North Carolina A&T beats New Hampshire 30-27

New Hampshire2-527
North Carolina A&T2-530Final
Sat, Oct 10 · Aggie Stadium, Greensboro, N.C. · Crowd 1,329FloSports

North Carolina A&T beat New Hampshire 30-27.

We had North Carolina A&T favored. It won.

Next: New Hampshire lost to Monmouth 42-21, Sat Oct 17

Next: North Carolina A&T beat Chicago State 27-12, Sat Oct 17

Box score

North Carolina A&T 30, New Hampshire 27

North Carolina A&T covered +5.5 by 8.5. The total, 57, went over 44.5.

New Hampshire leaders

  • Passing Brooks Bentley 23 of 35, 267 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Jocquez Smith 20 for 76 yds, 1 TD; Myles Thomason 10 for 32 yds
  • Receiving Logan Perez 8 for 136 yds, 2 TD; Ryan Ricketti 5 for 63 yds

North Carolina A&T leaders

  • Passing Kevin White 18 of 35, 230 yds, 3 TD
  • Rushing Shimique Blizzard 6 for 72 yds; Kevin White 10 for 38 yds
  • Receiving Michael Carlock-Williams 5 for 129 yds, 1 TD; Elijah Kennedy 6 for 55 yds, 1 TD

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

New Hampshire · 2-4

Rated 173rd in our preseason ratings, 230th now.

1-2 in its last three, capped by a 7-point win over Elon as a 7.5-point underdog.

W 30-23 vs Elon #179 of 668

won by 7 as a 7.5-point underdog

New Hampshire won 30-23 vs Elon. Chance to win started at 41%, low 34%, high better than 99%.

L 13-20 @ Sacred Heart #206 of 668

lost by 7 as a 2.5-point underdog

New Hampshire lost 13-20 at Sacred Heart. Chance to win started at 31%, low 2%, high 44%.

W 42-35 vs Stonehill #236 of 668

won by 7 as a 13.5-point favorite

New Hampshire won 42-35 vs Stonehill. Chance to win started at 89%, low 64%, high better than 99%.

L 14-28 @ UAlbany #221 of 668

lost by 14 as a 10-point favorite

Last three games

North Carolina A&T · 1-5

Rated 263rd in our preseason ratings, 251st now, up 12 spots.

1-2 in its last three, including a 4-point win over Rhode Island as a 24.5-point underdog.

W 22-18 vs Rhode Island #136 of 668

won by 4 as a 24.5-point underdog

Week by week

North Carolina A&T

Wk 1: L 10-59 at Georgia State▼49G. St.Wk 2: L 22-30 at North Carolina Central▼8N. Carol…Wk 3: L 14-42 at Campbell▼28CampbellWk 4: W 22-18 vs Rhode Island▲4Rhode Is…Wk 5: L 30-31 at Bryant▼1Bryant
  • Wk 1Lat Georgia State10-59
  • Wk 2Lat North Carolina Central22-30
  • Wk 3Lat Campbell14-42
  • Wk 4Wvs Rhode Island22-18
  • Wk 5Lat Bryant30-31

New Hampshire

Wk 1: L 3-66 at Syracuse▼63SyracuseWk 2: W 42-35 vs Stonehill▲7StonehillWk 3: L 7-31 vs Harvard▼24HarvardWk 4: L 13-20 at Sacred Heart▼7Sacred H…Wk 5: W 30-23 vs Elon▲7Elon
  • Wk 1Lat Syracuse3-66
  • Wk 2Wvs Stonehill42-35
  • Wk 3Lvs Harvard7-31
  • Wk 4Lat Sacred Heart13-20
  • Wk 5Wvs Elon30-23

Power rating by week

New Hampshire is rated 2.0 points ahead as of week 5. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-7-11-14Wk 0Wk 3Wk 5North Carolina A&TNew Hampshire

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on North Carolina A&T’s chances here.

50-50Model · 54%Line · 33%New HampshireNorth Carolina A&T

New Hampshire favored by 5.5 · Total 44.5

The market

The total fell 3 points.

opened 47.5now 44.5

Total: 47.5 → 44.5

The books’ cut: 5.4%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

North Carolina A&T has had no measurable home edge since 2018 — +0.2 points, home against road — 3rd percentile of FBS.

0% at home, 9% on the road against FBS opponents (0-1 home, 1-10 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -6.2 at home vs. away over 49 games — inside the ±8.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 677 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.