Morgan State beats North Carolina A&T 17-7
Team pages: Morgan State · North Carolina A&T
Morgan State beat North Carolina A&T 17-7. Share this game
Next: Morgan State lost to Arizona State 70-7, Sat Sep 5
Next: North Carolina A&T lost to Georgia State 59-10, Fri Sep 4
How it swung
The turning point: Thomas sacked for a 6-yd loss, turnover on downs (Q4, 4:47). Morgan State went from 66% to 86% to win.
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Morgan State a 52% chance, and the closing betting line (Morgan State was a 7-point favorite) put it at 71%.
Down to 27% in the third quarter, Morgan State came back to win.
Up to 73% in the third quarter, then North Carolina A&T lost it.
Morgan State · Q4 14:23Morgan State 17-7 North Carolina A&T
Morgan State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.North Carolina A&T 7-17 Morgan StateNorth Carolina A&T lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.The two plays that swung it
- 1Q4 14:23Edge 68-yd TD pass to Towler, Morgan State goes ahead 10-7Morgan State 43% → 62% (+19)
- 2Q4 4:474th and 2Thomas sacked for a 6-yd loss, turnover on downsMorgan State 66% → 86% (+20)
The two plays that swung it
- 1Q4 14:23Edge 68-yd TD pass to Towler, Morgan State goes ahead 10-7North Carolina A&T 57% → 38% (−19)
- 2Q4 4:474th and 2Thomas sacked for a 6-yd loss, turnover on downsNorth Carolina A&T 34% → 14% (−20)
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Morgan State -7), at 61% for Morgan State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.Every drive
Morgan State scored on 3 of its 9 drives; North Carolina A&T on 1 of its 9.
Morgan State’s drives are teal, North Carolina A&T’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
From North Carolina A&T’s side
North Carolina A&T’s best moment: Edge incomplete to Aggies, turnover on downs (Q3 5:28). It lifted North Carolina A&T’s win chance by 14 points.
Too close to call on 63% of plays.
Box score
Morgan State 17, North Carolina A&T 7
Morgan State covered −7 by 3. The total, 24, stayed under 49.5.
Morgan State leaders
- Passing Cameron Edge 13 of 19, 167 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing Jordan Barnett 12 for 114 yds, 1 TD; Cameron Edge 1 for 4 yds
- Receiving Joseph Towler 1 for 68 yds, 1 TD; Justin Perry 4 for 45 yds
North Carolina A&T leaders
- Passing Braxton Thomas 20 of 32, 240 yds
- Rushing J.T. Smith Jr. 19 for 51 yds; Braxton Thomas 10 for 24 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Rory Jones-Amen-Hetep 2 for 52 yds; Jayvonne Dillard 3 for 50 yds
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Morgan State · 4-8
Rated 218th in our preseason ratings.
L 14-33 vs North Carolina Central #132 of 667
lost by 19 as a 9.5-point underdog
W 35-28 @ Norfolk State #241 of 667
won by 7 as a 5.5-point favorite
L 12-14 vs Delaware State #172 of 667
lost by 2 as a 3.5-point underdog
L 30-36 @ South Carolina State #150 of 667
lost by 6 as an 11.5-point underdog
L 27-33 @ Howard #219 of 667
lost by 6 as a 1-point favorite
W 44-6 vs Virginia Lynchburg
L 24-27 @ Georgetown #241 of 667
lost by 3 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 24-17 vs Miles #350 of 667
W 27-0 vs Central State #407 of 667
L 0-60 @ Toledo #51 of 667
lost by 60 as a 33.5-point underdog
L 22-27 vs Towson #144 of 667
lost by 5 as a 10-point underdog
L 21-38 @ South Alabama #75 of 667
lost by 17 as a 28.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
North Carolina A&T · 2-10
Rated 263rd in our preseason ratings.
L 17-55 @ Elon #171 of 667
lost by 38 as a 21-point underdog
L 19-63 vs Monmouth #106 of 667
lost by 44 as a 21.5-point underdog
L 12-38 @ Stony Brook #170 of 667
lost by 26 as an 18.5-point underdog
L 9-62 vs Towson #167 of 667
lost by 53 as a 7.5-point underdog
W 28-24 vs Campbell #241 of 667
won by 4 as a 3-point underdog
L 16-22 vs South Carolina State #162 of 667
lost by 6 as a 9.5-point underdog
L 34-38 @ William & Mary #173 of 667
lost by 4 as a 20.5-point underdog
L 30-37 @ Maine #213 of 667
lost by 7 as a 13.5-point underdog
L 20-62 vs North Carolina Central #153 of 667
lost by 42 as a 13-point underdog
W 33-30 vs Hampton #224 of 667
won by 3 as a 3-point underdog
L 7-68 @ UCF #54 of 667
lost by 61 as a 37-point underdog
L 21-24 @ Tennessee State #191 of 667
lost by 3 as a 6.5-point underdog
The series
Morgan State leads the series 10-5
15 meetings since 2003 · Morgan State has won the last 2
- 2019Morgan State 22-16
- 2018Morgan State 16-13
- 2017North Carolina A&T 49-17
- 2014North Carolina A&T 45-0
- 2013Morgan State 24-23
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on North Carolina A&T’s chances here.
Morgan State favored by 7 · Total 49.5
How games like this usually go
Morgan State by 7, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 377 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 1.5 points toward North Carolina A&T.
The total fell 1 point.
Spread: +8.5 → +7 · Total: 50.5 → 49.5
The books’ cut: 5.2%, the margin built into the odds
Home field
North Carolina A&T has had no measurable home edge since 2018 — +0.2 points, home against road — 3rd percentile of FBS.
0% at home, 9% on the road against FBS opponents (0-1 home, 1-10 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -6.2 at home vs. away over 49 games — inside the ±8.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 285 miles to get here.