCU a 92% chance, and the closing betting line (TCU was a 44.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

TCU led by 7 after the first quarter and by 21 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+56+56
Blocked field goalQ1 8:23Pick-sixTCU · Q4 9:52
FinalTCU 63-7 GramblingTCU wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4TCUWon63-7ScoresBlocked field goalPick-six
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4TCUWon63-7ScoresBlocked field goalPick-six
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4TCULowest 0%Lost7-63ScoresBlocked field goalPick-six
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4TCULowest 0%Lost7-63ScoresBlocked field goalPick-six

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

TCU’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (TCU -44.5), at 100% for TCU (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show TCU’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 12:21Everhart 8-yd TD runTCU goes ahead 7-0Q1, 12:21 · TCU 7, Grambling 07-0score after the play7-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q2, 10:53Denman 1-yd TD runTCU leads 14-0Q2, 10:53 · TCU 14, Grambling 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q2, 8:26Craig 9-yd TD pass to PimptonTCU leads 21-0Q2, 8:26 · TCU 21, Grambling 021-0score after the play21-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q2, 4:25Johnson 7-yd TD pass to Eatoncuts it to 21-7Q2, 4:25 · TCU 21, Grambling 721-7score after the play21-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q3, 10:34Frye intercepted by Glover at the TCU 35Q3, 10:34 · TCU 28, Grambling 728-7score after the play28-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  6. Q3, 9:23Craig 29-yd TD pass to AshleyTCU leads 35-7Q3, 9:23 · TCU 35, Grambling 735-7score after the play35-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  7. Q3, 2:20Craig 52-yd TD pass to ScottTCU leads 42-7Q3, 2:20 · TCU 42, Grambling 742-7score after the play42-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  8. Q4, 12:23Craig 15-yd TD pass to AshleyTCU leads 49-7Q4, 12:23 · TCU 49, Grambling 749-7score after the play49-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  9. Q4, 9:52Benoit intercepted by Parks at the TCU 33 and returned for a TDTCU leads 56-7Q4, 9:52 · TCU 56, Grambling 756-7score after the play56-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  10. Q4, 3:24Martin 10-yd TD runTCU leads 63-7Q4, 3:24 · TCU 63, Grambling 763-7score after the play63-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football

Every drive

TCU scored on 8 of its 14 drives; Grambling on 1 of its 14.

TCU’s drives are teal, Grambling’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1TCU: Touchdown, from 78 yards out to 0TouchdownGrambling: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 4Missed FGTCU: Punt, from 80 yards out to 46PuntGrambling: Punt, from 99 yards out to 88PuntTCU: Fumble, from 47 yards out to 0FumbleGrambling: Punt, from 80 yards out to 73PuntQ2TCU: Touchdown, from 45 yards out to 0TouchdownGrambling: Punt, from 35 yards out to 37PuntTCU: Touchdown, from 66 yards out to 0TouchdownGrambling: Touchdown, from 91 yards out to 0TouchdownTCU: Touchdown, from 76 yards out to 0TouchdownGrambling: Punt, from 67 yards out to 67PuntTCU: End of half, from 58 yards out to 1End of halfQ3Grambling: Punt, from 75 yards out to 66PuntTCU: Punt, from 73 yards out to 67PuntGrambling: Interception, from 75 yards out to 73InterceptionTCU: Touchdown, from 65 yards out to 0TouchdownGrambling: Punt, from 75 yards out to 66PuntTCU: Punt, from 77 yards out to 70PuntGrambling: Punt, from 70 yards out to 75PuntTCU: Touchdown, from 42 yards out to 0TouchdownGrambling: Punt, from 75 yards out to 74PuntTCU: Touchdown, from 70 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Grambling: Interception returned for a touchdown, from 75 yards out to 62Interception TDGrambling: Punt, from 75 yards out to 76PuntTCU: Touchdown, from 70 yards out to 0TouchdownGrambling: Punt, from 75 yards out to 70PuntTCU: End of game, from 15 yards out to 6End of game

Box score

TCU 63, Grambling 7

TCU covered −44.5 by 11.5. The total, 70, went over 56.5.

GramblingTCUTotal yardsGrambling 210TCU 676210676Passing yardsGrambling 190TCU 391190391Rushing yardsGrambling 20TCU 28520285First downsGrambling 7TCU 33733TurnoversGrambling 2TCU 121Time of possessionGrambling 30:26TCU 29:3430:2629:34
Team totalsGramblingTCU
Total yards210676
Passing14 of 25, 190 yds24 of 32, 391 yds
Rushing28 for 20 yds37 for 285 yds
First downs733
Third down1 of 142 of 7
Fourth down0 of 02 of 2
Turnovers21
Penalties7 for 54 yds5 for 60 yds
Time of possession30:2629:34

Grambling leaders

  • Passing RJ Johnson III 14 of 20, 190 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Jamarion Parker 5 for 9 yds; Tony Phillips 3 for 7 yds
  • Receiving Jordan Bride 4 for 79 yds; Byron Eaton Jr. 2 for 59 yds, 1 TD

TCU leaders

  • Passing Jaden Craig 24 of 31, 391 yds, 4 TD
  • Rushing Jeremy Payne 9 for 79 yds; Jaden Craig 8 for 53 yds
  • Receiving Kari Ashley 7 for 119 yds, 2 TD; Ed Small 5 for 101 yds

Feels like 98° to 104° through the game

98° at kickoff · feels like 98° to 104° · no rain recorded · wind 11 mph from the southeast, mostly along the field, gusts to 22

A feels-like 104° is hotter than the peak in 99% of games since 2018.

Every game's peak, with this game markedtypical game 71°This game: 104°0120°
Every game's peak, with this game markedtypical game 71°This game: 104°0120°

Each gray tick is one game. The black line is the typical game.

Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 70 other games played at Amon G. Carter Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 86°, with about 7 in 10 games between 79° and 93°.

September game-day temperatures at Amon G. Carter Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4TCU favoredGrambling favored100%Win chanceTCURaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphTemperature and feels likedegrees F85°110°feels like 98°air 94°
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4TCU favoredGrambling favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Temperature and feels like · degrees F85°110°feels like 98°air 94°

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:45 left7:03 p.m.
Grambling 0, TCU 0 · TCU 100% to win
no rain · wind 13 mph from the southeast, mostly along the field, gusts to 22 · 98°, feels like 103°
Craig 19-yd pass to Small
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Fort Worth Nas airport, 6.3 miles away, and Fort Worth/meacham airport, 7.6 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

Grambling · 2-0

Rated 172nd in our preseason ratings, 202nd now.

Two straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

W 48-26 vs Central State #384 of 668

Grambling won 48-26 vs Central State. Chance to win started at 56%, low 56%, high better than 99%.

W 49-7 vs Clark Atlanta #376 of 668

Grambling won 49-7 vs Clark Atlanta. Chance to win started at 76%, low 69%, high better than 99%.

Last three games · 2025 season

TCU · 9-4

Rated 49th in our preseason ratings, 53rd now.

Three straight wins, capped by a 3-point win over USC as a 4.5-point underdog.

W 30-27 vs USCTop 25 #24 of 667

won by 3 as a 4.5-point underdog

TCU won 30-27 vs USC. Chance to win started at 47%, low 5%, high better than 99%.

W 45-23 vs CincinnatiTop 25 #58 of 667

won by 22 as a 3.5-point favorite

TCU won 45-23 vs Cincinnati. Chance to win started at 68%, low 66%, high better than 99%.

W 17-14 @ HoustonTop 25 #65 of 667

won by 3 as a 1.5-point favorite

TCU won 17-14 at Houston. Chance to win started at 49%, low 39%, high 94%.

L 13-44 @ BYUTop 25 #24 of 667

lost by 31 as a 2.5-point underdog

TCU lost 13-44 at BYU. Chance to win started at 34%, low under 1%, high 36%.

L 17-20 vs Iowa StateTop 25 #50 of 667

lost by 3 as a 7.5-point favorite

TCU lost 17-20 vs Iowa State. Chance to win started at 76%, low under 1%, high 94%.

W 23-17 @ West Virginia #95 of 667

won by 6 as a 16.5-point favorite

TCU won 23-17 at West Virginia. Chance to win started at 83%, low 80%, high 99%.

W 42-36 vs Baylor #34 of 667

won by 6 as a 3.5-point favorite

TCU won 42-36 vs Baylor. Chance to win started at 67%, low 39%, high better than 99%.

L 28-41 @ Kansas StateTop 25 #48 of 667

lost by 13 as a 2.5-point favorite

TCU lost 28-41 at Kansas State. Chance to win started at 50%, low under 1%, high 74%.

W 35-21 vs Colorado #56 of 667

won by 14 as a 14.5-point favorite

TCU won 35-21 vs Colorado. Chance to win started at 88%, low 38%, high better than 99%.

L 24-27 @ Arizona StateTop 25 #33 of 667

lost by 3 as a 2.5-point underdog

TCU lost 24-27 at Arizona State. Chance to win started at 34%, low under 1%, high 88%.

W 35-24 vs SMUTop 25 #23 of 667

won by 11 as a 6.5-point favorite

TCU won 35-24 vs SMU. Chance to win started at 74%, low 51%, high better than 99%.

W 42-21 vs Abilene Christian #128 of 667

won by 21 as a 41.5-point favorite

TCU won 42-21 vs Abilene Christian. Chance to win started at 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.

W 48-14 @ North Carolina #59 of 667

won by 34 as a 3.5-point favorite

TCU won 48-14 at North Carolina. Chance to win started at 50%, low 26%, high better than 99%.

Week by week

TCU

  • Wk 1Lvs North Carolina10-15

Grambling

Wk 1: W 49-7 vs Clark Atlanta▲42Clark AtlantaWk 1: W 48-26 vs Central State▲22Central State
  • Wk 1Wvs Clark Atlanta49-7
  • Wk 1Wvs Central State48-26

The series

TCU leads the series 1-0

1 meeting since 2012 · TCU won the last meeting

  • 2012TCU 56-0

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on TCU’s chances here.

50-50Model · 92%Line · 100%GramblingTCU

TCU favored by 44.5 · Total 56.5

How games like this usually go

TCU by 44.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward TCU.

opened −43.5now −44.5

The total rose 3 points.

opened 53.5now 56.5

Spread: −43.5 → −44.5 · Total: 53.5 → 56.5

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 101° at kickoff.

Grambling at TCU · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth

  • 101°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 52weather score, Rough
  • Bestof the day's 5 kickoff times

At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 5 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the best of the day's five kickoff times. At Amon G. Carter Stadium that day, a 3:15 pm kickoff would have scored 33, against 52 at 6:45 pm.

  • 11 am: 40, Harsh
  • 2:30 pm: 34, Harsh
  • 3:15 pm: 33, Harsh
  • 6 pm: 45, Harsh
  • 6:45 pm: 52, Rough (this game)

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.

Home field

TCU is worth +4.7 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 61st percentile.

60% at home, 50% on the road against FBS opponents (27-18 home, 22-22 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.1 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±6.0 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 271 miles to get here.

Where next